June 2023

[Cromagnum]

Random storm just popped up over the east side of Houston.

I hope it comes on over this way.

Knowing your luck, it probably won’t rain there for the next two weeks.

Counting on it

[don]

Nice downpour ongoing right now,hopefully the storm grows and moves over areas that haven't seen much rain this week.

[don]

Wow! A very powerful storm.I just received ping pong size hail,and winds are currently gusting over 60 mph! This now makes the 3rd true severe thunderstorm this month for me.Severe thunderstorm warning issued.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
756 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
South central Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 845 PM CDT.

* At 756 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over southeastern
Greater Heights, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Western Pasadena, northwestern Pearland, Missouri City, Stafford,
South Houston, Bellaire, West University Place, Galena Park,
Jacinto City, Hunters Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney
Point Village, Downtown Houston, Greenway / Upper Kirby Area,
Spring Branch North, Second Ward, Greater Heights, Neartown /
Montrose, Memorial Park and Fourth Ward.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 2987 9531 2966 9520 2954 9554 2986 9561
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 077DEG 8KT 2978 9539

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

[Cpv17]

That 18z GFS run is fantastic!

What? It’s hardly showing anything…

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 im looking more at the 500 mb height setup , not important to look at rain this far out, but the general idea on the GFS is for troughing to set up shop over the state, that also would create a weakness over the state potentially allowing for a weak system to sneak in from the gulf * IF* something tries to spin up like what the GFS is showing

[Cromagnum]

Looks like it took a sharp turn due west. I will be surprised to see anything south of beltway 8

[user:null]

It thundering here.Looks like an outflow boundary triggered it.

Looks like I spoke too soon: I mentioned the outflow earlier this afternoon, regarding the "magic wall." Looks like it has now collapse temporarily, allowing some action for more of the area (at least, central Houston where the bulk of population lives).

But yea, the dry spells are really quite nasty in consideration to the overall humid climate and ample rainfall the area is capable of getting. I really hope the July pattern change pulls through.

[djmike]

Curious why storms this year are so volatile and the hail reports in these storms are off the charts this year. I remember years and years no hail, but now it happens in every storm cell daily it seems like.

[don]

Hail reports coming in.I can personally confirm the ping pong size hail LOL.Theirs a report of egg size hail also.

5 WSW Galena Park Harris TX 2972 9531 Quarter sized hail was observed. (HGX)
0046 100 4 WNW Jacinto City Harris TX 2978 9530 Slightly larger than quarter sized hail observed. (HGX)
0050 150 5 SE Houston Harris TX 2973 9532 Ping pong ball sized hail was observed. (HGX)
0051 200 5 SE Houston Harris TX 2973 9533 Egg sized hail observed. (HGX)
0052 100 2 E Houston Harris TX 2977 9536 Quarter sized hail was observed. (HGX)

[Cromagnum]

Crazy view down south of this, but once again invisible wall keeps it from me.

[user:null]

Curious why storms this year are so volatile and the hail reports in these storms are off the charts this year. I remember years and years no hail, but now it happens in every storm cell daily it seems like.

I've read news reports that the jet stream pattern is unusual, in that the subtropical jet has been far south of its normal position: that probably is what kept this heat dome so confined to Texas/Northern Mexico, as compared to involving more of Oklahoma, Arkanas, New Mexico, etc. Hence, with such dynamic upper-levels, it would make sense if there were stronge cold pools alofts and wind shear, such as to enforce stronger "severe weather modes" compared to the typical diurnal sea-breeze and tropical convections of summer associated with warmer air over a greater depth of the atmosphere.

Either that, or the strong ridge centered in Texas/Northern Mexico effectively served as a "cap" that allowed strong CAPE to build, and then explode into these discrete, but powerful severe cells (or MSCs).

Those are my two guesses. I'm really not entirely sure myself.

[user:null]

Crazy view down south of this, but once again invisible wall keeps it from me.

That is a cool view. Your yard looks good in relation to the heat and dryness that has been present: some cosmetic singes, but still relatively green. I hope something pulls through as soon as possible (if not today, then sooner next week), to prevent total dessication.

[Ptarmigan]

Curious why storms this year are so volatile and the hail reports in these storms are off the charts this year. I remember years and years no hail, but now it happens in every storm cell daily it seems like.

I've read news reports that the jet stream pattern is unusual, in that the subtropical jet has been far south of its normal position: that probably is what kept this heat dome so confined to Texas/Northern Mexico, as compared to involving more of Oklahoma, Arkanas, New Mexico, etc. Hence, with such dynamic upper-levels, it would make sense if there were stronge cold pools alofts and wind shear, such as to enforce stronger "severe weather modes" compared to the typical diurnal sea-breeze and tropical convections of summer associated with warmer air over a greater depth of the atmosphere.

Either that, or the strong ridge centered in Texas/Northern Mexico effectively served as a "cap" that allowed strong CAPE to build, and then explode into these discrete, but powerful severe cells (or MSCs).

Those are my two guesses. I'm really not entirely sure myself.

I notice storms this summer have produced strong winds.

[Stratton20]

Looks like im about to get hammered here in katy, cell drifting west

[Cromagnum]

Crazy view down south of this, but once again invisible wall keeps it from me.

That is a cool view. Your yard looks good in relation to the heat and dryness that has been present: some cosmetic singes, but still relatively green. I hope something pulls through as soon as possible (if not today, then sooner next week), to prevent total dessication.

My backyard is native Bermuda and holds up pretty well. My front yard is St Augustine that looks horrible right now. I have been watering it, but the chinch bugs declared war this past two weeks and I'm battling them.

[Cpv17]

Looks like im about to get hammered here in katy, cell drifting west

Are you south or north of 10 in Katy?

[Cpv17]

There’s some training going on the far east side of Houston.

[djmike]

Weather alert and hail reports coming in now near Vidor to Beaumont. I thought we were done. Here come the insane lightning, the hail I was just asking about and heavy intensity pink on radar. (My Radar App).

[djmike]

These hail reports every day all over texas has been crazy!

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 im south, looking like its going to miss me, unfortunate, already several plants dead, this heatwave pattern can take a hike