February 2023

[tireman4]

What shall we see? Rain? Snow? Warm? Cold?

[snowman65]

2, maybe 3 of the above. lol

[Iceresistance]

Nasty cold and snow

[DoctorMu]

What shall we see? Rain? Snow? Warm? Cold?

Yes.

[Cpv17]

POW Ponder is saying watch the first week of February for an Artic blast down here.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yep, euro and cmc have a pretty cold airmass just lurking to our north at the end of their runs

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 yep, euro and cmc have a pretty cold airmass just lurking to our north at the end of their runs

Yesterday the CFS had a huge winter storm over Texas the first week of February.

[DoctorMu]

GFS is feeding the fantasy today. Two feet of snow in CLL.

Cold is trending.

[Cpv17]

GFS is feeding the fantasy today. Two feet of snow in CLL.

Cold is trending.

I love how that’s aimed directly at us this time around instead of sliding SE.

[Stratton20]

12z euro gets very close to showing a winter storm setup over the state fwiw
12z CFS has a winter storm in our neck of the woods at hour 192

[sambucol]

12z euro gets very close to showing a winter storm setup over the state fwiw
12z CFS has a winter storm in our neck of the woods at hour 192

Sounds like a repeat of Feb 21

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Really like the ensembles look for February and the weeklies keep February pretty dang chilly.

Could be an active first 15 days of February for us. All types of precip on the table.

[Stratton20]

Montgomerycowx NBM or the national blend of models has potentially a significant ice storm in the state next week, interesting next couple of days ahead

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Yeah, I saw that.

I'm hoping that doesn't affect me getting back to Houston next week. Until then, I'll be barreling down the backside of Peaks 6-10 in Breck this weekend, then going cross-country skiing on the divide.

I'll hopefully bring that weather back with me.

[Stratton20]

the GFS continues to see no arctic air, doesn’t make much sense to me given all the support lol, i know its typical for this to happen in models, but it just keeps all the cold air locked up north

[Cpv17]

the GFS continues to see no arctic air, doesn’t make much sense to me given all the support lol, i know its typical for this to happen in models, but it just keeps all the cold air locked up north

It apparently isn’t doing too well with shallow cold airmasses.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 I mean look at the difference at day 5 between the CMC and GFS, its ridiculous
Holy smokes the CMC has an incredibly nasty ice storm, those totals are eye popping

[TexasBreeze]

So far the freezing air stays in central and north Texas on those models. The gfs doesn't have a freeze close at all. Looks like freezing rain and sleet if it were to be cold enough in future runs anyways and that is no fun!

[DoctorMu]

Freezing rain -> sleet--> snow *possible* up in CLL. We'll see.

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu havent had the chance to see snow on campus, heard its a pretty amazing sight though, hope we can cash in!