October 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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855
FXUS64 KHGX 072013
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
313 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024

Benign weather conditions are expected to prevail for the next
several days as high pressure and dry air dominates the local
weather pattern. For tonight, mostly clear skies are expected
(giving a nice glimpse of the Waxing Moon phase) with light and
variable winds. A weak cold front will push into the region from the
NE overnight tonight, and although there will be no rain associated
with the front, the lows will be dipping into the low to mid 60s
over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region and in the upper 60s
to low 70s elsewhere.

On Tuesday, sunny skies are on tap and we will see a fairly nice
gradient in temperatures from east to west with highs in the mid to
upper 80s for areas near and east of I-45, and in the upper 80s to
low 90s for areas west of I-45. Temperatures will continue to cool
down Tuesday night with lows expected to be in the mid to upper 50s
over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods and in the upper 50s to low
60s elsewhere. We missed you Fall Season, welcome back!

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024

Northeasterly flow in the wake of Tuesday`s cold front will bring
cooler and drier conditions, more reminiscent of fall, in the days
following. Ridging over the Four Corners/Western CONUS should keep
daytime temperatures fairly warm, ranging from the upper 80s to
lower 90s inland and mid/lower 80s along the coast. Dewpoints in the
40s/50s and clear skies overnight should bring cooler lows, ranging
from the 50s/mid 60s inland and upper 60s/lower 70s along the coast.
Winds slowly veer east/southeasterly Thursday evening as a surface
high over the Great Lakes sags southward towards the Tennessee
Valley/SE CONUS. This will usher in gradual moisture return into the
weekend, slowly bringing low temperatures up by a few degrees. PWs
remain sufficiently low to keep SE Texas rain-free through the end
of the forecast period.

03

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024

VFR conditions expected through the end of the TAF period. ENE
winds today at 06-12 KTS with occasionally higher gusts. Winds
will be light and VRB by early tonight, and then become NE and
strengthen to 5-10 KTS Tue morning.

24

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 245 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 2024

East-northeasterly winds around 10 to 20 knots and seas of 4-6 feet
can be expected early this week. Caution flags and Small Craft
Advisories may be needed at times, mainly during the daytime hours.
Elevated tide levels and a high risk of rip currents can also be
expected through this early-week period. A cold front should push
off the coast on Tuesday, bringing light to moderate northeasterly
flow through mid week. Winds decrease and slowly veer southeasterly
as high pressure settles in over the east-southeast CONUS.

03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 65 90 58 91 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 69 88 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 74 87 70 84 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday morning for TXZ436>439.

Beach Hazards Statement from 6 PM CDT this evening through
Tuesday morning for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 7 PM CDT this evening
for GMZ350-355.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cotto (24)
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...Cotto (24)
MARINE...03
txbear
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2024 10:56 am
txbear wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:40 am
don wrote: Sun Oct 06, 2024 9:23 am The weather here has some large temp swings. We've been having daily highs in the low to mid 90's during the daytime.But overnight/early morning the temps have been dropping into the upper 50's.
Ah the dry air of the lands west of 35 or 281 depending on personal takes of delineation (also much less urban heat islands). At some point the mesquites will start dropping their leaves…maybe.

We’re getting the SE TX version of that, but really yearning for truly lower daytime temps and water from the blue yonder.
No GOM nearby.

Without the GOM the Southeast would be a desert until the Appalachians - much like Australia.
Yep, we’d have the Chihuahuan desert and eastern New Mexico extend quite far east without GOM (tends to feel that way already out west at times). I set my demarcation line of GOM humidity influence to highway 281 generally.

The exception being the GOM’s hand in severe season, which don will surely enjoy.
Stratton20
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Model guidance is trending much cooler next week, GFS/ CMC highs in the mid 70’s , lows in the low 50’s , GEFS trending much cooler as well
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tireman4
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922
FXUS64 KHGX 081128
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

With the passage of the cold front overnight, dry quiet and cooler
(finally) weather will prevail across SE TX through the short term.
Surface high pressure building down into the OH/TN Valley looks to
be the main impetus for the backdoor nature of this front...and it
should help to maintain light to moderate CAA/NE winds through to-
morrow. We are going to see dewpoints drop into the 40s for a good
part of the CWA by tonight. Skies are going to remain mostly clear
to clear throughout.

As for temperatures, the drier air and abundant sunshine will allow
for a decent warm-up during the daytime hours. Highs today and tom-
orrow will climb into the mid and upper 80s...but some locations to
the W/SW could still see some readings into the lower 90s. But lows
are going to be where it`s at. Tonight, most areas will fall to the
mid and upper 50s...lower to mid 60s for our more urban and coastal
FA. Tomorrow night`s low will be roughly the same, but perhaps 1 to
3 degrees warmer. 41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

The quiet weather will continue through the long term high pressure
brining dry and seasonal conditions. High temperatures will be
staying in the upper 80s to low 90s for most of the area and in the
low to mid 80s for along the coast. Overnight lows will be in the
upper 50s to low 60s for most of the area, and mid 60s for the
Houston Metro, and upper 60s to low 70s along the immediate coast.
There will be a weak upper level shortwave passing by Friday evening
to Saturday morning that may increase cloud cover, and that is the
most exciting weather we`ll be seeing over the next week. There will
be a gradual increase in moisture through the weekend, but another
weak cold front is possible late Monday into Tuesday bringing drier
and cooler air back to SE Texas.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

VFR. NE 4-8kts winds this morning will shift a bit more N 8-12kts by
this afternoon. Winds will decrease once again this evening...NE/VRB
4-7kts overnight (but staying around 10kts at GLS). 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Small craft should continue to exercise caution today in the
offshore waters as northeasterly winds of 15-20kt continue. A weak
cold front is expected to pass through the coastal waters this
evening turning the winds more northerly and will continue to be
near caution flag criteria. Light to occasionally moderate
northeasterly to easterly winds will continue through Saturday
morning, then becoming southeasterly by Saturday evening. Wave
heights will continue to be around 3-4 feet through Thursday, then
dropping to 1-2 feet through the weekend.

A Beach Hazards Statement continues today for high risk of strong
rip currents.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 90 57 91 58 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 88 61 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 86 70 84 71 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through this evening for
GMZ370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...41
MARINE...Fowler
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tireman4
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.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

East-northeasterly winds gradually becoming northeasterly this
afternoon with winds speeds generally around 8-12 knots with a few
gusts around 15 knots at times. Winds become light and variable
after sunset followed by another round of northeasterly winds
around 10 knots beginning Wednesday morning.
Stratton20
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12z Euro is much cooler next week as well, the trends are looking good! Penciling in a strong fall FROPA next wednesday or so
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tireman4
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873
FXUS64 KHGX 081922
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
222 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Drier air is working its way in from the east as satellite derived
PW values indicate values around 0.5-0.6" nudging in along and east
of the I-45 corridor. PW values remain around 1.0" near Matagorda
Bay, which is where a stationary frontal boundary currently
sits...but the front will push completely through Southeast Texas by
the early evening hours. Although a cold front has technically
pushed through parts of Southeast Texas, it still feels rather warm
out there...what`s the deal?! With the drier air moving in and 850mb
temperatures generally around the 90th percentile (especially for
our far western areas - e.g. west of the Brazos River), we`ll still
see temperatures top out mainly in the upper 80s with a few spots in
the low 90s. During the overnight hours is when we`ll feel the REAL
benefits of this FROPA :)

With winds becoming light after sunset combined with clear skies and
dew points primarily in the 40s, we`ll see some efficient
radiational cooling overnight. Low temperatures tonight will drop
down mainly into the low to upper 50s for most inland locations,
except for around the Houston metro area and along the coast where
low temperatures will fall in the low to upper 60s. With surface
high pressure moving in closer late tonight into Wednesday, we can
expect a copy-pasta forecast with high temperatures in the upper 80s
to low 90s and low temperatures in the 50s/60s. Technically,
Wednesday may be warmer by about 1-2F, but close enough for copy-
pasta. Drier air with climatologically warm 850mb temperatures this
time of the year usually leads to these 30+F diurnal temperature
ranges.

Batiste/Howard


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Although surface ridging extending from the Great Lakes/NE into
Southeast Texas will be transitioning a bit further ese as we head
into the weekend, ridging and subsidence aloft will keep rain
chances low to nil. Other than just a modest increase in dewpoints,
ambient wx should remain about status quo.

Mid level ridging should amplify across the Rockies and troffiness
deepens across the eastern US late in the weekend late in the weekend
into early next week. Such a pattern lends support for a 1028-1035mb
high dropping south thru the central CONUS to bring a more legitimate
cold front into the region about a week from now. Moisture availability
still looks too sparse ahead of the front in regards to rain
chances...but we won`t argue with some cooler wx. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

East-northeasterly winds gradually becoming northeasterly this
afternoon with winds speeds generally around 8-12 knots with a few
gusts around 15 knots at times. Winds become light and variable
after sunset followed by another round of northeasterly winds
around 10 knots beginning Wednesday morning.

Batiste/Howard

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 221 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Longer period 4-6ft swell in association with Hurricane Milton in
the south central Gulf will persist into the overnight hours so will
extend the caution flags in the offshore waters. Otherwise 10-17kt
northeast winds will prevail for the next few days. As we escape the
more favorable swell window and the pressure gradient relaxes, winds
and seas will diminish during the second half of the work week and
into the weekend. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 57 91 57 92 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 60 90 61 91 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 69 88 69 88 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Beach Hazards Statement until 7 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through Wednesday morning
for GMZ370-375.

&&

$$
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Oct 08, 2024 1:50 pm 12z Euro is much cooler next week as well, the trends are looking good! Penciling in a strong fall FROPA next wednesday or so
The CPC has it mainly east of us. Has us near normal temps.
Pas_Bon
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Oct 08, 2024 1:50 pm 12z Euro is much cooler next week as well, the trends are looking good! Penciling in a strong fall FROPA next wednesday or so
We are mired in the suck.
Not much change for the Houston metro area foreseen. Dangit.
Stratton20
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Pas_Bon rain still looks meh, but much cooler temperatures are becoming more likely next week, ensemble support is on the higher side as well
Stratton20
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GFS highs in the upper 60’s in se texas next wednesday
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Oct 08, 2024 11:29 pm GFS highs in the upper 60’s in se texas next wednesday
You’re so hype for it lol I love the weather we have now. Lows near 60 with highs near 90 is awesome for me. Lower humidity feels great. A person could get a lot accomplished outside with this type of weather.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I mean guidance is in really good agreement on a fall front next week lol so im all in on it, plus other mets are buying in lol, their is a good bet this week might be the last time we see 90 degrees until next may or so
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tireman4
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76
FXUS64 KHGX 091121
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
621 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Dry quiet weather with slowly warming temperatures will prevail over
SE TX through the short term. Weak CAA will continue today then tap-
ering off tonight as the surface high centered over the OH/TN Valley
begins to shift N/NE with time. Light/variable winds on Thurs should
become more E/SE by Thurs night. Moisture levels are progged to stay
low and skies mostly clear to clear throughout.

Highs today will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s...then like-
ly a bit warmer tomorrow ranging from around 90 over the Piney Woods
to the lower to mid 90s heading south and west toward Matagorda Bay.
However, nights will remain cool. Lows should be in the upper 50s to
lower 60s for most areas tonight and tomorrow night...then lower 70s
at the immediate coast. 41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Surface high pressure continues to dominate the weather over SE
CONUS through the weekend bringing us dry conditions and above
normal daytime temperatures. There will be a slight increase in
high temperatures through the weekend with highs in the upper 80s
to low 90s on Friday, then rising to low to mid 90s by Sunday. The
dry conditions will help low temperatures to be closer to
seasonal, but a slow return of moisture will lead to a similar
rise in overnight lows. They will start out in the low to mid 60s
Friday night, then mid to upper 60s (even some low 70s) by Sunday
night. Guidance continues to indicate a fairly substantial cold
front moving through Tuesday into Wednesday next week bringing
temperatures down 10 or more degrees.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 618 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

VFR. NE winds 5-10kts expected through the day...decreasing this eve-
ning. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 312 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Small craft should continue to exercise caution in the Gulf waters
through the morning as long period swells of 4-6 feet and gusty
northeasterly winds of 15-20kt continue. The caution flags may
need to be continued through the afternoon, at least in the off
shore waters. Light to occasionally moderate northeasterly to
easterly winds will continue through Saturday morning, then
becoming onshore by Saturday evening. Wave heights will continue
to be around 3-4 feet through tomorrow, then dropping to 1-2 feet
through the weekend.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 91 60 92 59 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 89 62 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 85 72 85 73 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 10 AM CDT this morning
for GMZ350-355-370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...41
MARINE...Fowler
user:null
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If any of you want to see a sad state of affairs (apart from the effects that Milton will have on Florida), then take a look at the comments on the recent post that Space City Weather made to their site.
https://spacecityweather.com/houstons-f ... r-control/

Honestly, I don't even know how the vast majority of people can even tie their shoelaces. Let alone function in modern day societies. It's getting to the point that professionals just doing their basic jobs is winding up as "evidence" for some sort of "conspiracy" effort. Just goes to show you how stupid the vast majority of humans are — no surprise how stuff like the Witch Trials, The Holocaust, etc were able to propagate throughout history.
Stratton20
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People who are saying the government created this hurricane need to be put in a mental institution, its ridiculous the amount of those comments im seeing on social media
JDsGN
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user:null wrote: Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:35 pm If any of you want to see a sad state of affairs (apart from the effects that Milton will have on Florida), then take a look at the comments on the recent post that Space City Weather made to their site.
https://spacecityweather.com/houstons-f ... r-control/

Honestly, I don't even know how the vast majority of people can even tie their shoelaces. Let alone function in modern day societies. It's getting to the point that professionals just doing their basic jobs is winding up as "evidence" for some sort of "conspiracy" effort. Just goes to show you how stupid the vast majority of humans are — no surprise how stuff like the Witch Trials, The Holocaust, etc were able to propagate throughout history.
I had a response written out but i deleted it. Ill just say that you are 100% correct and i can't comprehend how we've gotten here other than blaming social media being used improperly to connect idiots that otherwise would never have met.
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:45 pm People who are saying the government created this hurricane need to be put in a mental institution, its ridiculous the amount of those comments im seeing on social media
Dude, fr! It’s bad. I had someone block me on Twitter cuz he said something isn’t right cuz Helene and Milton formed in similar areas within a 2 week window and I was like no, that’s relatively normal in that area this time of the year and then he commented back calling me a clown and blocked me lol crazy people out there.
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tireman4
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Back to our sensible weather here in the Space City


628
FXUS64 KHGX 092012
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
312 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

I really hope y`all were able to step outside this morning and enjoy
the coolest morning of the season so far! Many of you were able to
drop down into the 50s with the exception being right around the
Houston metro area and near the coast, which includes our office.
The temperature here at NWS HGX got down to 59.5F last night, which
means that we missed officially reaching the 50s by 0.1F...I`m only
slightly upset by that. Nevertheless there looks to be a better
chance of reaching that milestone, but more on that in the Long Term
section. With drier air in place (PW`s around the 10th percentile)
and 850mb temperatures in the 90 to 97.5 percentile, we`re seeing
some decent heating this afternoon leading to highs in the upper 80s
with some low 90s possible out west. With surface high pressure
scooting out northeastward tonight, we begin to lose out on the CAA
leading to a slightly warmer night with lows mainly in the low 60s.
Locations east of I-45 and north of I-10 may see lows back in the
upper 50s again.

Temperatures on Thursday will be about 2-3F warmer as 850mb
temperatures are closer to the 97.5 percentile along with another
pocket of drier air moving in from the east. As a result, expecting
widespread high temperatures in the low 90s with some mid 90s
possible west of the Brazos River. That drier air looks to stick
around into the overnight hours...so surprisingly enough the low
temperatures may be a tad bit cooler on Thursday night than tonight
for some (mainly across the Brazos Valley). Those high
temperatures in the 90s don`t go away as we head towards the
weekend, but for more on that I`ll pass it off to the Long Term
forecaster.

Batiste

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Surprise it`s me again! As previously mentioned, the above normal
temperature trend continues going into the weekend with 850mb
temperatures approaching the 99th and MAX percentiles. With drier
air remaining in place (PW values remaining generally less than
1.0"), we`ll still have favorable conditions for efficient heating
leading to high temperatures in the low to mid 90s to continue.
Overnight temperatures are where you`re likely to notice more of a
difference as we go from the low to mid 60s on Friday night to the
mid to upper 60s Saturday night and onward. The only real thing of
note other than the temperatures is a shortwave trough passing
through late Friday/early Saturday. Since it`ll still be dry though,
it won`t do much other than develop a few upper level clouds...but
hey maybe it`ll give us something to focus our cameras on for the
sunset pictures (#NoFilter) for our Brazos Valley folks.

Well I suppose there is one more thing to talk about...some little
ol` cold front. Model guidance is still indicating a deeper upper
level trough transitioning through the eastern half of the CONUS
leading to the passage of a cold front early next week. Too early to
lock in exact timing, but it looks like somewhere in the Monday to
Tuesday timeframe. Cooler and drier air moves in behind that front
with strong high pressure building in behind that. I won`t get into
any deterministic numbers this far out, but I will throw in some
probabilistic forecasting! The probabilities for temperatures below
60F are essentially negligible for most of Southeast Texas over the
weekend. However, after Monday, these probabilities jump to 50-60+%
for all of Southeast Texas into the middle of next week.
Take that for what you will :)

Batiste

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Winds
this afternoon are northeasterly around 7-11 knots and will
become light and variable after sunset. Winds will start our
northeasterly on Thursday, but gradually become east-northeasterly
by the afternoon hours with wind speeds remaining less than 10
knots.

Batiste

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Lingering longer period swells in the offshore waters will gradually
come to an end later this afternoon as the effects from Hurricane
Milton come to an end leading to seas continuing their decline in
the offshore Gulf waters. Northeasterly winds will prevail for the
next few days then return to southeasterly going into the weekend.
Overall though, with the pressure gradient relaxing, winds and seas
will diminish during the second half of the work week and through
the weekend. We`re monitoring for a cold front to push offshore
early next week that could bring another round of elevated
northeasterly winds and seas.

Batiste

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 60 93 59 92 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 63 91 64 91 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 72 86 74 84 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Batiste
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...Batiste
MARINE...Batiste
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tireman4
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780
FXUS64 KHGX 101152
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
652 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

No changes are expected with the forecast as this dry quiet weather
pattern remains in place across SE TX through the rest of this work
week. Surface high pressure lingering in/around the middle Mississ-
ippi River Valley will help to maintain light NE winds at the lower
levels over much of the next couple of days. Aloft, ridging just to
the west of the state will keep a dry northerly flow in place.

So, all of this should translate to warm/dry days and mostly clear/
cool nights through the short-term. Highs will range from the upper
80s to lower 90s for most locations today and tomorrow...mid 80s at
the beaches. Lows should run from the upper 50s north (Piney Woods)
to the lower and mid 60s elsewhere for tonight and tomorrow night.

41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

Toasty weather returns Saturday through at least Monday with
rising mid-level heights and abundant sunshine. High temperatures
will be in the low 90s on Saturday, and then low to mid 90s Sunday
and Monday with low temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. The high
temperatures will be about 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Guidance
continues to indicate a fairly substantial cold front moving
through the area next Tuesday. High temperatures on Tuesday will
ultimately be decided on the exact timing of the cold front, which
is still in flux at this time, but will likely be in the 80s for
most of the area. Low temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low
60s Tuesday night. CAA will be in full effect by Wednesday keeping
temperatures in the mid to upper 70s for most of the areas. The
colder temperatures will continue into Wednesday night with lows
in the low to mid 50s for most of the area... and possibly even
cooler in parts of the Pineywoods.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

VFR conditions will persist. Light/variable winds this morning will
be increasing this afternoon (NE/E 7-11kts with gusts up to 20kts).
Winds will be decreasing once again this evening/overnight. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 316 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

Light northeasterly winds will continue through Friday becoming
onshore through the weekend and the start of next week. Seas will
continue to be around 3-4ft today, then becoming 1-2ft by the
weekend. A cold front is currently expected to move through the
coastal water on Tuesday ushering in moderate to strong northerly
winds and elevated seas midweek next week.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 93 59 92 62 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 91 63 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 85 74 84 74 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...41
MARINE...Fowler
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