Remnants of TS Nicole
-
srainhoutx
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Appears we have a TD and advisories will start at 10 AM CDT from NHC.
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT21 KNHC 281451
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1500 UTC TUE SEP 28 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES FROM MANTANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS WARNING INCLUDES
THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...
THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA COAST FROM
JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FOR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA
* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY
* THE FLORIDA KEYS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA
* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 82.8W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N 81.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.5N 80.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.0N 78.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 82.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
WTNT21 KNHC 281451
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1500 UTC TUE SEP 28 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES FROM MANTANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS WARNING INCLUDES
THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...
THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA COAST FROM
JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FOR THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA
* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY
* THE FLORIDA KEYS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA
* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 82.8W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N 81.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.5N 80.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.0N 78.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 82.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 281734
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 82.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
WTNT31 KNHC 281734
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 82.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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Looks like we will have TS Nicole...
AL, 16, 2010092818, , BEST, 0, 212N, 829W, 35, 1000, TS, 34,
AL, 16, 2010092818, , BEST, 0, 212N, 829W, 35, 1000, TS, 34,
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srainhoutx
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srainhoutx wrote:Looks like we will have TS Nicole...
AL, 16, 2010092818, , BEST, 0, 212N, 829W, 35, 1000, TS, 34,
FTP Updated and stays a TD...
AL, 16, 2010092818, , BEST, 0, 212N, 826W, 30, 1000, TD,
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT41 KNHC 282052
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FOUND THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
CONSISTED OF A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT WINDS AND NEARLY UNIFORM
PRESSURE. INDEED...WINDS WERE 20 KT OR LESS WITHIN 100 N MI OR
MORE OF THE CENTER. CLEARLY...THIS IS NOT A CLASSICAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED SOME 200 N MI SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER. OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA DATA BUOY 42057 FROM EARLY
THIS MORNING AND ASCAT DATA FROM AROUND 1500 UTC SUGGESTED THAT THE
SYSTEM MAY HAVE BEEN A MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM EARLIER TODAY. THERE
IS SOME QUESTION...HOWEVER...AS TO WHETHER THOSE WINDS WERE
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE CYCLONE SCALE. IN ANY EVENT...RECENT
HURRICANE HUNTER DATA SHOWS NO EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS NOT VERY
IMPRESSIVE...WITH RAGGED-LOOKING BANDING FEATURES AND VERY LITTLE
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL
SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...ALONG WITH THE CURRENT
STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE...SHOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER
THAN THE LATEST STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL LGEM PREDICTION. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM SHOULD MERGE WITH A FRONT
AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE
MODELS ALSO SHOW WHAT APPEARS TO BE A NEW BAROCLINIC DEVELOPMENT TO
THE NORTH REPLACING THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE...SO DISSIPATION IS
EXPECTED BY 72 HOURS.
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AIRCRAFT...SURFACE...AND SATELLITE DATA THE
CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS
TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK
FORECAST OR SYNOPTIC REASONING. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH ACCELERATION...BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH AND A
MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. THE TRACK FORECAST IS NOW A LITTLE TO THE
EAST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS BUT QUITE CLOSE TO THE NEW U.K. MET.
OFFICE AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL TRACKS.
UNLESS THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE TIGHTENS UP SOON...THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE CENTER ACROSS CUBA AND FLORIDA WILL BE RELATIVELY
UNIMPORTANT...SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS WILL
OCCUR WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 28/2100Z 21.5N 82.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 29/0600Z 23.0N 81.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 29/1800Z 25.4N 80.6W 40 KT
36HR VT 30/0600Z 29.0N 79.5W 40 KT
48HR VT 30/1800Z 34.0N 78.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
WTNT41 KNHC 282052
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FOUND THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
CONSISTED OF A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT WINDS AND NEARLY UNIFORM
PRESSURE. INDEED...WINDS WERE 20 KT OR LESS WITHIN 100 N MI OR
MORE OF THE CENTER. CLEARLY...THIS IS NOT A CLASSICAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED SOME 200 N MI SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER. OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA DATA BUOY 42057 FROM EARLY
THIS MORNING AND ASCAT DATA FROM AROUND 1500 UTC SUGGESTED THAT THE
SYSTEM MAY HAVE BEEN A MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM EARLIER TODAY. THERE
IS SOME QUESTION...HOWEVER...AS TO WHETHER THOSE WINDS WERE
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE CYCLONE SCALE. IN ANY EVENT...RECENT
HURRICANE HUNTER DATA SHOWS NO EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS NOT VERY
IMPRESSIVE...WITH RAGGED-LOOKING BANDING FEATURES AND VERY LITTLE
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL
SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...ALONG WITH THE CURRENT
STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE...SHOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER
THAN THE LATEST STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL LGEM PREDICTION. GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM SHOULD MERGE WITH A FRONT
AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE
MODELS ALSO SHOW WHAT APPEARS TO BE A NEW BAROCLINIC DEVELOPMENT TO
THE NORTH REPLACING THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE...SO DISSIPATION IS
EXPECTED BY 72 HOURS.
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AIRCRAFT...SURFACE...AND SATELLITE DATA THE
CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS
TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK
FORECAST OR SYNOPTIC REASONING. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH ACCELERATION...BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH AND A
MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. THE TRACK FORECAST IS NOW A LITTLE TO THE
EAST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS BUT QUITE CLOSE TO THE NEW U.K. MET.
OFFICE AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL TRACKS.
UNLESS THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE TIGHTENS UP SOON...THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE CENTER ACROSS CUBA AND FLORIDA WILL BE RELATIVELY
UNIMPORTANT...SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS WILL
OCCUR WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 28/2100Z 21.5N 82.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 29/0600Z 23.0N 81.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 29/1800Z 25.4N 80.6W 40 KT
36HR VT 30/0600Z 29.0N 79.5W 40 KT
48HR VT 30/1800Z 34.0N 78.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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- Contact:
A very strung out mass of mess tonight from the Caribbean to SE...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 282339
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION RE-FORMS A LITTLE TO THE EAST...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 82.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
WTNT31 KNHC 282339
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION RE-FORMS A LITTLE TO THE EAST...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 82.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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Code: Select all
WHXX01 KWBC 290049
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0049 UTC WED SEP 29 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN (AL162010) 20100929 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100929 0000 100929 1200 100930 0000 100930 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 21.4N 82.1W 23.0N 81.8W 25.1N 80.5W 28.1N 79.0W
BAMD 21.4N 82.1W 24.0N 81.1W 28.0N 79.8W 33.4N 78.8W
BAMM 21.4N 82.1W 23.2N 81.3W 25.9N 79.8W 30.0N 78.1W
LBAR 21.4N 82.1W 23.8N 81.4W 27.6N 80.6W 32.8N 79.8W
SHIP 30KTS 35KTS 42KTS 48KTS
DSHP 30KTS 33KTS 39KTS 45KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
101001 0000 101002 0000 101003 0000 101004 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.5N 77.4W 35.1N 75.4W 36.9N 71.6W 40.5N 63.4W
BAMD 39.4N 77.4W 51.9N 63.3W 55.8N 36.0W 50.4N 11.0W
BAMM 35.1N 76.2W 44.1N 68.2W 51.8N 50.4W 50.0N 25.3W
LBAR 38.9N 77.5W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 50KTS 38KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 39KTS 30KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.4N LONCUR = 82.1W DIRCUR = 35DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 20.4N LONM12 = 83.0W DIRM12 = 31DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 19.4N LONM24 = 84.1W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 180NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1003MB OUTRAD = 375NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 290242
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 81.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
WTNT31 KNHC 290242
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 81.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 291149
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
800 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...CENTER
RELOCATED...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 81.4W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM S OF MARATHON FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
WTNT31 KNHC 291149
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
800 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...CENTER
RELOCATED...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 81.4W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM S OF MARATHON FLORIDA
ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...CENTER STILL NEAR CENTRAL
CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 80.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR FLORIDA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...CENTER STILL NEAR CENTRAL
CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 80.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR FLORIDA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19685
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 291745
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
200 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...CIRCULATION OF NICOLE BECOMING POORLY DEFINED...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 80.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
WTNT31 KNHC 291745
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
200 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...CIRCULATION OF NICOLE BECOMING POORLY DEFINED...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 80.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19685
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000
WTNT31 KNHC 292033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...LARGE AREA OF
HEAVY RAINS PERSISTS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 80.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ENE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM W OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENTS OF CUBA...GRAND CAYMAN...AND THE BAHAMAS HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
WTNT31 KNHC 292033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010
500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...LARGE AREA OF
HEAVY RAINS PERSISTS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 80.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ENE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM W OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENTS OF CUBA...GRAND CAYMAN...AND THE BAHAMAS HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
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