I think we might end up there.
Hurricane Beryl
Shocked Ft Bend County isn’t in a Hurricane warning yet. I have to imagine it is going to get updated anytime now.
Really not liking that almost due north movement from the last two center fixes. Probably moving at 345 degrees or so.
990
Weird.


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Hrr with some gust 65-75 mph tomorrow in hardin county
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Still seeing some dry air mixing into the center of circulation and that's keeping it a little more elongated. That could be some good news and delay some of the intensification.
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Got a hurricane wanring here
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Dry air is mixing in at the surface, but less so at mid levels. It may take CAT 2 out of the picture? But I never sleep on Beryl.
That outer band cruised more quickly than expected into us. We may get half an inch of rain. But that's a half and inch more that the typical July 7 in CLL.
That outer band cruised more quickly than expected into us. We may get half an inch of rain. But that's a half and inch more that the typical July 7 in CLL.
Convection is really starting to fill in around the eye, and some hot towers are firing all around the east semicircle. Heads up…
I think I'm giving up on this thing reaching Cat. 1 status.
I will however, take all the rains.
I will however, take all the rains.
https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdi ... peed_ms=80
You can literally see the hot towers exploding all around the eye counterclockwise like firecrackers. It's quite scary. Once the eyewall is established, all bets are off I think.
You can literally see the hot towers exploding all around the eye counterclockwise like firecrackers. It's quite scary. Once the eyewall is established, all bets are off I think.
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Starting to get more convection wrapping around on the NW side of beryl, this will likely be a hurricane by 8pm or so
Slowly getting her act together. Beryl is systematically squeezing out the dry air. Probably a CAT1 at landfall,

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24
Structurally and track wise it's behaving almost identical to the HAFS-A. Looks to be a touch right of track. It's not expected to quickly deepen until the last 6 hrs through landfall.
HRRR Wind gusts 
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