January 2024

[Cpv17]

Dense fog advisories just issued.. oh joy

[Cpv17]

Could easily be wrong, but I'm on board the Euro, which assumes the main firehose will be SE.

I know that’s what you want

I’m hoping that shifts back west. I’ll take a deluge whenever I can get it!

[don]

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (12).png

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (13).png

[Cpv17]

I like how the CMC hangs some higher totals further back west. GFS as usual is so far east. Hell, it’s beginning to look like a bigger event for Louisiana and Mississippi than Texas on the GFS.

[don]

Screenshot 2024-01-19 at 00-54-15 Models ECMWF Hi-Res — Pivotal Weather.png

Screenshot 2024-01-19 at 00-53-55 Models ICON — Pivotal Weather.png

[don]

wpc_qpf_168h_p.us_sc (2).png

[mcheer23]

GFS now has the heaviest rain to the north and west of Houston. We'll see what the ensembles say in about 30 minutes.

[don]

Shift west in the 12Z GFS and CMC

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (15).png

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (14).png

[don]

GEFS

qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc (4).png

[don]

EURO

qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (16).png

[Cromagnum]

Looks like 3-5 inches is realistic based on average of models. Doesn't look like the 10+ inches like the GFS was doomcasting the other day.

[mcheer23]

Looks like 3-5 inches is realistic based on average of models. Doesn't look like the 10+ inches like the GFS was doomcasting the other day.

Some isolated spots will get 10+

[DoctorMu]

EURO


qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (16).png

Still wagering on the Euro.

[Cpv17]

Yeah, this doesn’t look to be as big of an event than I originally thought. Unless the mesos come in more aggressive.

[Stormlover2020]

Euro has some spots 10-12 inches that’s alot

[Cpv17]

Euro has some spots 10-12 inches that’s alot

Maybe east of here. I think over the FL panhandle and Alabama it had some big totals. I still think the mesos will come in a lil more aggressive though.

[jasons2k]

It was 29 here this morning with a predicted low of 24.

I’ll take the bust. Onto the wetness…

[Cpv17]

Today is what winter should be like. It’s a perfect winter day. Lows in the 20’s with highs in the 40’s with clear blue skies.

[don]

image7.png

[Cpv17]

image7.png

This is funny cuz just last night David Tillman on channel 13 was saying he was most concerned for Wednesday.