December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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DoctorMu wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 10:34 am
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 10:20 am Sounds like 57 is slowly getting onboard.
The ship has sailed. :lol:
You mean jet. LOL. He has a jet fueled up in the hangar at Hobby. Says the pilot is on standby so he can jet off to Sydney.
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 10:36 am
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 10:34 am
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 10:20 am Sounds like 57 is slowly getting onboard.
The ship has sailed. :lol:
You mean jet. LOL. He has a jet fueled up in the hangar at Hobby. Says the pilot is on standby so he can jet off to Sydney.
The Southern Jetstream 8-)
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MontgomeryCoWx
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We are headed to the farm for Christmas. I’m going to be layered up hunting hogs in hopefully 10-15 degree weather.

Just perfection.
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DoctorMu
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NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts:
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brazoriatx
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1072 mb on the 12z ICON

they ain't fading away are they lol
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Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:36 am 1072 mb on the 12z ICON

they ain't fading away are they lol
Yeah that would shatter records lol
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DoctorMu
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GFS keeps Christmas Eve in the 20s in CLL. Low of about 14°F. It's gone drier for Texas.
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snowman65
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Nobody wants 20 degrees and dry lol
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brazoriatx
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Wouldn't worry about precip till next week
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MontgomeryCoWx
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snowman65 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:55 am Nobody wants 20 degrees and dry lol
I’d take it in a heartbeat versus the crap we’ve had.
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brazoriatx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:55 am Wouldn't worry about precip till next week
Correct.

I stay below freezing from late the 22nd until the 26th. I’d take it.
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tireman4
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Yep, agreed. I would not worry about precipitation until 5 days out.
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Stratton20
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12z GEFS is pretty active
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Holy ****, that’s an insane ensemble package up to Christmas.

I don’t think I’ve ever seen ensembles keep me below or around freezing for 48 hours straight .
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 12:07 pm 12z GEFS is pretty active
Awesome! This is much more important than what any op run is showing.
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don
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Agree,its important to not read too much into individual model runs in this range.The Ensembles are more important until we get at least within 5-7 days from the event.I feel pretty confident at this point that arctic air is coming,just a question of how cold and if the subtropical jet will be active when the arctic air arrives.We should have a better idea on how things may play out around this weekend.
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Stratton20
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12z Euro holy moly!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Not buying the warm up in front of the big front even with the massive Arctic Highs.
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Cpv17
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The 12z EPS is going to be interesting.
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sambucol
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:37 pm Not buying the warm up in front of the big front even with the massive Arctic Highs.
I’m glad to read your comment about that. Any idea why that run is showing that suddenly?
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