The latest radar imagery across the state this morning continue to show the center of Hermine moving almost due north up US 281 with the center passing over Alice at this time. Very deep tropical moisture continues to spread into southeast Texas with PW's expected to continue to rise through the day.
Moderate to heavy shower and thunderstorms are currently moving across our southwestern counties and what is concerning is that with the northward movement of Hermine, we will likely see those heavy rain bands lift north up the coast towards the metro area through mid-morning. SPC does have the region in a slight risk for severe weather with isolated tornadoes the main threat.
The latest mesoanalysis this morning does indicate strong low level helicity values, especially across our southwest counties and these higher values may try and work there way north and northeast through the morning as the center of Hermine lifts north.
It is looking like the flooding threat will start to increase pretty quickly as we head towards mid-morning and we may see additional local development as daytime heating kicks in and also acts to expand the core rain area of Hermine. All in all, be careful out there everyone!
