August 2024

[DoctorMu]

Well, well...the cut off low starting to do its thing. I hope the showers migrate up this way.

[jasons2k]

Just put down the last batch of Nitro Phos Imperial until Fall Fertilizer/Winterizer at Halloween. It better rain dammit.

[Pas_Bon]

Well, well...the cut off low starting to do its thing. I hope the showers migrate up this way.

Naturally, the "League City Gap" is in rare form all day today. Ugh.

[tireman4]

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms associated with this mid/
upper low near the coast will continue to move inland through the
rest of this afternoon. Have kept with a mix of VCSH and VCTS un-
til this evening. Clearing/quiet overnight with activity starting
to ramp up along the coast during the early morning...subsequent-
ly spreading inland once again during the day tomorrow. 41

[Stratton20]

Euro has the front moving slowly through the state but brings in a needed cooler airmass for everyone, also has a weak tropical disturbance meeting up with the front at the texas coast, worth watching for a heavy rain event potentially and maybe a weak tropical spin up

[Rip76]

Euro has the front moving slowly through the state but brings in a needed cooler airmass for everyone, also has a weak tropical disturbance meeting up with the front at the texas coast, worth watching for a heavy rain event potentially and maybe a weak tropical spin up

Time period?

[Stratton20]

Front moves into the state around the 31st, but takes it time getting down here, honestly probably the whole first week of september looks pretty wet with that boundary and potential disturbances coming off the gulf and interacting with the front

[Rip76]

10-4 thanks

[tireman4]

755
FXUS64 KHGX 261954
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
254 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

Northern periphery of the inverted mid level trof has made it to
the Texas coast providing a much needed break from the heat and
some rainfall. This feature should continue making some western
progress into south central TX then toward the Big Bend area.

Where it hasn`t already, scattered precip should taper off this
evening. Scattered showers/storms should redevelop offshore and
along the coast late tonight...eventually transitioning inland
during the daytime hours Tuesday. Probably won`t see quite as much
coverage that we saw today locally. Expecting similar wx to what
our neighbors to our east are currently seeing. Rain should again
diminish in coverage toward the early evening hours. 47

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

Looks like a cut-and-paste type of forecast for the remainder of the
week and weekend. We`ll be situated in a somewhat of a weakness
aloft extending from the western Gulf into eastern Tx. The
combination of ample moisture and daytime heating should lead to
chances of shra/tstms each day. Overall coverage will be dependent
on subtle fluctuations of higher/lower PW`s on a daily basis. But
things look to run on a fairly typical diurnal cycle (better
chances near the coast late night & mornings followed by inland
during the day). Temperatures should stay close to seasonable
norms. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms associated with this mid/
upper low near the coast will continue to move inland through the
rest of this afternoon. Have kept with a mix of VCSH and VCTS un-
til this evening. Clearing/quiet overnight with activity starting
to ramp up along the coast during the early morning...subsequent-
ly spreading inland once again during the day tomorrow. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

A forecast of persistence will be tough to beat for the remainder of
the week. E-SE winds 5-15kt and 2-3ft seas are anticipated.
Expect periods of showers/thunderstorms during the late night hours
into early afternoon each day. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 73 93 75 95 / 20 40 20 30
Houston (IAH) 76 93 77 93 / 20 40 10 60
Galveston (GLS) 82 90 82 90 / 30 50 40 70

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

[DoctorMu]

EURO and CMC are in agreement about a front during the Labor Day weekend:

[Pas_Bon]

EURO and CMC are in agreement about a front during the Labor Day weekend:

I mean…..what kinds of temps are we talking here?

[Stratton20]

Probably upper 80’s to low 90’s, 5-10 below normal, but rain sticks around all week with this front and cloud cover, so it will feel much better

[jasons2k]

So basically the same as this week, haha.

Nothing here yet but a mist to tease me. 0.00”

[Cpv17]

Well I started my new job today and then got a phone call and found out I got the job I interviewed for on Thursday. Safe to say today was a good day for me lol

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 Congratulation's on starting your new job! haha, thats definitely a good day id say

[Cromagnum]

My first day was also today. I got to tell all my Austin coworkers I brought some rain with me.

[tireman4]

404
FXUS64 KHGX 271157
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
657 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 237 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

A summer-like weather pattern is expected today and Wednesday as
the E-SE flow continues to supply good amounts of moisture
(keeping PWs between 1.8-2.2 inches) and an upper level
disturbance meanders over Texas. For both days, we are expecting
early morning passing showers and isolated thunderstorms over the
Gulf waters and coastal locations, followed by a gradual
development of showers and thunderstorms further inland during
late morning and afternoon hours. Most of the development is
expected to occur over areas near and south of I-10, however, some
locations to the north could see some isolated activity from time
to time (mainly during the afternoon to early evening hours).
Strong storms will be capable of producing frequent lightning,
gusty winds, and brief periods of heavy rainfall. Rain chances
will decrease in the evening with mostly tranquil conditions
expected overnight.

The highs will remain in the low 90s for today and Wednesday and
the lows will be in the mid to upper 70s inland and in the upper
70s to low 80s along the coasts.

Cotto (24)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 237 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Going to be a bit of a rinse and repeat forecast through the long
term. There will be a stalled, weak upper level low over SE Texas
through the remainder of the week and into early next week.
Combine this with moist onshore flow keeping PWATs near 2-2.4" and
daytime heating, we are looking at daily chances for scattered
showers and storms. Activity will likely follow the typical
summertime diurnal process of start off near the coast in the
morning, then working their way inland through the day. Generally,
the showers and storms will be hit-or-miss, so rain totals will
be anywhere from 0 to 0.5" each day. But, there will be some
isolated pockets of high totals due to locally heavy rainfall.
Areas near the coast will have the best chance for seeing these
isolated downpours. Increased coverage of the rainfall may occur
by the start of next week as a weak boundary approaches from the
north. It likely won`t reach our area, but it could increased the
gradient enough to help initiate storms.

Increased cloud coverage and precipitation will keep temperatures
rather seasonal to even slightly below normal. High temperatures
will be staying in the upper 80s to low 90s for much of the area.
The onshore flow and cloudy skies will keep the overnight
conditions mild and muggy with low temperatures in the low to mid
70s north of the Harris County, mid to upper 70s along the I-10
Corridor, and low 80s along the immediate coast.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Sufficient moisture over SE TX and an upper level disturbance
meandering over TX will result in a few rounds of SH & TS through
this evening. Timing & location for these storms will again be a
little difficult to pin point, thus, kept VCSH/VCTS in this
issuance with the intention of adding TEMPOs, as the conditions
deteriorate. Some storms can result in brief periods of gusty
winds and MVFR vis/cigs. Light VRB winds this morning will turn
E-SE this afternoon, then light & VRB again tonight. Iso passing
SH is possible, mainly for LBX/GLS, early Wed morning.

Cotto (28)

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 237 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Light to occasionally moderate onshore winds will prevail through
the weekend with low seas around 2 to 4ft. There will be the chance
for scattered showers and thunderstorms all week long with coverage
highest during the overnight to early morning hours and lingering
into the afternoon. Winds and seas will become elevated near any
isolated stronger storms.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 74 95 75 / 30 20 30 10
Houston (IAH) 92 77 93 77 / 40 10 60 30
Galveston (GLS) 90 81 90 81 / 60 30 80 50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cotto
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...Cotto (24)
MARINE...Fowler

[DoctorMu]

My first day was also today. I got to tell all my Austin coworkers I brought some rain with me.

You also brought us some rain in CLL - the same rotating line of showers.

Sprinklers on stun. Kirk out.

[Stratton20]

Models are trending toward a possible multi day heavy rain event next week, too early to get into specifics, but it is starting to look very interesting next week

[Cpv17]

Models are trending toward a possible multi day rain event next week, too early to get into specifics, but it is starting to look very interesting next week

Bring it!!