Hurricane Beryl

[Cpv17]

Looks like a WSW jog there.

If it doesn’t get tangled up too much with Jamaica that would be a big uh oh.

[Cpv17]

The new cone now includes as far N as Port O’Connor.

[christinac2016]

I saw Travis’ 7:30 post. It’s a little scary. We are going to H‑E‑B tomorrow to prep.

[Pas_Bon]

I’ll say it again…..one does not want to be east/north of forecast guidance this far out with a curve-trending hurricane.

[Stratton20]

00z ICON is abour to clobber the mid- upper texas coast

[Scott747]

Looking at the setup 0z ICON should come in between Matagorda Bay and San Luis Pass.

[Cpv17]

I’ll say it again…..one does not want to be east/north of forecast guidance this far out with a curve-trending hurricane.

It’s been riding on the N side of guidance basically its entire life so far.

[Stratton20]

Looks like the icon comes in around galveston

[captainbarbossa19]

ICON with Beryl's track right across Galveston Bay. FYI, Galveston and Brazoria Counties have the highest number of direct major hurricane landfalls in the state.

[Pas_Bon]

Looks like the icon comes in around galveston

Looks like east of Freeport as a strong Cat2/minimal Cat 3

I’ve already stocked up on water/food first week of June. I just need gas and a few odds/ends. I plan on doing so Friday if trends continue.

I’m in League City (west of 45)

[biggerbyte]

Okay, folks. Beryl has defied all common sense and logic. We can throw expectations out the window. It is time to watch and expect the unexpected. I'm here to tell you I'm officially scared. I encourage everyone to act accordingly with no assumptions. Watch what is and listen to the warnings.

[Cpv17]

Beryl is now predicted to hit Jamaica as a Cat 4.. yikes! Jamaica has some largely populated areas.

[Cpv17]

ICON with Beryl's track right across Galveston Bay. FYI, Galveston and Brazoria Counties have the highest number of direct major hurricane landfalls in the state.

I’m still thinking Port Mansfield to Port Aransas.

[DoctorMu]

ICON with Beryl's track right across Galveston Bay. FYI, Galveston and Brazoria Counties have the highest number of direct major hurricane landfalls in the state.

Natch.

[DoctorMu]

Beryl is now predicted to hit Jamaica as a Cat 4.. yikes! Jamaica has some largely populated areas.

She'd be coming in on the Kingston side. Ouch.

[captainbarbossa19]

The reason why the storm turns northwest and north is due to a secondary shortwave digging in the northern Great Plains. The Euro and GFS both have the shortwave develop further north. ICON has the shortwave much further south. This is going to play a big role I think in future track.

[Cpv17]

There’s now a tremendous amount of lightning around the northern eyewall. A sign of a strengthening storm.

[Scott747]

Oz GFS is showing signs of turning nw a little sooner after exiting the YP. 10 mb lower pressure and expanding windfield.

Smooths out to a wnw heading as it approaches n mex and the border.

[Stratton20]

GFS brownsville,
CMC way weaker and north mexico, but i dont really believe that CMC run, far too weak

[Stratton20]

GFS seems like a slow mover inland, takes a couple of says to go from brownsville to west- central texas