January 2023

[Cromagnum]

Looks pretty rough in Katy. Crazy that the event just barely started and radar going nuts.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Kinda odd that Waller was included but Montgomery wasn’t. If you hold a ruler parallel to the watch box….oh never mind…

Thought the same but guessing the warm front never quite makes it to MoCo and if so, barely.

I’m not forecasted to get out of the 50s. Tough to get anything but heavy rain and straight line winds with that.

[Cromagnum]

Strong tornado signature near Katy.

[don]

Folks today looks to be the real deal, and i was just saying a couple of days ago how we don't get severe weather like we use to...

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1110 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

TXC015-157-201-473-241730-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230124T1730Z/
Austin TX-Fort Bend TX-Waller TX-Harris TX-
1110 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN...NORTH CENTRAL FORT BEND...SOUTHEASTERN WALLER
AND WEST CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES...

At 1110 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Brookshire, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Katy around 1120 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Motorists should not take shelter under highway overpasses. If you
cannot safely drive away from the tornado, as a last resort, either
park your vehicle and stay put, or abandon your vehicle and lie down
in a low lying area and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

[Stratton20]

my parents live in katy, hope nothing comes out of that cell

[brazoriatx]

Looks like everything is staying along and north of I10

[tireman4]

More from Jeff...

Tornado Watch has been issued for the southern portions of SE TX until 600pm.

Thunderstorms continue to increase in intensity and coverage over the area ahead of deepening surface low WNW of Victoria and advancing coastal warm front. Recent storm over Lavaca County indicated enhanced low level rotation as the cell crossed over the warm front. With increasing wind profiles into the mid afternoon hours and strong forcing arriving from the west, supercell thunderstorms with strong low level rotation will be possible along and south of the warm front. Expect the warm front to reach close to the I-10 corridor by early afternoon.

Isolated tornadoes…a couple could be strong, wind gusts to 70mph and large hail will be possible in the watch area.

[Cromagnum]

Looks like everything is staying along and north of I10

Still early.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Pea sized hail here

[jasons2k]

Kinda odd that Waller was included but Montgomery wasn’t. If you hold a ruler parallel to the watch box….oh never mind…

Thought the same but guessing the warm front never quite makes it to MoCo and if so, barely.

I’m not forecasted to get out of the 50s. Tough to get anything but heavy rain and straight line winds with that.

The front has a better chance of bulging into far SE Montgomery County than it does getting anywhere near Waller.

The ongoing tornado warnings to the north of the watch box shows that it should have extended just a tad more north.

The wind here is getting intense. This is a very powerful storm system.

[jasons2k]

If I had no context and had to guess which side of the red line the watch was for…

[Cromagnum]

Whoever said any storms that track into Houston would be bad seems to have nailed it.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Kinda odd that Waller was included but Montgomery wasn’t. If you hold a ruler parallel to the watch box….oh never mind…

Thought the same but guessing the warm front never quite makes it to MoCo and if so, barely.

I’m not forecasted to get out of the 50s. Tough to get anything but heavy rain and straight line winds with that.

The front has a better chance of bulging into far SE Montgomery County than it does getting anywhere near Waller.

The ongoing tornado warnings to the north of the watch box shows that it should have extended just a tad more north.

The wind here is getting intense. This is a very powerful storm system.

Need to focus on today, but this storm is really going to kick off the proverbial drop of the cold hammer on us. The door has been kicked open today. Old Man Kool Aid (Frost version) is smiling ominously at us.

[Cromagnum]

If I had no context and had to guess which side of the red line the watch was for…

Strange isn't it? Right now there is practically nothing in the actual watch box.

[jasons2k]

Wow

[Iceresistance]

Snowing at my area while Y'all are getting tornadoes? This storm system is very dynamic!

[tireman4]

Thunderstorm near Klein

[Stratton20]

Hope no tornadoes occur! This system is powerful, and if im not mistaken, this storm system is going to help to begin the process of arctic air intrusions beginning to push further south , old man winter is staring us down big time

[jasons2k]

The circulation appears to be elongating and weakening now. Close call.

Edit: Talking about the Spring-Klein cell

[tireman4]

From Jeff...

Severe weather and heavy rainfall underway.

Conditions have quickly developed on the last hour with multiple tornado warnings and 1 confirmed tornado with damage near Eagle Lake and a funnel cloud at SH 249/Spring Cypress.

Tornadic supercells have quickly developed on the north side of the warm front with storms showing frequent and at times sustained long term rotation. Effectively any areas in the tornado watch will have a tornado and severe risk for the next 3-5 hours. Storm motions are very fast…40-50mph so warning lead times will be short.

Additionally, supercells have begun to train in a WSW to ENE fashion from Sealy to Cypress to Conroe. HCFCD gages show rainfall in the last 1.5 hours of 1.5-2.5 inches over NW Harris County with radar showing upwards of 3 inches near Sealy. Flash flooding will be possible as cell training continues along this corridor. Storms will eventually begin to move toward the E/ESE with time with heavy rainfall moving across all of the metro area early this afternoon.

Storms will quickly end with the cold front from west to east in the 300-500pm.