June 2024

[DoctorMu]

Dang it, I see a Lucy gap opening up.

[Rip76]

That’s a funny saying.

“Did y’all get any rain from that storm complex?”

“Nah man, we got Lucy Gapped.”

[Stratton20]

18z GEFS coming in more aggressive with BOC development, looks like a fire hose of moisture is coming our way!

[DoctorMu]

Euro AI is enjoying itself far too much...

[Stratton20]

06z GFS shows a significant rain event for the houston metro area and to the south

[Cromagnum]

When is all of this suppose to start?

[Stratton20]

Cromagnum time frame looks like Monday-Thursday next week

[sswinney]

Are we going to get this all in one shot like over 8 hours or are we looking at an extended period of days of rain? Less flooding of homes if the rain plays out over an extended period than a few hours.

[Cpv17]

Are we going to get this all in one shot like over 8 hours or are we looking at an extended period of days of rain? Less flooding of homes if the rain plays out over an extended period than a few hours.

Too early to know much of anything right now.

[DoctorMu]

Euro, GFS, CMC all bring 1-2 weak tropical systems into the Western Gulf next week.

[Cpv17]

This is going to be a very complex forecast to figure out for next week. Lots of uncertainties. Just have to wait a few days till we get a clearer picture.

[DoctorMu]

Weaksauce shower heading Houston's way. We had maybe a tenth of an inch. Better than nothing. It's cloudy and not hot - the way I like summers in SETX.

[mcheer23]

Heavy rain off toward Fort Bend and Wharton counties...hopefully it makes it toward Sugar Land...

GFS dropped heavy rainfall totals for Monday and Tuesday...keeps about 2 inches along the coast...

[Rip76]

Heavy rain off toward Fort Bend and Wharton counties...hopefully it makes it toward Sugar Land...

GFS dropped heavy rainfall totals for Monday and Tuesday...keeps about 2 inches along the coast...

I figured that would happen. Is there high pressure blocking?

[Stratton20]

Rip76 yes the high builds in while the system tries to lift north which is why it gets sent into mexico, however its still 7-8 days out so their is plenty of time for the strength, position of that heat ridge to change which can affect this systems track

[Cpv17]

I’ll just leave this here:

[DoctorMu]

I’ll just leave this here:

A potential setup for easterlies.

We're seeing a nice little popcorn shower. Almost 2 inch/hr stuff. I'll take 10-15 minutes of this!

[Stratton20]

Noticeable weaker heat ridge on the 18z GFS, a bit more of a weakness over texas, potentially allowing for an avenue for the system to move northward, doesnt on this run yet, but a bit more of a weakness is showing up on the GFS, something to watch in future runs

[djmike]

Local mets in Beaumont already calling it a done deal it being too far south for any significant moisture for SETX. I think we still have days for this to change.

[Stratton20]

Herzog said their is a pathway for this system to take towards texas, said faster development and further north would allow the system to track more towards the texas coast,