August 2025
Dark skies.
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Probably the most intense squall line I’ve experienced that did not have a single clap of thunder. Not even a distant rumble. It was more like a tropical storm. 
This line is kinda weak sauce, but whatever, I’ll take it.
Welp, I got nothing but a light to moderate shower outta it for maybe 10 min. It split into two just N of me and then it blew up just S of me. Gotta love it.
I thought you got a good storm last week.
We ended-up with 0.74” over here. Hopefully that was enough to help the plants for awhile.
Not even a single drop here in west League City. Line re-formed as soon as it got past League City.
I’m sick of this happening here.
I’m sick of this happening here.
Last edited by Pas_Bon on Mon Aug 04, 2025 12:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Ended up with .19" in Cypress. I'll take what I can get.
.06" in Fairfield/Cypress. Storms on radar broke apart before it got to us and then reformed on top of us and looked like we should have gotten something substantial but it wasn't much. Got about 0.6" here at the office in Katy though. There were a couple rumbles of thunder here in Katy after it passed through.
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MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2625
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
1.2 inches in the CoCo. Nice soaking rain and a lot of limbs down. We needed it bad!
I just bought 30 round bales
I just bought 30 round bales
Team #NeverSummer
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6367
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
510
FXUS64 KHGX 051132
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
632 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025
- Rain chances lowering, but not eliminated.
- A gradual uptick in daytime highs.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Strong, broad ridge centered to our west will expand then contract
this week and weekend. As heights rise between now and Thursday
we`ll see a corresponding decrease in shower/thunderstorm chances as
increased subsidence becomes tougher to overcome. And with lower
PW`s, more sun should lead to higher temps than we`ve seen the past
few days. Look for some scattered activity to emerge in the Gulf and
along the coast late tonight into mid morning. Then with some
daytime heating, the seabreeze/baybreeze might be enough to generate
a few cells later in the day. Given the upper level pattern, the
breeze likely won`t make it too far inland...maybe to the I-10
corridor or so. Rinse/repeat into late week.
As the ridge slightly weakens/contracts this weekend into early next
week, the atmosphere should become a little bit less hostile in
regards to diurnally driven iso/sct precip formation. Not
anticipating high rain chances per se...just the routine summertime
variety making it a touch further inland. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Isolated showers continue to move inland from the Gulf this
morning. GLS currently at IFR with reduced VSBY from TS. Most of
the activity has died off upon reaching the I-10 corridor;
however, beginning to see very light showers popping up along and
just north of the corridor at this hour. Have included PROB30 for
southern terminals this afternoon as activity picks up along the
sea breeze. Otherwise, expect GLS to recover to VFR later this
morning with VFR prevailing at all other sites. Winds will
generally be light out of the southeast. Gusts to around 20 knots
will be possible with any storms today.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Light winds and low seas will prevail for the next several days.
Though winds should mostly be from an onshore direction, a late
night and morning landbreeze might provide some offshore wind
directions. Look for scattered shower and thunderstorm development
offshore and near the coast during the late night and morning hours.
Can`t rule out an isolated strong storm or two capable of producing
elevated wind gusts. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 94 75 96 74 / 10 10 10 0
Houston (IAH) 95 77 96 77 / 20 20 30 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 92 82 / 40 20 40 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...47
FXUS64 KHGX 051132
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
632 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025
- Rain chances lowering, but not eliminated.
- A gradual uptick in daytime highs.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Strong, broad ridge centered to our west will expand then contract
this week and weekend. As heights rise between now and Thursday
we`ll see a corresponding decrease in shower/thunderstorm chances as
increased subsidence becomes tougher to overcome. And with lower
PW`s, more sun should lead to higher temps than we`ve seen the past
few days. Look for some scattered activity to emerge in the Gulf and
along the coast late tonight into mid morning. Then with some
daytime heating, the seabreeze/baybreeze might be enough to generate
a few cells later in the day. Given the upper level pattern, the
breeze likely won`t make it too far inland...maybe to the I-10
corridor or so. Rinse/repeat into late week.
As the ridge slightly weakens/contracts this weekend into early next
week, the atmosphere should become a little bit less hostile in
regards to diurnally driven iso/sct precip formation. Not
anticipating high rain chances per se...just the routine summertime
variety making it a touch further inland. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Isolated showers continue to move inland from the Gulf this
morning. GLS currently at IFR with reduced VSBY from TS. Most of
the activity has died off upon reaching the I-10 corridor;
however, beginning to see very light showers popping up along and
just north of the corridor at this hour. Have included PROB30 for
southern terminals this afternoon as activity picks up along the
sea breeze. Otherwise, expect GLS to recover to VFR later this
morning with VFR prevailing at all other sites. Winds will
generally be light out of the southeast. Gusts to around 20 knots
will be possible with any storms today.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Light winds and low seas will prevail for the next several days.
Though winds should mostly be from an onshore direction, a late
night and morning landbreeze might provide some offshore wind
directions. Look for scattered shower and thunderstorm development
offshore and near the coast during the late night and morning hours.
Can`t rule out an isolated strong storm or two capable of producing
elevated wind gusts. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 94 75 96 74 / 10 10 10 0
Houston (IAH) 95 77 96 77 / 20 20 30 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 92 82 / 40 20 40 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...47
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6367
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
356
FXUS64 KHGX 051841
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
141 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
...KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
- This week will be slightly drier, but a a daily risk remains for
coastal morning showers, and afternoon scattered showers and
thunderstorms inland along the sea breeze. Most of this activity
will remain along and south of the I-10 corridor.
- Turning hotter in the next few days with highs in the mid to upper
90s.
- There is a moderate risk of strong rip currents along all Gulf-
facing beaches most of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Latest visible satellite imagery shows a widespread field of Cu
clouds, indicating a less stable atmosphere. This is likely driven
by a weak surface trough, increasing convergence along the coast,
and a passing upper-level shortwave. As a result, scattered
showers with isolated thunderstorms are developing and will slowly
continue to move inland, mainly along the sea breeze, in the next
few hours. Vorticity is fairly low in our area, but cannot rule
out isolated weak funnel clouds developing along the coast and
coastal counties. Most of this activity will remain along and
south of the I-10 corridor, though a few showers are possible
further north. Showers and storms are expected to dissipate by
sunset as diurnal heating ends and the shortwave moves out of the
region.
A strong upper-level ridge remains anchored to our west. This ridge
will be the dominant synoptic feature and will gradually expand
eastward, bringing an increase in subsidence, resulting in drier
and hotter conditions. While drier air entrainment will be a
factor, it will not be enough to completely suppress convection.
With decent PW values still in place, particularly over our
southern counties (south of I-10), the potential remains for
morning coastal showers with a few storms, and afternoon
thunderstorms developing inland along the seabreeze convergence
zone.
Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid-90s, increasing
to the upper-90s Wed - Friday.
JM
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Isolated showers continue to move inland from the Gulf this
morning. GLS currently at IFR with reduced VSBY from TS. Most of
the activity has died off upon reaching the I-10 corridor;
however, beginning to see very light showers popping up along and
just north of the corridor at this hour. Have included PROB30 for
southern terminals this afternoon as activity picks up along the
sea breeze. Otherwise, expect GLS to recover to VFR later this
morning with VFR prevailing at all other sites. Winds will
generally be light out of the southeast. Gusts to around 20 knots
will be possible with any storms today.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Light onshore winds and low seas will prevail throughout the week.
Light to occasionally offshore winds are expected late night into
early morning due to the land breeze. This will also result in
morning showers with isolated thunderstorms. This pattern of showers
and isolated storms in the morning with a few cells along the coast
in the afternoon can be expected in the next 7 days. A few storms
could become strong, producing strong winds and brief heavy
downpours.
JM
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 94 75 95 75 / 10 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 94 77 95 78 / 20 0 30 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 82 / 50 20 30 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...JM
FXUS64 KHGX 051841
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
141 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
...KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
- This week will be slightly drier, but a a daily risk remains for
coastal morning showers, and afternoon scattered showers and
thunderstorms inland along the sea breeze. Most of this activity
will remain along and south of the I-10 corridor.
- Turning hotter in the next few days with highs in the mid to upper
90s.
- There is a moderate risk of strong rip currents along all Gulf-
facing beaches most of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Latest visible satellite imagery shows a widespread field of Cu
clouds, indicating a less stable atmosphere. This is likely driven
by a weak surface trough, increasing convergence along the coast,
and a passing upper-level shortwave. As a result, scattered
showers with isolated thunderstorms are developing and will slowly
continue to move inland, mainly along the sea breeze, in the next
few hours. Vorticity is fairly low in our area, but cannot rule
out isolated weak funnel clouds developing along the coast and
coastal counties. Most of this activity will remain along and
south of the I-10 corridor, though a few showers are possible
further north. Showers and storms are expected to dissipate by
sunset as diurnal heating ends and the shortwave moves out of the
region.
A strong upper-level ridge remains anchored to our west. This ridge
will be the dominant synoptic feature and will gradually expand
eastward, bringing an increase in subsidence, resulting in drier
and hotter conditions. While drier air entrainment will be a
factor, it will not be enough to completely suppress convection.
With decent PW values still in place, particularly over our
southern counties (south of I-10), the potential remains for
morning coastal showers with a few storms, and afternoon
thunderstorms developing inland along the seabreeze convergence
zone.
Temperatures will generally remain in the low to mid-90s, increasing
to the upper-90s Wed - Friday.
JM
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Isolated showers continue to move inland from the Gulf this
morning. GLS currently at IFR with reduced VSBY from TS. Most of
the activity has died off upon reaching the I-10 corridor;
however, beginning to see very light showers popping up along and
just north of the corridor at this hour. Have included PROB30 for
southern terminals this afternoon as activity picks up along the
sea breeze. Otherwise, expect GLS to recover to VFR later this
morning with VFR prevailing at all other sites. Winds will
generally be light out of the southeast. Gusts to around 20 knots
will be possible with any storms today.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Aug 5 2025
Light onshore winds and low seas will prevail throughout the week.
Light to occasionally offshore winds are expected late night into
early morning due to the land breeze. This will also result in
morning showers with isolated thunderstorms. This pattern of showers
and isolated storms in the morning with a few cells along the coast
in the afternoon can be expected in the next 7 days. A few storms
could become strong, producing strong winds and brief heavy
downpours.
JM
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 94 75 95 75 / 10 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 94 77 95 78 / 20 0 30 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 83 91 82 / 50 20 30 20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...JM
The high yesterday was 88°F in CLL. We won't see that for at least a month!
NE wind and 92°F right now. I'd take this for the rest of August.
NE wind and 92°F right now. I'd take this for the rest of August.
That convection down in the BoC is holding together. Will be interesting to see if it’s still tomorrow morning.
Noticed that, as well. Pretty hefty cloud tops down there. Please correct me if I’m mistaken, but wouldn’t it need to clear land a bit more to try and get going?
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