December 2022

[sambucol]

There’s a met on S2K predicting that it goes further south for a 2004 redux where we end up with nothing here. I sure hope that doesn’t turn out to be the case.

We had a lot of snow in 2004 and we are east of Houston.

[txsnowmaker]

I don't buy that 6Z GFS run for a second, by the way. It's been way too bullish with west Gulf lows all season. Odds are it doesn't have the pattern right.

Right on cue from 57

I’ll take my cues from 57 when it comes to tropical weather but I’ll take my cues from our on-air mets when it comes to winter weather, especially when conservative on air mets don’t commonly mention a “legit” shot at snow here a week out like one is doing now.

https://abc13.com/arctic-blast-white-ch ... /12576536/

[Cpv17]

I don't buy that 6Z GFS run for a second, by the way. It's been way too bullish with west Gulf lows all season. Odds are it doesn't have the pattern right.

Right on cue from 57

Actually we’ve been pretty wet lately. I’ve had over 10” of rain at my house in the last 6 weeks and like I mentioned with the SOI crashing this has merit.

[walsean1]

Here is Larry Cosgrove’s Morning Post

https://t.co/hc9ZYXBnKF

[Stratton20]

I bet it goes ka poof on the 12z lol, but
i hope not!

[brazoriatx]

It will...then it will magically reappear...happens 95% of the time

[brazoriatx]

Gfs ops

[mcheer23]

Interesting that ensemble support for snow has increased...also shows up on the 00z Euro Control run. As of now probably only a 20 percent chance it actually snows.

[txsnowmaker]

It will...then it will magically reappear...happens 95% of the time

Yep, it’s already done that with this particular system.

[brazoriatx]

Interesting that ensemble support for snow has increased...also shows up on the 00z Euro Control run. As of now probably only a 20 percent chance it actually snows.

20 is better than 0

[mcheer23]

Someone forgot to tell the ICON to stay away from drugs lol

[don]

The 12Z ICON has completely flipped with the trough placement now over the Plains/Rockies.Shows a deeper and slower trough.Very significant change from its previous runs FWIW.

[Cpv17]

The 12Z ICON has completely flipped with the trough placement now over the Plains/Rockies.Very significant change from its previous runs FWIW.

How did the ICON do with Feb 21? I think I heard someone mention it did really well.

[Dls2010r]

What does that mean Don?

[mcheer23]

Icon has Houston around 13 degrees next Friday AM....only warming up to about 30

[Dls2010r]

I’m a dumb dumb with the verbiage.

[Dls2010r]

What about Santa Fe?

[brazoriatx]

[txsnowmaker]

What is the 12z ICON showing for precip in the Houston area?

[Stratton20]

doesnt have any precip in SE Texas but does have snow in the GOM LOL!