I dont think halloween is going to be warm this year, ill come
back to this comment in 2 weeks lol, its only fitting we get a big front right around halloween, going off climatology
October 2025
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Stratton20
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DoctorMu
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Well, on that....ummm...front the 12z Euro-AI and GFS are a lot more aggressive on the Waiting for Godot FROPA coming into Halloween. The rain chances still look weak...but the Aleutian Jailbreaks are today's weather pinups.
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tireman4
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tireman4
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snowman65
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POOF.... and just like like, all signs of cooler weather in the next 2+ weeks are gone...
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DoctorMu
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Lucy is pro-active this "fall."
I see, strange whispy and smoky, white and translucent shadows moving across the sky this morning.
I think the Eldars called them "clouds."
There are legends of water falling from the sky. But a wise one told me this morning: "Don't get your hopes up!"
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Stratton20
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MJO goes into phases 4/5 so should see a cooler period around halloween, my confidence is rather high that we will have a pattern change, already seeing models making some key changes in the pacific right now
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DoctorMu
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^Colder air flips from West to East, but we're still screwed...
Maybe in November.
Maybe in November.
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tireman4
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Cromagnum
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As I figured, the meager 20% chance of rain is completely gone from the forecast. More hot and dry for the next two weeks. Going to need a week or two of rain everyday to even pretend to catch up.
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DoctorMu
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Dang - I have to put down more anti-fungal. I saw just a hint of brown patch this morning.
How?? It hasn't rained in nearly 2 months and we haven't had low 50s for lows
How?? It hasn't rained in nearly 2 months and we haven't had low 50s for lows
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DoctorMu
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This weather brings great respect for the weeds - Texas' natural ground cover. When the grass wilts and turns brown, they come on strong. So far, I'm holding down the fort in our yard...but I see problems ahead.
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snowman65
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crazy how the colder weather is always 2 weeks away lol
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snowman65
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October 2024, S.E. Tx only got .40" of rain all month. Very similar to this year.
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Kludge
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As of this writing there is virtually NO precip in the lower 48. How bizarre. 
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jasons2k
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Drought conditions expand.
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tireman4
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DoctorMu
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A dark cloud and about 20 sec. of rain late this morning. I shouldn't expect much more.
https://giphy.com/gifs/football-prank-Ou18ZgE49Fss0
https://giphy.com/gifs/football-prank-Ou18ZgE49Fss0
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jasons2k
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No rain, again.
Sprinklers on full plasma ray mode. I run them just before sunrise.
Sprinklers on full plasma ray mode. I run them just before sunrise.
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DoctorMu
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Tomorrow is return flow, but today's menu is a touch of fall in CLL
N12 G22, DP = 56°F, temp = 75°F. Highs in the low 80s and low 50s tonight. Enjoy it while it lasts!
Allegedly some kind of weak FROPA Friday night/Saturday with a chance of rain (Ha!). Then still above normal. Maybe a slight cool down for Halloween.
As always your 12-14 day away GFS weather porn:
N12 G22, DP = 56°F, temp = 75°F. Highs in the low 80s and low 50s tonight. Enjoy it while it lasts!
Allegedly some kind of weak FROPA Friday night/Saturday with a chance of rain (Ha!). Then still above normal. Maybe a slight cool down for Halloween.
As always your 12-14 day away GFS weather porn:
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