This is setting up to be a rager of a tailgate in CS next weekend for Bama.
October 2023
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Team #NeverSummer
I’m about to spend like $400 on a ticket to this game lol I’ve never spent that much for any sort of ticket in my entire life. Not even close. Those convenience fees on ticket apps are f’n terrible!MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Sep 30, 2023 3:04 pmThis is setting up to be a rager of a tailgate in CS next weekend for Bama.
I think it will be dry by gametime. I expect the front to overperform but the cooler air won't last long.
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Stratton20
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It will stick around for a good 3-4 days, even when we warm up again all i see is mid 80’s down the road to maybe about 90, the days in the 90’s are becoming limited, summer is on life support
The 12z EPS keeps us in the low-mid 80’s for the next several weeks, more typical october like- fall weather
The 12z EPS keeps us in the low-mid 80’s for the next several weeks, more typical october like- fall weather
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 30, 2023 4:50 pmI’m about to spend like $400 on a ticket to this game lol I’ve never spent that much for any sort of ticket in my entire life. Not even close. Those convenience fees on ticket apps are f’n terrible!MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sat Sep 30, 2023 3:04 pmThis is setting up to be a rager of a tailgate in CS next weekend for Bama.
Yeah, secondary market fees are rough.
Team #NeverSummer
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Stratton20
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This LSU VS OLE MISS is a hell of a game! Their is just something enjoyable about watching teams just going back and forth trading touchdowns
No doubt! I love me an offensive shootout!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 30, 2023 8:00 pm This LSU VS OLE MISS is a hell of a game! Their is just something enjoyable about watching teams just going back and forth trading touchdowns
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TexasBreeze
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Just like the ending of a back and forth basketball game it was a great game!
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Stratton20
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Regardless of temperatures , october is shaping up to be a pretty wet month, thats gonna be the new theme for the next 6-7 mo the at least
noaa monthly outlook calls for pretty well above normal precipitation for the whole state
noaa monthly outlook calls for pretty well above normal precipitation for the whole stateWednesday and Thursday look potentially good for rain...but then that was true last week!
One thing is true about Texas weather. Once it is stuck in a pattern, it is hard to break out. 99°F today. Allegedly normal temperatures in a week.
FROPA + EPAC moisture FTW? Could be - but I'll believe it when I see it.
One thing is true about Texas weather. Once it is stuck in a pattern, it is hard to break out. 99°F today. Allegedly normal temperatures in a week.
FROPA + EPAC moisture FTW? Could be - but I'll believe it when I see it.
Been moving dirt all weekend and this weather absolutely blows ***.
https://youtu.be/YYtBF1OVciU?si=JX_z1GClv4v0jgki
Naturally, GFS promises more than the Euro.
lol Never more true for CLL weather.
Why do I believe?
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1218 PM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday Night)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
With the mid/upper ridge remaining over the state and the low-level
easterly surge of deep moisture staying focused on the Middle Texas
coast, not seeing much change with the overall scheme of things for
today (or even tomorrow) from what we have seen these last few days.
So, will keep with the hot and dry (little to no POPs) forecast for
much of the CWA for today and Mon. At/near the coast, scattered act-
ivity will remain possible (via the inverted trough/waves of deeper
moisture) during the overnight hours...then spreading a bit further
inland (but still south of I-10) during the afternoon time periods.
The best chances will remain near/around Matagorda Bay.
As for temperatures, will continue with daytime highs slightly above
NBM numbers for today and tomorrow. So...this will keep highs in the
mid and upper 90s for locations generally north of the I-10 corridor
to the lower and mid 90s south. Cannot rule out occasional spots at/
near 100 on either (or both) day(s). The low temperatures will be in
the upper 60s for our far northern CWA...lower and mid 70s elsewhere
inland...to the upper 70s and lower 80s along the coast. 41
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
An active weather pattern is expected in the long term period with
increasing rain and storm chances during the week, followed by
cooler conditions.
500 hPa heights continue to weaken by Tuesday as the mid-level ridge
moves further to the east. Deeper low-level moisture thanks to a
persistent east to southeasterly surface flow will once again allow
for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly south of
I-10.
Conditions will gradually transition into a more unsettled pattern
Wednesday into the end of the week. A deep upper level trough will
move over the Rockies early next week, dragging its associated sfc
low and frontal boundary across the Plains. Ahead of the FROPA,
instability and humidity will be on the increase as a warm front
lifts over the region by Wednesday. Rain and storms become more
widespread by Thursday as the cold front enters the forecast area.
As of now, confidence continues to increase on the potential for
widespread rain and storms and periods of heavy rainfall ahead and
along the frontal boundary; however, confidence in timing remains
low to moderate. Latest GFS now shows a faster and wetter solution,
compared to the ECMWF. The GFS brings the front by Thursday, pushing
all PoPs well offshore by early Friday. The ECMWF and Canadian, on
the other hand, bring the front by early Friday with post-frontal
convection continuing into Saturday. Given model inconsistencies in
phase/strength, did not deviate much from NBM guidance. Have kept 50
to 70 percent PoPs Wednesday and Thursday, gradually decreasing
chances Friday into the weekend.
The potential for near to slightly below normal temperatures and low
humidity for the upcoming weekend is still there. However, details
on timing and how much drier air will push behind the front is still
uncertain. General consensus suggests high temperatures from the
upper 70s to mid 80s and overnight lows mainly in the 60s. As of
now, looks like the best timing for this "fall-like" conditions will
arrive with a reinforcing front that is progged to move over SE TX
Saturday or Sunday. If this verifies, some locations could see low
temperatures in the mid 50s. In fact, there is the potential for
widespread temperatures in the upper 50s, if NBM 25th percentile of
climatology verifies. For now, have low temperatures mainly in the
60s and will continue to monitor and amend during the week as
confidence increases.
JM
Naturally, GFS promises more than the Euro.
lol Never more true for CLL weather.
Why do I believe?
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1218 PM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday Night)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
With the mid/upper ridge remaining over the state and the low-level
easterly surge of deep moisture staying focused on the Middle Texas
coast, not seeing much change with the overall scheme of things for
today (or even tomorrow) from what we have seen these last few days.
So, will keep with the hot and dry (little to no POPs) forecast for
much of the CWA for today and Mon. At/near the coast, scattered act-
ivity will remain possible (via the inverted trough/waves of deeper
moisture) during the overnight hours...then spreading a bit further
inland (but still south of I-10) during the afternoon time periods.
The best chances will remain near/around Matagorda Bay.
As for temperatures, will continue with daytime highs slightly above
NBM numbers for today and tomorrow. So...this will keep highs in the
mid and upper 90s for locations generally north of the I-10 corridor
to the lower and mid 90s south. Cannot rule out occasional spots at/
near 100 on either (or both) day(s). The low temperatures will be in
the upper 60s for our far northern CWA...lower and mid 70s elsewhere
inland...to the upper 70s and lower 80s along the coast. 41
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sun Oct 1 2023
An active weather pattern is expected in the long term period with
increasing rain and storm chances during the week, followed by
cooler conditions.
500 hPa heights continue to weaken by Tuesday as the mid-level ridge
moves further to the east. Deeper low-level moisture thanks to a
persistent east to southeasterly surface flow will once again allow
for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly south of
I-10.
Conditions will gradually transition into a more unsettled pattern
Wednesday into the end of the week. A deep upper level trough will
move over the Rockies early next week, dragging its associated sfc
low and frontal boundary across the Plains. Ahead of the FROPA,
instability and humidity will be on the increase as a warm front
lifts over the region by Wednesday. Rain and storms become more
widespread by Thursday as the cold front enters the forecast area.
As of now, confidence continues to increase on the potential for
widespread rain and storms and periods of heavy rainfall ahead and
along the frontal boundary; however, confidence in timing remains
low to moderate. Latest GFS now shows a faster and wetter solution,
compared to the ECMWF. The GFS brings the front by Thursday, pushing
all PoPs well offshore by early Friday. The ECMWF and Canadian, on
the other hand, bring the front by early Friday with post-frontal
convection continuing into Saturday. Given model inconsistencies in
phase/strength, did not deviate much from NBM guidance. Have kept 50
to 70 percent PoPs Wednesday and Thursday, gradually decreasing
chances Friday into the weekend.
The potential for near to slightly below normal temperatures and low
humidity for the upcoming weekend is still there. However, details
on timing and how much drier air will push behind the front is still
uncertain. General consensus suggests high temperatures from the
upper 70s to mid 80s and overnight lows mainly in the 60s. As of
now, looks like the best timing for this "fall-like" conditions will
arrive with a reinforcing front that is progged to move over SE TX
Saturday or Sunday. If this verifies, some locations could see low
temperatures in the mid 50s. In fact, there is the potential for
widespread temperatures in the upper 50s, if NBM 25th percentile of
climatology verifies. For now, have low temperatures mainly in the
60s and will continue to monitor and amend during the week as
confidence increases.
JM
Greater rains will be welcome this October as long as it's NOT on the 14th...
Majority of this weeks rain continues to move further and further away to south Texas. 2023 continues its antics. Figures. Not a drop from last week’s rain and still under water restrictions in the Triangle.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Way to go Astros and Texans today! Aggies and Longhorns won too. Great sports weekend for me!
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MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2616
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
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Tigahs left their defense back in Red Stick.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Oct 01, 2023 8:13 pmAll is not well in the Faaammm-ileeeee at LSU this Sunday
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