January 2025
Take an average:
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Gosh, the closer it gets to the event, the more depressing this becomes. If this south and east trend keeps going, it will only be cold with a trace of winter mischief.
Magnolia. All week my weather has been showing winter precipitation of 1-3 inches until a little bit ago for Monday. That went away.
also showing a lower percentage of mischief.-
Andrew
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Magnolia has just as much of a chance for 1-3 inches as anywhere else.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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That's good to hear! I wish I could post pics of what I see.
Thank you everyone for all you do. I dont think you hear it enough, but you are appreciated!
Thank you everyone for all you do. I dont think you hear it enough, but you are appreciated!
I'm seeing 3-4 in for Magnolia. Almost all snow.
Hoping for 3 inches in CLL.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Hi res are still too far out but NAM buries a lot of us in ice and RGEM buries us in both.
Team #NeverSummer
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Team #NeverSummer
ErrrybodyMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 10:13 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... cus_13.png
We shall see. The blue is me..
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I can’t get it to load, but i do get the dreaded Forbidden screen.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 10:13 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... cus_13.png
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Stratton20
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For now at least the global models are converging around i-10 for potentially one on the heavier mesocale snow bands to set up, rgem agrees with this, will be interesting to see what the hrrr shows tommorow
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Stratton20
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00z Euro…. Brings in a foot of snow right over down town houston
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txsnowmaker
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Herzog of Ch. 13 on Facebook an hour ago:
SATURDAY NIGHT WINTER STORM UPDATE
It is looking increasingly likely that Southeast Texas will end up with a blanket of snow on the ground Tuesday. What may start as freezing rain over Houston Monday night could quickly change over to sleet and then snow. This changeover will happen quicker north of I-10 (and could just be all snow) and happen slower south of I-10 (with snow still possible but not guaranteed along the coast).
We believe 1-3” of snow is likely for most with over 6” possible where heavy bands develop. The placement of those heavy bands is impossible to predict ahead of time. Regardless, this is looking truly historic.
Keep in mind that Houston’s largest snowfall in modern times was a little over 4 inches in February 1960. There have been larger snowfalls in other parts of Southeast Texas since then, like when over a foot of snow fell southwest of Houston on Christmas Eve in 2004. The size and scope of this winter weather event could land in the top 3 of recorded history in Southeast Texas.
The only way it doesn’t happen is if a “warm nose” of air just above freezing sneaks in about a mile above the ground to turn the snow into sleet. This scenario is depicted in the “NAM Model” graphic, and while that is still possible, it is looking less likely from Houston northward and eastward.
By Sunday afternoon we should have high resolution model data to help further refine our snowfall forecast. Please be advised that where these larger snow amounts occur, travel could be nearly impossible until Thursday or Friday.
We’ll keep you posted: abc13.com/forecast
SATURDAY NIGHT WINTER STORM UPDATE
It is looking increasingly likely that Southeast Texas will end up with a blanket of snow on the ground Tuesday. What may start as freezing rain over Houston Monday night could quickly change over to sleet and then snow. This changeover will happen quicker north of I-10 (and could just be all snow) and happen slower south of I-10 (with snow still possible but not guaranteed along the coast).
We believe 1-3” of snow is likely for most with over 6” possible where heavy bands develop. The placement of those heavy bands is impossible to predict ahead of time. Regardless, this is looking truly historic.
Keep in mind that Houston’s largest snowfall in modern times was a little over 4 inches in February 1960. There have been larger snowfalls in other parts of Southeast Texas since then, like when over a foot of snow fell southwest of Houston on Christmas Eve in 2004. The size and scope of this winter weather event could land in the top 3 of recorded history in Southeast Texas.
The only way it doesn’t happen is if a “warm nose” of air just above freezing sneaks in about a mile above the ground to turn the snow into sleet. This scenario is depicted in the “NAM Model” graphic, and while that is still possible, it is looking less likely from Houston northward and eastward.
By Sunday afternoon we should have high resolution model data to help further refine our snowfall forecast. Please be advised that where these larger snow amounts occur, travel could be nearly impossible until Thursday or Friday.
We’ll keep you posted: abc13.com/forecast