Proto-Dexter is still riding easterlies on the bottom side of a mid-level N. Texas mini-ridge. It's doing it's own thing, as weak and unstructured as it is.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24
Tropical Discussion 2025
Yep. Finnegan, do it again. The easterlies won't give up the ghost yet. Retrograde lemonade.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1257 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
- Rain chances diminish and temperatures increase this weekend into
the middle parts of next week.
- The next decent chances of precipitation re-enter the forecast
late next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
Mid-upper inverted trof/disturbance situated over east/southeast Tx
should further weaken and lift nnw out of the vicinity tonight &
Saturday. Ridging should then gradually build in from the east as we
go through the weekend and into at least the middle parts of next
week. Increasing subsidence and lower PW`s with time will limit, or
eliminate, rain chances...and more sunshine will allow for a bump in
daytime highs.
Heading into the second part of next week, guidance is depicting
another inverted trof making its way wwd across FL, under the ridge
and toward the western Gulf Coast around Friday. (Looks like a
similar setup as to what we saw this week). If nothing else, it
should bring some increasing clouds/moisture and associated rain
chances back into the area. Some guidance tries to eventually
develop a weak surface circulation, but as of now, moderate winds
aloft could be a limiting factor for development. 47
&&
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1257 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
- Rain chances diminish and temperatures increase this weekend into
the middle parts of next week.
- The next decent chances of precipitation re-enter the forecast
late next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
Mid-upper inverted trof/disturbance situated over east/southeast Tx
should further weaken and lift nnw out of the vicinity tonight &
Saturday. Ridging should then gradually build in from the east as we
go through the weekend and into at least the middle parts of next
week. Increasing subsidence and lower PW`s with time will limit, or
eliminate, rain chances...and more sunshine will allow for a bump in
daytime highs.
Heading into the second part of next week, guidance is depicting
another inverted trof making its way wwd across FL, under the ridge
and toward the western Gulf Coast around Friday. (Looks like a
similar setup as to what we saw this week). If nothing else, it
should bring some increasing clouds/moisture and associated rain
chances back into the area. Some guidance tries to eventually
develop a weak surface circulation, but as of now, moderate winds
aloft could be a limiting factor for development. 47
&&