Here is my call, which I'm aloud to do since no one listens to me anyways....after blinding myself with models all morning, reading forecasts for other mets, going off of climo etc, I don't see this one going into Florida. If this system is able to stay away from CA and make it into the GOM, I'm thinking the central Gulf Coast from central Louisiana to Alabama will have to deal with this one. Right now I believe the models are overdoing the troughiness along the east coast. It will come into the gulf at a northwest heading then start to feel a little tug to the north and be pulled more to the north, not northeast. Over the next few days or so, models will start trending slowly westward into this area that I'm thinking. As has been the case with many of strong hurricanes over the years, it will bomb out into a strong cat 3, possibly 4 but will start a weakening trend before coming ashore, a la Katrina, Rita, Ike etc but still with plenty of whomp left in it to be a serious cane before reaking havoc along the gulf coast. I believe Texas is safe simply because climo says so. Thank you and have a nice day.
