Tropical Storm Francine

[tireman4]

Francine is headed East to Central Louisiana so we are in the clear in Texas. Hopefully that is it for Hurricane season in the gulf as we start to get move fronts pushing through the state

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

[Cromagnum]

Yep. I'm calling all clear until this thing is buried in Lousiana.

[walsean1]

Francine is headed East to Central Louisiana so we are in the clear in Texas. Hopefully that is it for Hurricane season in the gulf as we start to get move fronts pushing through the state

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

Francine is headed East to Central Louisiana so we are in the clear in Texas. Hopefully that is it for Hurricane season in the gulf as we start to get move fronts pushing through the state

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

Yes we may get some wind in Houston/Glaveston/Beaumont, but compared to Beryl impacts, the major impacts of Francine hopefully stay towards Louisiana. I don’t wish for anyone to get a Hurricane because the impacts are felt for days once the storm has passed. I listened to the Weatherman on his Youtube channel mention a storm in the pacific recurving through Mexico and entering the Gulf of Mexico.

[jasons2k]

MLC is trekking westward on Brownsville radar.

It’s just crazy that a storm that far south and west, this early in September, is forecast to make landfall east over in Louisiana.

[sambucol]

I read the center has shifted about 40 miles to the west. Will that affect the track?

We are not letting our guard down until this storm is gone. Rita was an excellent example when it changed directions and caught people off guard east of the Houston area.

[Pas_Bon]

Francine is headed East to Central Louisiana so we are in the clear in Texas. Hopefully that is it for Hurricane season in the gulf as we start to get move fronts pushing through the state

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

I have to respectfully disagree. I see no plausible scenario where this storm would track toward the Houston/Galveston area.

[Rip76]

Better start moving N. I mean how could a storm named, "Francine," not hit Texas.

[Stratton20]

sambucol its a temporary wobble and actually this was shown by a couple of models a few days ago , maybe a slight shift west in the track, but still will not be a se texas landfall

[sambucol]

Travis Herzog posted this on Facebook about 30 minutes ago:

Francine rapidly developing an eye, wobbles off track to the west.

Those are you 1PM Monday tropical headlines.

Francine's developing eye is now visible on Brownsville's radar, and based on how quickly the pressure is starting to drop, we may have a hurricane on our hands later today, well ahead of the predicted pace from the National Hurricane Center. As I mentioned last night, odds are significantly higher than normal for rapid intensification into a hurricane, and it could potentially be a major before landfall Wednesday.

Our Francine Eye Tracker shows the observed path in white and the forecast track in red, and if it looks a little wonky to your eye, that's because the center has reformed farther north and west than predicted. In fact, you can see it's already almost as far north as it was predicted to be at 7PM and farther west than any point along the center line track.

It remains to be seen if this is some temporary wobble that will correct itself or if this is a meaningful track shift. Let's see what the NHC forecasters do in their 4PM update.

While we have expressed cautious optimism that impacts will be minimal for Houston and most inland communities, we still want you to keep your guard up and pay close attention these next 24 hours, especially those of you along the coast. If you are along the coast, the closer you get to Louisiana, the greater the wind, rain, and surge impacts will be for you on Wednesday.

We'll keep you updated frequently throughout the day, and if you can't watch us on live TV, you can still catch us on our live 24/7 streaming channel at abc13.com/live or the ABC13 Houston News App at abc13.com/apps.

I anticipate providing another analysis for you here after the 4PM forecast update comes out from NHC.

[tireman4]

Francine is headed East to Central Louisiana so we are in the clear in Texas. Hopefully that is it for Hurricane season in the gulf as we start to get move fronts pushing through the state

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

I have to respectfully disagree. I see no plausible scenario where this storm would track toward the Houston/Galveston area.

If the center tracks West..or more Westerly, absolutely effects would indeed be elevated. Let.us use the wise words of Dr. Neil Frank, " Until a tropical system is completely gone, anything can happen" As I stated, and I shall remain stating it, remain vigilant. Ike, 2008.

[Cpv17]

With all due respect, we are not in the clear. The CWA area may still have issues to deal with. This storm may still have a more westerly track as we continue to watch. Beaumont, who we have folks that live there, will deal with more than we will in the Houston area. Lastly, the forecast for Hobby airport is Tropical Storm conditions possible. We remain vigilant.

I have to respectfully disagree. I see no plausible scenario where this storm would track toward the Houston/Galveston area.

If the center tracks West..or more Westerly, absolutely effects would indeed be elevated. Let.us use the wise words of Dr. Neil Frank, " Until a tropical system is completely gone, anything can happen" As I stated, and I shall remain stating it, remain vigilant. Ike, 2008.

There’s nothing wrong with your take, but personally, I’m not concerned one bit about it for the majority of our area.

[jasons2k]

I would not expect any significant shifts in the track going forward. Bad scenario for Louisiana. Only thing holding this one back right now is some dry air entrainment. I’m not expecting much up here other than some outer bands and some breezy winds as it brushes by to the east.

[dp6]

Famous last words:

"LOL, what are you going to do, hit me?"

[Stratton20]

Given that its quickly developing an inner core, im thinking this is probably going to shift east even of vermillion bay, outside of the Texas coastline, i dont really expect any rain to reach inland parts of se texas , NE turn will probably begin overnight

[Rip76]

Given that its quickly developing an inner core, im thinking this is probably going to shift east even of vermillion bay, outside of the Texas coastline, i dont really expect any rain to reach inland parts of se texas , NE turn will probably begin overnight

Looks to be beginning the turn north now.

[Pas_Bon]

If only these things would use turn signals….

[Rip76]

If only these things would use turn signals….

No one in the Texas area does.

[Rip76]

I wonder if South Padre is going to get a little more than they thought.

[davidiowx]

Models are looking good for our area. Hopefully those in central Louisiana are preparing now.

[DoctorMu]

Could use some rain. I hope Francine weakens rather than strengthens on landing. Reed Timmer thinks Francine could be a CAT3 at landfall and is highly concerned about torandoes with the trough and jet stream interaction, with Francine migrating toward the NOLA area. Landfall SW of Lafayette.

The bad news for us west of the predicted Francine track will be wind + heat which while dry the lawn quickly. I would not be surprised to see near 100°F Friday or Saturday.