Beautiful sights
Thank you for sharing.
May 2024
That’s pretty cool. Thanks for sharing.Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 10:00 am Almost forgot…..
I took this video of these severe storms from 38,000 feet on my flight out of Hobby late May 9 evening. The video is not sped up. That lightning was real-time. Beautiful/eery sight.
https://streamable.com/n7ado9
I should’ve been a pilot.
One week later and there are still some impassible spots in the neighborhood.
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Stratton20
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Very active run of the euro
Its 95 here with a THW index of 113
Folks in the northern tier may want to keep an eye out in case the heat busts the cap tomorrow afternoon and evening...because it might be difficult to esCAPE.
Unbelievable instability. DFW to OKC for sure will have severe storms and possibly tornadoes again. The stovepipe tornado near Altus, OK yesterday evening was ridiculous. On the ground for 50 min including getting occluded and then becoming rain wrapped.
Unbelievable instability. DFW to OKC for sure will have severe storms and possibly tornadoes again. The stovepipe tornado near Altus, OK yesterday evening was ridiculous. On the ground for 50 min including getting occluded and then becoming rain wrapped.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Fri May 24, 2024 6:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
91°F here with a DP of 75° and feels like 103°F. Nowhere near as bad as a lot of y’all others.
That Mexico ridge needs to go kick rocks. It’s also cooking the SW Gulf and BOC.
Maybe it's a matter of time if the NOAA Hurricane forecasts are correct. I couldn't log into the Houston Chronicle site but the headline this morning was
NOAA: Hurricane forecast worst ever
No real surprise for this board. The story is everywhere...
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/noaa-iss ... 7b28fbf199
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Stratton20
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The Euro AI 12z is very bullish with rainfall over the next ~2 weeks here locally
Those cells near Athens are taking a right turn. They could be an issue for east Texas, E of I-45 tonight. But I expect them to weaken.
There's a lot of instability, which could increase tomorrow.
There momentum is toward more unsettled weather over the next couple of weeks. I think the Ensembles are more realistic.
There's a lot of instability, which could increase tomorrow.
There momentum is toward more unsettled weather over the next couple of weeks. I think the Ensembles are more realistic.
These puppies are progged to last until at least midnight.
A hail maker closing in on Buffalo. Wind and smail hail mostly on tap.
A hail maker closing in on Buffalo. Wind and smail hail mostly on tap.
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Stratton20
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The ICON shows a potential heavy rain setup wednesday- friday next week, something to watch going forward
Gotta love that NW flow. Hope it sticks around.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 10:54 pm The ICON shows a potential heavy rain setup wednesday- friday next week, something to watch going forward
92 degrees with 72% humidity before 11AM. Gross.
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Stratton20
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The GFS and Euro both show quite the wet pattern, , still worth watching as they show the potential for numerous disturbances bringing waves of heavy rain
Last edited by Stratton20 on Sat May 25, 2024 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
I'm not sure how that conclusion is drawn. 12z GFS. It will be unsettled - mostly in the same areas.
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When you're looking forward to "relief" from MS and LA, you know it's bad. 
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
558 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Hot temperatures are in the forecast again today as highs top out in
the 90s inland and in the mid to upper 80s along the coast. The
combination of heat and humidity will result in heat index values in
the 100-107 degree range. A few locations may touch 108 degrees.
Surface winds will be elevated today (in the 10-15mph range), which
may provide a bit of relief with the hotter temperatures.
Lows for tonight will be on the warmer side as temperatures hover
at or just below the 80 degree mark.
Sunday is set to be a bit hotter as 850mb temperatures max out in
the NAEFS mean. Temperatures will be in the 90s area wide with mid
to upper 80s along the coast. Dew points will reach into the upper
70s and will lead to humid conditions. The combination of heat and
humidity will result in heat index values bumping up a bit into the
advisory range. Most of the area will experience HI values in excess
of 100 degrees. Locations in the metro and further inland will be in
the 107-110 range. This will likely necessitate the issuance of
Heat Advisory for portions of SE Texas on Sunday.
Sunday night`s temperatures will be similar to tonight`s with most
areas in the 70s to around 80 degrees.
With daytime temperatures getting hotter and humidity increasing,
please remember to take precautions if you plan to be out in the
heat. Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest
part of the day, look before you lock, and remember that if it is
too hot for the palm of your hand, the ground is too hot for your
pets` paws!
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Dog breath type wx should peak on Monday. Highs in the 94-98F
range inland and close to 90 at the beaches will combine with high
dewpoints/RH`s and produce peak heat indices in the 105-113F
range. A Heat Advisory will likely be ongoing, and if not, one
will likely be required.
On Tuesday, winds will transition to more of a SE direction versus
the warmer SW. Though still uncomfortable, daytime highs will
begin trending downward into the 90-95F range. We should also see
the miserable dewpoints in the upper 70s to near 80 begin modifying
back toward 72-76 as some recycled "drier" air starts backdooring
into the region from a weak frontal boundary that`ll be sagging
into the Mississippi Valley and Louisiana. We should get some
slow, gradual relief each day in the mid and late work week
period.
In regards to rain chances, we`ll focus on areas to our w/nw
Monday afternoon. Guidance still suggests the potential for parts
of the dryline to light up...with remnants possibly getting
close, or into, parts of the Brazos Valley or Piney Woods Monday
evening. Tuesday, we`ll look at the NE parts of the CWA toward
peak heating where we might see some scattered convection on the
western periphery of the backdoor front/boundary. Tuesday night
through Friday, we should see multiple chances for shra/tstms
across parts of the area. This`ll come from typical daytime heating,
but will also need to be cognizant of disturbances moving in from
our NW. These could come just about anytime and most deterministic
data shows some moving in every 24-36 hours. Problem is timing
really isn`t consistent between models, some in the day / some at
night, which isn`t uncommon in such patterns. We`ll just advertise
lowish POPs for now during most time periods then ramp them up
when things begin to line up better and confidence improves. 47
&&
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
558 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday Night)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Hot temperatures are in the forecast again today as highs top out in
the 90s inland and in the mid to upper 80s along the coast. The
combination of heat and humidity will result in heat index values in
the 100-107 degree range. A few locations may touch 108 degrees.
Surface winds will be elevated today (in the 10-15mph range), which
may provide a bit of relief with the hotter temperatures.
Lows for tonight will be on the warmer side as temperatures hover
at or just below the 80 degree mark.
Sunday is set to be a bit hotter as 850mb temperatures max out in
the NAEFS mean. Temperatures will be in the 90s area wide with mid
to upper 80s along the coast. Dew points will reach into the upper
70s and will lead to humid conditions. The combination of heat and
humidity will result in heat index values bumping up a bit into the
advisory range. Most of the area will experience HI values in excess
of 100 degrees. Locations in the metro and further inland will be in
the 107-110 range. This will likely necessitate the issuance of
Heat Advisory for portions of SE Texas on Sunday.
Sunday night`s temperatures will be similar to tonight`s with most
areas in the 70s to around 80 degrees.
With daytime temperatures getting hotter and humidity increasing,
please remember to take precautions if you plan to be out in the
heat. Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest
part of the day, look before you lock, and remember that if it is
too hot for the palm of your hand, the ground is too hot for your
pets` paws!
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Dog breath type wx should peak on Monday. Highs in the 94-98F
range inland and close to 90 at the beaches will combine with high
dewpoints/RH`s and produce peak heat indices in the 105-113F
range. A Heat Advisory will likely be ongoing, and if not, one
will likely be required.
On Tuesday, winds will transition to more of a SE direction versus
the warmer SW. Though still uncomfortable, daytime highs will
begin trending downward into the 90-95F range. We should also see
the miserable dewpoints in the upper 70s to near 80 begin modifying
back toward 72-76 as some recycled "drier" air starts backdooring
into the region from a weak frontal boundary that`ll be sagging
into the Mississippi Valley and Louisiana. We should get some
slow, gradual relief each day in the mid and late work week
period.
In regards to rain chances, we`ll focus on areas to our w/nw
Monday afternoon. Guidance still suggests the potential for parts
of the dryline to light up...with remnants possibly getting
close, or into, parts of the Brazos Valley or Piney Woods Monday
evening. Tuesday, we`ll look at the NE parts of the CWA toward
peak heating where we might see some scattered convection on the
western periphery of the backdoor front/boundary. Tuesday night
through Friday, we should see multiple chances for shra/tstms
across parts of the area. This`ll come from typical daytime heating,
but will also need to be cognizant of disturbances moving in from
our NW. These could come just about anytime and most deterministic
data shows some moving in every 24-36 hours. Problem is timing
really isn`t consistent between models, some in the day / some at
night, which isn`t uncommon in such patterns. We`ll just advertise
lowish POPs for now during most time periods then ramp them up
when things begin to line up better and confidence improves. 47
&&
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