April 2023

[tireman4]

What shall we see? Rain? Thunderstorms?

[Cpv17]

I’m loving the latest week 3-4 precipitation forecast from the CPC!!

[DoctorMu]

I think it's going to be warm and dry in CLL.

Could be another brutal summer.

[tireman4]

Next Monday...set up...could be....

[Iceresistance]

Next Monday...set up...could be....

Apparently, the Euro-Ensembles are also with the GEFS as well.

https://twitter.com/ahberrington/status ... 8281564160

[Stratton20]

Ill pass, id rather just take a simple thunderstorm, no damage please

[Cpv17]

Ill pass, id rather just take a simple thunderstorm, no damage please

Pretty sure you’re gonna hate the weather this spring then.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 ive never been much of a fan of spring weather outside of looking at all the bluebonnets everywhere, mainly because its the ominous sign that the Texas blowtorch weather is just around the corner though ill gladly take a Rainer pattern, just hopefully not during the 2nd week of april, getting my aggie ring

[Stratton20]

Looks like we have good model agreement on a deep trough digging out west next week eventually becoming somewhat cut off from the main storm track, Ridge building in the GOM forces the trough out west to eject NW across the state, interesting setup next week

[Cpv17]

Definitely looks like a wetter pattern mid to late next week.

[Stratton20]

Global models are definitely trending much wetter during the first week of april

[Cpv17]

Global models are definitely trending much wetter during the first week of april

Potential rain bomb could be setting up somewhere. Don’t know exactly what part of Texas yet though or if it even happens at all.

[don]

Late next week is looking really interesting its been a while since we've seen a signal this wet in the models.With a large scale trough digging to our west with a blocking SE ridge slowing the trough down.Which stalls the subtropical jet right over the state with multiple disturbances passing through .Severe weather could be an issue also.Anyone's guess at this point where the heaviest rain will fall,but there could be flooding issues with rivers/bayous if these widespread qpf amounts end up verifying.

[Stratton20]

Im hoping west texas can really get alot of rain as well, el nino is going to really help so many people, and especially farmers

[Stratton20]

12z Euro is very wet, has some pretty hefty totals across the state next week fwiw
18z GFS has widespread 1-3 inches across SE texas with some isolated 6+ inches

[Cpv17]

The 0z Euro is mighty interesting for southeast TX.

[Iceresistance]

Take a look at this!


https://s2.gifyu.com/images/precip_prob ... h-2023.png

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Wet tine!

[Stratton20]

00z Euro is just a tad bit wet definitely would be looking at some flooding issues if those totals verify

[don]

Yikes.

Screenshot 2023-03-31 at 10-06-35 Models ECMWF Hi-Res — Pivotal Weather.png