December 2022

[srainhoutx]

Wife and I are supposed to fly out to Charlotte on Christmas day, then drive to Gatlinburg/Pigeon Forge on the 26th until the 29th for our 25th anniversary. Do you think we should cancel due to the weather, or should we be ok? Our main concern is driving across the Smokies on the 26th.

You folks should be just fine. It's going to be cold, but currently no precipitation in our local forecast for the 26th. North Carolina DOT does a remarkable job keeping I-40 open. There is some construction on I-40 near the Tennessee State Line in the Pigeon Gorge, but delays are nothing like the Houston metro area. Enjoy your trip and Happy Anniversary!

Thanks, Steve!!

My pleasure! You folks will be driving right past me. Enjoy Pigeon Forge and Gatlinburg. Wave as you pass Maggie Valley on I-40.

[suprdav2]

You folks should be just fine. It's going to be cold, but currently no precipitation in our local forecast for the 26th. North Carolina DOT does a remarkable job keeping I-40 open. There is some construction on I-40 near the Tennessee State Line in the Pigeon Gorge, but delays are nothing like the Houston metro area. Enjoy your trip and Happy Anniversary!

Thanks, Steve!!

My pleasure! You folks will be driving right past me. Enjoy Pigeon Forge and Gatlinburg. Wave as you pass Maggie Valley on I-40.

Will do!!

[Iceresistance]

Eastern and SE Texas is expecting rain/thunderstorms tomorrow

[snowman65]

this place gets teally quiet as the hope fades for winter weather white precipitation

[Stratton20]

I mean the hopes were never high to begin with lol

[cperk]

this place gets teally quiet as the hope fades for winter weather white precipitation

Yeah but 121 pages for December 2022 is awsome.

[mcheer23]

NAM has a 1067 high pressure….

[sambucol]

NAM has a 1067 high pressure….

Holy smokes!! That’s high!!

[Cpv17]

NAM has a 1067 high pressure….

Yeah that’s just mind boggling.

[Dls2010r]

What does that mean?

[Stormlover2020]

Icon has 9 degrees lol

[Stratton20]

Dls2010r that means temps are likely to come in even colder, 1067 mb is ridiculous

[Dls2010r]

ty.

[Ptarmigan]

NAM has a 1067 high pressure….

A 1067 millibar high pressure would produce very cold air. That would exceed January 1962, December 1983, or December 1989! I would not be surprised if there were higher pressure in February 1895 and February 1899.

Winter 1961–1962 Strikes All Sections
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10. ... ode=vwws20

The Historic December 1983 Arctic Outbreak
https://arkansasweather.blogspot.com/20 ... break.html

20 Years Ago: The December 1989 Arctic Outbreak across the North Country
https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/events/Dec1989.pdf

[Cpv17]

NAM has a 1067 high pressure….

A 1067 millibar high pressure would produce very cold air. That would exceed January 1962, December 1983, or December 1989! I would not be surprised if there were higher pressure in February 1895 and February 1899.

Winter 1961–1962 Strikes All Sections
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10. ... ode=vwws20

The Historic December 1983 Arctic Outbreak
https://arkansasweather.blogspot.com/20 ... break.html

20 Years Ago: The December 1989 Arctic Outbreak across the North Country
https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/events/Dec1989.pdf

I’m very fascinated by 1895 and 1899. That seems to be the benchmark for winter in our area.

[Stratton20]

00z GFS has my attention now, more moisture,
hinting at precipitation with the front in SE Texas……

[TexasMetBlake]

00z GFS has my attention now, more moisture,
hinting at precipitation with the front in SE Texas……

Pre-frontal. One thing that we will have to watch for is "flash freezing" of leftover water on elevated surfaces with temperatures almost immediately crashing into the 20s behind the front. This is probably the strongest cold front I've ever seen in my 16 years of doing meteorology. Pretty incredible. Take it in. You may or may not see it again.

Feb 2021 was a stair step down. It was a series of arctic fronts that pushed our temps down. I've never seen temps crash this hard, this quick behind the front. It could be near 60 degrees in Dallas while Fort Worth is in the mid 20s. Insane.

[Cpv17]

Am I really seeing a 1069 MB HP on the 0z GFS? That is just jaw dropping.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

GFS tries to drop a hour or so worth of sleet and/or freezing rain on us Thursday evening

[TexasMetBlake]

The GEM keeps us below freezing from Thursday afternoon to Sunday afternoon with multiple nights in the low teens. Could it be on to something? It handled Feb 2021 better than any other model. I really wish the NAM was within range. Ugh!