January 2023

[sambucol]

Thanks for posting. I have a feeling we are going to
get that Arctic air here. Maybe winter precip.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

FLY EAGLES FLY! Beat the 49ers!

[Iceresistance]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

[Cpv17]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

I just want some rain from this system. I think it’ll do that for us.

[Stratton20]

On the 00z GFS it appears we get an initial shot of arctic air around the 30th and then an even stronger push of arctic aur a few days after that, step down process

[don]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

If this isn't gloating I don't know what is.... You don't provide anything to the discussion, just as I said you only come here to gloat.

[Cpv17]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

If this isn't gloating I don't know what is.... You don't provide anything to the discussion, just as I said you only come here to gloat.

Me personally, it doesn’t bother me. He’s just an 18 year old kid that’s excited about getting some snow and wants to share his excitement with other people.

The 6z GFS is a freezer, btw! Confidence increasing.

[sambucol]

Cpv, what’s the timing of arrival into SETX on the 6z GFS?

[Stratton20]

sambucol the arctic air looks to arrive by next monday-tuesday, beyond cold the details are uncertain though

[sambucol]

Thanks. That general timeframe is helpful.

[don]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

If this isn't gloating I don't know what is.... You don't provide anything to the discussion, just as I said you only come here to gloat.

Me personally, it doesn’t bother me. He’s just an 18 year old kid that’s excited about getting some snow and wants to share his excitement with other people.

The 6z GFS is a freezer, btw! Confidence increasing.

It bothered me because that's all they post here if they provided anything to the discussion that would be different.And 18 years old is more than old enough to know better they know exactly what they are doing. There post comes across as spam and troll posting. Keep in mind I've been on this forum since I was a kid also for almost 20 years now so I understand the excitement but there are more tasteful ways to express that without gloating.Anyway back to the weather.

[don]

SPC has upgraded the coastal counties to a slightl risk. With an area wide slight risk for flash flooding tomorrow. The main there for most is still localized street flooding. But there is also a conditional risk for discreet supercells especially in the coastal counties.

By Tuesday morning, the aforementioned digging trough will invigorate
a surface low in West Texas that will push east throughout the day.
This low will continue to gather strength as the trough becomes
negatively tilted over Central Texas, putting Southeast Texas in a
favorable region for potential severe weather and heavy rainfall.
Winds will also increase steadily throughout the day with sustained
winds near 20-30 mph along with higher gusts possible. Therefore, a
Wind Advisory will most likely be needed on Tuesday.

As we start to enter the realm where hi-res guidance is extending
into Tuesday evening, most are in agreeance that isolated showers
across our western CWA will gradually push east throughout the
morning and increase in coverage as a warm front ahead of the
approaching surface low pushes through our area. By mid-morning,
PoPs will range from 60-80% across most of Southeast Texas. By 12-2
pm, the surface low and its associated cold front will be
approaching our western CWA, reaching the Houston-Metro area by 2-
4pm, and Galveston by 4-6pm before leaving our CWA around sunset.

Regarding the potential for severe weather on Tuesday, in a nutshell
there will be an abundant amount of shear and helicity, but surface
based instability will be lacking. A 40-50kt LLJ will extend through
South Texas and into our CWA which will advect ample Gulf moisture
into Southeast Texas and provide 60-70+ kts of 0-6km bulk shear
along with 500+ m2/s2 0-3km SRH. But in spite of that, hi-res models
also show surface based instability lacking as a robust 900-750mb
cap remains in place throughout most of the morning and early
afternoon. Saturated soundings below 700mb also indicate overcast
skies, so surface heating will also be lacking as temperatures
struggle to reach the 60s north of I-10. However, south of I-10,
daytime highs are expected to reach the upper 60s to low 70s. This
combined with frontal passage could provide enough lift for showers
and storms to tap into this ample shear and helicity to produce more
organized convection with severe hazards of all types possible
(damaging winds, hail, and a few isolated tornadoes). Therefore, SPC
has placed most of our CWA south of I-10 in a Slight Risk for severe
weather on Tuesday while central portions of our CWA remain in a
Marginal Risk. Regarding the potential for heavy rainfall, WPC has
placed most of our CWA in a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall with
1-3" of rain expected with isolated higher amounts possible.

[Cromagnum]

I work down at the coast and will report in tomorrow if it gets squirrely

[sambucol]

Larry Cosgrove this morning:

An early week storm starts the (Arctic) ball rolling for North America.

The chill in the air across the lower 48 states is nothing compared to the sequence of Arctic air mass intrusions that will pass through the continent over the course of the next three weeks. The process of chilling down the USA and Canada starts with a seemingly innocuous storm now approaching the "Four Corners". This feature will dig into the Houston/Galveston TX metro on Tuesday afternoon, then recurve into the lower Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Valley by Thursday morning. A band of moderate to heavy snow will take shape to the left of the path of lowest pressure; some snow may briefly fall in Dallas TX and Little Rock AR. A severe weather and heavy rain risk will appear on later on January 24 along the Interstate 10 corridor from San Antonio TX to Biloxi MS.

The first cold intrusion, in the near term, will be joined by a second and decidedly bitter cAk regime out of Canada that infiltrates the Intermountain Region, Great Plains, and Mississippi Valley in the 6-10 day range. This domain will not reach the East Coast until the last day in January. A concern I have is that new cyclogenesis will occur in the western Gulf of Mexico around February 1. Riding the frontal structure to near the Virginia Capes, this disturbance may provide chances for frozen precipitation and impressive cold air mass drainage into Texas and Mexico for the start of the 11-15 day time frame.

With a stratospheric warming event pushing out of Siberia into Canada, the risk for a mid-to-late February Arctic blast is increasing. I think that once we get past that event, milder temperatures will return for most as we enter March.

[Stratton20]

Holy moly the 12z CMC is very cold, 12z GFS gets very close to showing a winter storm setup on the 31st, interesting week ahead folks

[tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 231130
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
530 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 404 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

No shortage of weather around Southeast Texas to talk about in the
week to come, beginning with a new round of showers and storms
expected on Tuesday. Here are some of the highlights:
① Potential for showers will increase tomorrow morning, peaking in
the afternoon with numerous shows and storms, with a marginal risk
of severe weather inland of Highway 59, and a modestly higher
slight risk around and coastward of there.

② Though quicker storm motion should help rain from piling up too
much, these storms still look to be capable of producing high rain
rates, which introduces some threat of localized flooding,
particularly in low-lying, poor drainage, and other vulnerable
spots. There is a slight risk of excessive rain for the large
majority of Southeast Texas.

③ After the front passes Tuesday evening, we look ahead towards a
middle to late week that will feature fair weather, but notably
colder temperatures. Locations in the far northern part of the
area like Crockett and Madisonville are likely to see low
temperatures briefly reach or fall just beneath freezing for a
night or two. Other locations like Caldwell and College Station
have just a shade over a 50 percent chance of touching the
freezing mark around dawn Friday morning. Farther south, freezing
temperatures are less probably, but chilly nights with lows in the
30s are still expected.

④ A warm-up is in the works for next weekend, but it comes with a
price - more moisture, and another chance for rain and storms.
Keep an eye on the forecast in the days to come if you`ve got big
weekend plans.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 404 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

High pressure overhead will bring mostly sunny skies and highs in
the upper 50s to low 60s today. This high pressure will begin to
slide east tonight as a digging trough pushes a formidable shortwave
into AZ/NM. Onshore flow quickly resumes tonight, bringing in cloud
cover and higher dewpoints. A strengthening LLJ will keep patchy fog
away and give us low, overcast ceilings instead. Overnight lows
tonight will be noticeably warmer and in the low 50s south of I-10
and mid 40s north of Houston.

By Tuesday morning, the aforementioned digging trough will invigorate
a surface low in West Texas that will push east throughout the day.
This low will continue to gather strength as the trough becomes
negatively tilted over Central Texas, putting Southeast Texas in a
favorable region for potential severe weather and heavy rainfall.
Winds will also increase steadily throughout the day with sustained
winds near 20-30 mph along with higher gusts possible. Therefore, a
Wind Advisory will most likely be needed on Tuesday.

As we start to enter the realm where hi-res guidance is extending
into Tuesday evening, most are in agreeance that isolated showers
across our western CWA will gradually push east throughout the
morning and increase in coverage as a warm front ahead of the
approaching surface low pushes through our area. By mid-morning,
PoPs will range from 60-80% across most of Southeast Texas. By 12-2
pm, the surface low and its associated cold front will be
approaching our western CWA, reaching the Houston-Metro area by 2-
4pm, and Galveston by 4-6pm before leaving our CWA around sunset.

Regarding the potential for severe weather on Tuesday, in a nutshell
there will be an abundant amount of shear and helicity, but surface
based instability will be lacking. A 40-50kt LLJ will extend through
South Texas and into our CWA which will advect ample Gulf moisture
into Southeast Texas and provide 60-70+ kts of 0-6km bulk shear
along with 500+ m2/s2 0-3km SRH. But in spite of that, hi-res models
also show surface based instability lacking as a robust 900-750mb
cap remains in place throughout most of the morning and early
afternoon. Saturated soundings below 700mb also indicate overcast
skies, so surface heating will also be lacking as temperatures
struggle to reach the 60s north of I-10. However, south of I-10,
daytime highs are expected to reach the upper 60s to low 70s. This
combined with frontal passage could provide enough lift for showers
and storms to tap into this ample shear and helicity to produce more
organized convection with severe hazards of all types possible
(damaging winds, hail, and a few isolated tornadoes). Therefore, SPC
has placed most of our CWA south of I-10 in a Slight Risk for severe
weather on Tuesday while central portions of our CWA remain in a
Marginal Risk. Regarding the potential for heavy rainfall, WPC has
placed most of our CWA in a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall with
1-3" of rain expected with isolated higher amounts possible.

After this front pushes through Tuesday evening, some isolated wrap-
around precip is possible for our northern counties, but most of
Southeast Texas will stay dry and skies will rapidly clear.
Temperatures will also begin to fall as overnight low are expected
to reach the upper 30s to low 40s on Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 404 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Come Wednesday morning, we will be decidedly in a post-frontal
environment, with the surface low having made its way to the Mid-
South and the cold front cleanly into the open Gulf of Mexico.
Across Southeast Texas and our nearshore waters, we should expect
low level northwest flow, helping usher in cooler and drier air. And,
even though the main batch of mid-level vorticity supporting the
main low will be long gone with the surface feature, it looks like
another shortwave trough or remnant vorticity will enhance the
base of the longer-wave trough as it lags in coming through our
area. Because of this, I`d expect that while the bulk of the
arctic air will pass by to our east, we should still manage a fair
amount of cold advection until that shortwave shears out Thursday
night and ridging aloft (or at least some southwest flow) can
begin building.

Because of that, the middle of the week looks chilly, and as rare
as it`s been this month, should feature temperatures below
seasonal averages for at least a couple days. Wednesday`s highs
look to be coolest, with the surge of post-frontal air, plus solar
energy put into evaporating a wetter surface following Tuesday`s
rain and storms. I`ve got highs in the low to mid-50s for most of
the area, except in the southwest towards Matagorda Bay, where
some upper 50s may emerge. Unsurprisingly, this is where the
post-frontal cold advection will be weakest. Thursday`s highs,
though probably not colder than Wednesday, aren`t likely to really
be any warmer - a couple degrees or so.

At night, it`s a different story. Wednesday night looks chilly
with lows in the 30s for all but the immediate coast. Despite
that, it only looks likely for the northernmost reaches around
Crockett and Madisonville to reach freezing for a couple hours
around dawn. While there`s a chance (25-50 percent) of touching
the freezing mark north of the Houston metro and in the rural
areas west of the metro Wednesday night/early Thursday morning,
lows in the 33-36 range appear more likely. But with high pressure
drifting overhead keeping winds light, what winds there are being
keeping the tap of cooler, drier air from being turned completely
off, plus a mostly clear sky, we`ve got a good setup for ideal
nighttime cooling for a second night Thursday into Friday morning.
This will be most apparent way up in Houston County, where some
lows briefly dipping below 30 degrees is expected. Not likely to
be enough for a hard freeze (the NBM distribution pegs that
probability in a 25-45 percent range), but still a good, chilly
night. Folks around College Station and Caldwell will also want to
look out for the thermometer to hit 32 for a short bit around dawn
as well. In the rest of the area to the north and west of the
Houston metro, chances may be slightly higher for hitting
freezing, but expected highs are still in the 33-36 degree band.
Unlike the rest of the area, lows at the coast might actually be
a degree or two higher if winds catch enough of an onshore
component to start boosting dewpoints and raise that temperature
floor.

Speaking of onshore winds, those come back on Friday as the
surface high moves off to the Southeast and we begin this winter`s
trend anew - development of a coastal trough and another upper
shortwave trough moving into the region. As one would expect in a
forecast nearly a week out, though there`s pretty solid confidence
in the broad strokes of this trend, the details are still pretty
fuzzy. The deterministic models generally look less amplified with
both the surface trough and the pattern aloft, which would imply
less development of rain and storms. Still, the NAEFS ensemble
develops 90th percentile precipitable water values next weekend.
And though the Euro ensemble is not quite so aggressive, IVT
numbers in the return flow do also get up to around the 90th
percentile, so while not a climatological extreme, we should see a
decent amount of moisture available. So while I`m not hitting next
weekend as hard as we did tomorrow`s setup when it was this far
out, I`ve still got likely PoPs over much of the Gulf waters
bleeding onto the coast - centered around Galveston Bay and
roughly from I-10 coastward.

For what it`s worth, the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index does have a
little bitty 0.5 bullseye (on a scale of 0 to 1) just inland of
Galveston Bay, and our deterministic QPF collaborated with WPC
shows up to around 2 inches of rain for the weekend in the same
spot, so...it`ll still be something to pay attention to as we
sharpen up the details. But we should probably get through
tomorrow first before we start worrying about the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 525 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

VFR will prevail today. By tomorrow morning, 10-12Z, MVFR cigs
will start to push in from the west and quickly become IFR by 15Z
tomorrow. Isolated rain showers possible early tomorrow morning
starting around 09Z for western counties, but coverage did not
warrant mentioning VCSH for now. By 18Z tomorrow, coverage of
showers begins to increase as a strong cold front approaches from
the northwest. Expect VCTS/TSRA by 18Z tomorrow for most TAF
sites.

Walts

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 404 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 15 to 20 knots are being
observed at numerous locations on and around the waters early
this morning. Winds will become more onshore through the day, and
though they may briefly fall below 15 knots at times during the
day, it is expected to be only briefly. In light of this and the
expected poor conditions oncoming, small craft should continue to
exercise caution through the day.

Winds are expected to strengthen this evening as an upper
disturbance moves in and a surface low develops. Winds are expect
to exceed the advisory threshold on the Gulf waters, and persist
for long enough before expected onset of gale conditions that a
lead-in advisory is necessary. Winds will increase further on
Tuesday as the new low pressure center moves into the area. A
Gale Watch is in effect with sustained winds of 25 to 35 knots and
gusts up to 35 to 45 knots expected across the waters from
Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening. Confidence in seeing gale
conditions is quite high, though there is some uncertainty in
precisely how quick the onset of gales will occur as well as how
long they may persist Tuesday night. Because of this, the offices
with watches in effect chose to leave the watch for now, and will
give the day shift an opportunity with the freshest data to make
their warning decision.

Widespread showers can also be expected during this period, and
embedded thunderstorms could locally increase winds and seas even
further. After the low passes and a cold front crosses the area
Tuesday night, offshore winds return to the area and persist
through Thursday. A small craft advisory will be needed for some
undetermined time as winds and seas subside, but want to keep the
focus on conditions as they degrade into gales tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 59 46 54 39 / 0 30 100 0
Houston (IAH) 60 48 63 41 / 0 10 100 10
Galveston (GLS) 56 54 68 44 / 0 0 90 20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through late tonight for
GMZ330-335.

Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through this afternoon for
GMZ350-355-370-375.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Tuesday
for GMZ350-355-370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Walts
LONG TERM....Luchs
AVIATION...Walts
MARINE...Luchs

[jasons2k]

Morning update from Jeff:

A strong storm system will impact the state of Texas on Tuesday

Strong to severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds will be possible Tuesday across SE TX.

Overview:
Deepening upper level trough over the SW US will continue eastward and into SW/W TX tonight/Tuesday and then exit the state early Wednesday morning over the ARLATX area. This system will bring dynamic weather to much of Texas starting late tonight and ending early Wednesday.

Dry air mass over SE TX this morning will undergo significant changes in the next 24 hours as upper level system moves into the state. Strong height falls this afternoon and tonight will force the development of surface low pressure over SC TX with quickly developing low level jet from deep south Texas across much of SE/E TX after midnight. Low level jet will quickly transport copious moisture northward from the SW/W Gulf of Mexico with significant air mass moistening through the air column by early Tuesday morning. PWS climb from a dry .30 of an inch to near 1.5 inches by early Tuesday. As the surface low deepens and moves toward the NE on Tuesday, a powerful low level jet of 45-55kts will be located over much of SE/E TX resulting in windy conditions. Wind advisory will likely be required for much of the area with isolated to scattered power outages possible. Lift rapidly increases Tuesday morning with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing from SW to NE across the region. Cold front moves quickly in from the west during the afternoon hours likely with a line of thunderstorms and sweeps across the area and out of the state by early evening.

Heavy Rainfall:
Overall setup supports a heavy rainfall threat on Tuesday with deep saturated moist layer, strong low level inflow and moisture transport, and strong upper level divergence over the region. High resolution and some of the global guidance have continued to hint at some sort of low level convergence boundary becoming established along the US 59 corridor around mid morning Tuesday which fires off heavy rainfall well ahead of the approaching front. This signal has shown up in the recent HRRR and helps to boost rainfall in the Fort Bend, Harris, and Liberty County area. Will need to monitor this closely on Tuesday as this could lead to a period of cell training of storms and quick rainfall accumulations.

Widespread rainfall of 1-3 inches is likely with isolated totals of 4-6 inches possible. Street flooding will be a concern in the heavier rainfall cores as hourly rates may approach 1-3 inches. Given the time of year, wet grounds, and dead vegetation from recent freezes, maximum run-off is likely and rises on area watersheds is expected, but current forecasted rainfall amounts should not lead to creek, bayou, river flooding.

Severe:
Impressive wind profiles will be in place with 80-100kt mid level jet carving across SE TX Tuesday afternoon. Instability is still lacking but may be just enough along and south of I-10 for severe thunderstorms to develop. SPC has upgraded the risk in that area into a (2 out of 5) slight risk. Given the wind profiles, damaging straight line winds and bowing line segments will be possible if storms can root near the surface. Wind gusts of 60-70mph will be possible with any bowing segments. Low level winds are backed enough near the coast, that low level storm rotation will be maximized and a tornado or two will be possible. Highest threat of severe is currently offshore, but if the local air mass is able to recover or destabilize a bit more than expected an additional upgrade on the severe threat will be required for areas south of I-10.

Winds:
As mentioned, impressive wind profiles will be in place over the area starting late tonight into Tuesday night. Strong low level jet overhead will be transported to the surface in showers with sustained winds of 25-35mph and gusts of 40-45mph much of Tuesday. Gusts may be higher near the coast and the inland bays. A wind advisory will likely be required for much of the area and these winds may down trees and tree limbs, result in isolated to scattered power outages, and move unsecured outdoor objects.

Marine:
Dangerous marine conditions will quickly develop late tonight into Tuesday as southerly winds rapidly increase into the 35-45kt range for all waters. Gale watch is in effect for all waters and will be upgraded to a warning this afternoon. Seas will quickly build 6-8 ft bays and 10-12ft offshore Gulf waters on Tuesday. Strong winds may result in elevated tides in the northern portion of Galveston Bay Tuesday along with wave run-up on the Gulf facing beaches. Line of strong to severe thunderstorms will cross the coastal waters Tuesday afternoon/evening with winds quickly veering to the W/NW at 30-4kts. Wind gusts with the line of storms of 50-55kts will be possible. Small craft should be in port by this evening and remain in port until winds and seas subside on Wednesday.

Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District
9900 Northwest Freeway | Houston, Texas 77092
346-286-4000 (main) | 346-286-4165 (direct) | 281-924-2091 (cell)
jeff.lindner@hcfcd.org | Twitter: @jefflindner1

[don]

Coastal areas upgraded to an Enhanced risk tomorrow.With strong tornadoes being a possibility for the coast.

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1138 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDDLE
AND UPPER TEXAS COAST...AND FROM SOUTHERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD INTO
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are expected from the middle to upper Texas
Coast Tuesday afternoon, spreading into parts of southeastern
Louisiana and across coastal Mississippi, Alabama and the western
Florida Panhandle by Wednesday morning. Damaging winds and several
tornadoes are anticipated, with a conditional threat of a strong
tornado.

...Synopsis...
A deep upper low will move eastward from northern TX during the day
into the middle MS Valley by 12Z Wed. Leading this trough will be a
80-100 midlevel jet streak, with extreme 70+ kt 850 mb wind fields
translating east across the Gulf Coast states. At the surface, low
pressure will develop across southeast TX during the day, pivoting
northeast across LA and AR overnight. Meanwhile, a warm front will
extend east from the low, with mid 60s F dewpoints south of the
Houston area. This front will lift north of I-10 in LA after 00Z,
with mid to upper 60s F dewpoints eventually overspreading southeast
LA, and the coastal counties of MS, AL, and the western FL
Panhandle. A cold front will surge east across the northern Gulf
coast states immediately behind the warm front, resulting in a
limited warm sector.

...Middle and upper TX Coast - Daytime...
Rain and elevated storms will rapidly expand across central TX
during the day, with intensification occurring over south-central
into southeast TX as the warm sector develops northward. Storms are
forecast to become severe after 18Z along the cold front, and warm
front intersection where a surface low will develop. Here, dewpoints
are expected to be sufficient for surface-based storm inflow, with
MLCAPE to around 1000 J/kg. Shear profiles will be extreme, with
effective SRH over 500 m2/s2 and near 800 m2/s2 along the warm front
south of the Houston area. Supercells will be likely along the
developing line of storms near the cold front, and a favored area
for strong tornadoes will be as this lift intersects the warm front.
Heating is unlikely given the early moisture return and saturated
boundary layer, but the extreme shear warrants an outlook for
isolated strong tornadoes.

[Iceresistance]

I don't think I will be able to send this to Y'all down there, it does make Y'all wish to move to Oklahoma though.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/Yes.png

If this isn't gloating I don't know what is.... You don't provide anything to the discussion, just as I said you only come here to gloat.

Me personally, it doesn’t bother me. He’s just an 18 year old kid that’s excited about getting some snow and wants to share his excitement with other people.

The 6z GFS is a freezer, btw! Confidence increasing.

Bingo, I'm 19 to be exact, but close enough.

I'm really trying to just share it to Y'all, I'm the only Oklahoman member here.

If there is a silver lining, it's the fact that SE Texas is going to get a lot of rain from this system.

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance hey their is absolutely nothing wrong with sharing or being excited about something weather, thats what this group is for, just word you’re statements carefully so that it doesnt sound like gloating, but yeah enjoy the snow man! Hope this pattern change delivers SE Texas some fun stuff