January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Rip76
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Haha, wow
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:08 pm 18z RGEM goes absolutely ballistic!
Wow!
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jasons2k
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I would love the placement of the banding features on the latest RGEM. The south trend can stop now. Harris/Montgomery as bullseyes would make a lot of people happy.
Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:17 pm I would love the placement of the banding features on the latest RGEM. The south trend can stop now. Harris/Montgomery as bullseyes would make a lot of people happy.
No sir, it needs to trend 100 miles to the WSW lol
Brazoriatx979
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Those healthy totals are trending south
txsnowmaker
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Latest from Travis Herzog. We are in business, and metro Houston is right in the bullseye.

SUNDAY 2PM WINTER STORM UPDATE:

This looks like the real deal, y'all!

Over the last 24 hours we have seen virtually all computer modeling converge on Southeast Texas and Houston in particular for historic snowfall amounts.

We now have our first high-resolution look from the HRRR model, and it confirms what the global models have been showing. It only runs out to noon on Tuesday, where it already shows widespread snow totals of 1-3" in Southeast Texas with a band of 3-4" totals centered over Houston and extending eastward into Louisiana. There will be locally higher amounts perhaps double these totals, and the model shows it STILL snowing on its last frame at 12PM Tuesday.

I'll have much more on the timing of all this later here and on live TV at 5:30PM and 10PM, but I wanted to get the word out early that we all need to be prepared to be stuck wherever we rest our heads Monday night until at least Wednesday afternoon, and where the highest totals fall, roads may not be drivable until Thursday or Friday, especially those stretches not in direct sunshine. All the snow should be melted away by Saturday afternoon.

We'll keep you looped in, and the easiest way for you to get the latest info is to join us on live TV or the live stream at abc13.com/live. Full forecast here: abc13.com/forecast
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christinac2016
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Chances for my area seem to be going down. Down from 86% to 68%.
Brazoriatx979
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Winter storm warning is now in effect! Get ready to rumbleeeeeeeee
Brazoriatx979
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christinac2016 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:28 pm Chances for my area seem to be going down. Down from 86% to 68%.
Trends have been going south today. You are still in the mix. Don't worry
Cpv17
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christinac2016 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:28 pm Chances for my area seem to be going down. Down from 86% to 68%.
Chances in your area have definitely not gone down lol
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tireman4
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Houston Community College will be closed on Tuesday
ClearLake77
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My kids are happy lol. Rare snow day. This forecast looks bumpy. I've noticed Space City Weather piggy backs off of NWS. Saw it during Beryl and now.
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snowman65
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Wonder why the big total differences in some of the models?
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Stratton20
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has to do where exactly the heaviest snow bands set up, which is hard to say, some areas may just see 1-3 inches, while a neighborhood down the road could see 8-10 inches, its really hard to forecast
ajurcat
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DIL is a teacher at FBISD they are closed Tuesday and Wednesday
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tireman4
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Humble ISD is closed on January 21 and 22
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snowman65
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:29 pm has to do where exactly the heaviest snow bands set up, which is hard to say, some areas may just see 1-3 inches, while a neighborhood down the road could see 8-10 inches, its really hard to forecast
I mean compare the 18Z RGEM you posted vs the kne I posted. They arent even close, and we are less than 48 hrs away.
Nuby33
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In 2004 with the christmas eve snow didn't totals end up being much higher than forecasted by the models or am I remembering wrong..
Stratton20
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snowman65 the map you posted is the most likely anounts that most people in se texas will see, 3-5 inches looks like a pretty good bet widespread, but their will be some that see even more than that depending on where the heaviest snow bands set up, the rgem looks way different because its seeing the heavy snow bands and thus gives you the idea that some areas could receive alot
more than the general consensus of 3-5 inches widespread
Cpv17
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Nuby33 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:35 pm In 2004 with the christmas eve snow didn't totals end up being much higher than forecasted by the models or am I remembering wrong..
Don might know the answer to this. That’s a great question.
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