June 2025

[DoctorMu]

Wow! They issued a Moderate Risk here tomorrow! A Derecho is looking likely with 80-100 mph winds possible per SPC. Time to get the batteries charged up. LOL

In other words, the usual! This is a remarkably sustained severe season in the same general areas (SW) of tornado alley.

And a derecho not in the Midwest. The Derecho may head through the DFW area tonight.

[Stratton20]

Yeah im seeing big talk about deracho potential in north texas, hope that doesn’t come to pass

[tireman4]

Today's Outlook

[don]

Getting ready for a severe weather outbreak tonight. Winds of 80-100 mph are possible from the potential Derecho. I'm also under a flood watch.Interesting night ahead lol.

[Cpv17]

Getting ready for a severe weather outbreak tonight. Winds of 80-100 mph are possible from the potential Derecho. I'm also under a flood watch.Interesting night ahead lol.

Awesome!

[Rip76]

Today's Outlook

yay

[don]

A PDS severe thunderstorm watch was issued here.

[Rip76]

Wondering if this complex of storms may make it to the Houston area tonight.

[DoctorMu]

No sure.

It *may* make it to B/CS. Seems to be sliding east, though. For now.

[869MB]

IMG_0162.png (655.75 KiB) Viewed 3358 times

Mesoscale Discussion 1218
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0114 AM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

Areas affected...parts of east-central/southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 090614Z - 090745Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch may be needed south of watch
399.

DISCUSSION...A southward moving line of storms from northeast Texas
to north-central Texas will pose some severe weather threat through
the early morning hours Monday. 2000 to 3000 J/kg MUCAPE and 40
knots of effective shear should provide sufficient
instability/organization for this line of storms to persist through
the morning. The line is broken across central Texas with some more
organized segments southeast of Dallas and more supercellular
structure southwest of Fort Worth. Some guidance, such as the HRRR,
suggests that these supercells across central Texas may congeal into
a cluster and move southeast toward College Station. If this occurs,
a greater severe weather threat may materialize across east-central
Texas. However, if the storms remain somewhat spaced and well behind
the gust front, a more organized severe wind threat seems more
uncertain.

Trends will be monitored and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch
may be needed.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/09/2025

[tireman4]

Be ware of this mornings activity.

[JDsGN]

Man that main thrust really fell apart as it hit Austin County. Even still we got 1.3" this morning in Fairfield section of Cypress with 2"+ rainfall rates from 6:20 to 7ish at times. Thats almost as much as models were showing me get for the whole week. Nice start.

[jasons2k]

Almost an inch here. Great pattern for summer.

[Rip76]

Any way this “front,” stalls in the gulf?

[Rip76]

Any way this “front,” stalls in the gulf?

Eh, doesn't look like there's a lot left of this.

[MH5]

Slight risk has been expanded to include the metro and parts east for this evening. CAMs have all suggested that redevelopment is possible right over central Harris Co with all this daytime heating around rush hour. Keep an eye out.

[tireman4]

Heads up for later today

[don]

Harris County is the severe thunderstorm “capital” of SE Texas. It is a favored spot for frontal and mesoscale boundaries to setup.I think Galveston Bay and the heat island plays a role…

[don]

Fun fact the #1 county in Texas for severe thunderstorm warnings is Pecos County where Ft Stockton is located. Due to a semi permanent supercell that develops frequently in the Spring from the topography of the region. This supercell sometimes goes by the name “Old Faithful”.

[tireman4]

Might be a harbinger of things to come