January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 5:46 pm 18z Euro caved
Must have came in much colder than 12z.
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tireman4
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Just an FYI, the models will flip flop mist of the week into the weekend. Sunday is the day to really start paying attention, in my mind
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Sunday is 72 hours roughly from the event and our storm will be on shore and we will see how cold it is upstream.

This is why people are saying Sunday.
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Cpv17
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Seems like models are all converging that there will be a storm system passing through the state mid to late next week. That’s my biggest takeaway from today. And that’s a damn good thing to see.
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DoctorMu
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Pas_Bon wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 3:33 pm Once again, the Space City Weather duo is going to be very reticent to include much more mention of the possible snow storm in their write-ups.
A few friends have retorted with their synopsis from this morning; I've reminded them that while they were good with Harvey, I honestly cannot come up with any other major weather events they've nailed down. They missed the derecho (everyone did) and they were essentially making fun of anyone who thought Beryl had a chance to impact us here.
They are hype-free to a fault, honestly.
SCW and 57 dismissed and missed on Beryl.
biggerbyte
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Sometimes we get little surprises when we start now casting. Otherwise, Sunday for sure. We all fall for it every single time because want it so bad. Remember when this all comes to a close the words that were being thrown around.. LOL

Polar Vortex, oh my.
Snow Storm, oh my.

Even Mexico was going to see this "Polar Vortex " LOL Welcome to Houston, folks.


All in all, keep dreaming until Sunday night.
redneckweather
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I believe this will be the biggest wide spread Texas snow storm we have seen in our lifetimes.
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DoctorMu
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Lots of tease for now. We'll see!

The 0z Canadian should be of interest. FWIW, they nailed the 2021 Jan. and Feb. winter storms.
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DoctorMu
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The 18z is shifting north in the 18z GFS, but here is your north of Hwy 1*5 pin shot.
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Brazoriatx979
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We don't mention that certain highway
Thank you
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I like being further west and away from metro concrete. Gradients tends to favor the rural spots in borderline events
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sambucol
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What kind of temps are we looking at in setx next week?
Cpv17
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sambucol wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:09 pm What kind of temps are we looking at in setx next week?
Too early to say.
Stratton20
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Ita very dependent on snow/ice if we get any of that, if its just a cold rain, temps would be stuck in the low 40’s for highs for at least 4-5 days, if we get any significant snow/ ice on the ground, id be wed be below freezing for a couple of days, its just very dependent on precipitation type , their will be alot of cloud cover so i don’t anticipate much warming in the afternoons
Pas_Bon
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sambucol wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:09 pm What kind of temps are we looking at in setx next week?

Could be 20, could be 80. No one knows anymore. lol

Kidding. It won’t be 80.
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tireman4
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Pas_Bon wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:27 pm
sambucol wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:09 pm What kind of temps are we looking at in setx next week?

Could be 20, could be 80. No one knows anymore. lol

Kidding. It won’t be 80.

You will do well in Met School! Lol
vci_guy2003
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:15 pm Ita very dependent on snow/ice if we get any of that, if its just a cold rain, temps would be stuck in the low 40’s for highs for at least 4-5 days, if we get any significant snow/ ice on the ground, id be wed be below freezing for a couple of days, its just very dependent on precipitation type , their will be alot of cloud cover so i don’t anticipate much warming in the afternoons
This sounds spot on to me :-) locals Mets never explain it this way.
Cpv17
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Boy oh boy, I know we have some serious potential next week for cold and winter weather, but I’m really loving what I see setting up on the long range ensembles.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 yeah, we get a renewed -EPO ridge, and a - PNA, the trough on ensembles is backing up to the west
Stratton20
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00z ICON is a full on snowstorm for western, central and se texas
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