May 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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It's pretty fierce down in Houston.
Temp: 72.5°F
DP: 65°F
Wind: NE 25 mph
Sunny

Up here in CLL. Feels good before the next round.
Cromagnum
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I'm at work, but saw on my cameras that it's dark as nighttime at my house. All the lights came on.
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tireman4
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Radar 2:15 pm
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don
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Thank goodness the rain has stopped. The water was rising quickly on my street.
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Cromagnum
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Velocity scan is very swirly.
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jasons2k
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Time to clean up. What a mess.
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tireman4
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Update...Matt Lanza
@mattlanza
·
1m
Centerpoint now reporting over 300,000 customers without power. This should be a slightly easier restoration job than the derecho as damage will not be as severe. Still, it may be a few hours or more depending on your neighborhood.
Cromagnum
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Ditch went from bone dry to top of the culvert already.
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tireman4
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Radar 2:45 pm
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DoctorMu
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Pas_Bon wrote: Tue May 28, 2024 2:07 pm This is definitely only Round 1.....the train is loading up again near Big Bend and points west. Here we go, y'all.....
Future cast shows a line of shower that crosses Texas N/S completely by 8 pm and approaching the Hill Country. Crazy.
davidiowx
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Just got back in town from our lake house on Toledo Bend. Coming right down 59 during the storms and what a wild and intense drive. Had some jackass hauling *** on 99 during the extremely heavy rain and of course they hydroplaned and missed me by inches on their way to the median. What an Idiot.
cperk
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I picked up .63 of an inch that i did'nt expect and look to get more tonight and tomorrow i hope this is a peek at the way the rest of summer will be several hot days followed up by an occasional downpour.
Cromagnum
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5 hours of daylight left. Is it enough to rejuvenate the atmosphere?
Stratton20
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Man with all these storms the last few weeks and the damage they have caused to many , i really hope we dont have a hurricane knocking on our doorstep this season
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tireman4
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From NWS...

An additional round of showers/storms is
expected to push in from the west overnight generally around 08Z
through 14Z. These appear that they will be less robust than the
ongoing convection. MVFR ceilings are expected during that time
period with VFR conditions returning by Wednesday afternoon.
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jasons2k
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Hot off the presses from Jeff:

Strong to severe line of thunderstorms has moved into the Gulf of Mexico.

This line of storms has “worked over” the local air mass over much of the area and removed the extreme amounts of instability that were in place this morning. While additional upstream disturbances in the developing northwesterly flow aloft will move into portions of Texas over the next 24 hours, current thunderstorms developing over west Texas are likely to weaken as they approach/move into SE TX late tonight (midnight to 600am). Severe weather chances for late tonight have been greatly reduced and SPC has lower the risk level to a 1 out of 5 for parts of the area.

Air mass will recover going into Wednesday with returning southerly winds and increasing humidity off the Gulf of Mexico. Additional disturbances will approach from the northwest into late Wednesday and Thursday/Friday and rounds or complexes of thunderstorms will be capable of moving into the area. There is no particular time period that stands out right now for an increased severe weather risk, will have to monitor daily trends and upstream convective organization to determine severe threats about 24 hours out.

Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District
9900 Northwest Freeway | Houston, Texas 77092
346-286-4000 (main) | 346-286-4165 (direct) | 281-924-2091 (cell)
jeff.lindner@hcfcd.org | Twitter: @jefflindner1
Cromagnum
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Mexico is sending in the cavalry.
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don
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Ended up with a quick 2.5 inches, street flooding, frequent gust of 40-60mph,and half dollar size hail.😮What an active severe weather season the state and the rest of the plains are having this year.
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don
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12Z EURO vs 18Z GFS (BTW it feels wonderful outside.The nice thing about getting these MCS is the "mini front" that moves through the area with them.)

Screenshot 2024-05-28 at 19-28-29 Models ECMWF - Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-05-28 at 19-28-46 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png
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Ptarmigan
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I did not expect thunderstorms until later tonight to early tomorrow morning. It shows uncertainty in forecasting.
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