June 2022

[davidiowx]

Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us

Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.

Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.

The circulation center is actually offshore of Corpus, What you are seeing east of Galveston is a meso vortex, not the storm itself. The storm had several of these circulating around the center just like all tropical system do in the beginning until the actual center stacks vertically.

[Stratton20]

Tireman4 I did hear about that one, I remember I came across an old post on the internet regarding an old radar loop of tropical storm don, amazing how it just completely fizzled out once it made landfall

[davidiowx]

18z HRRR is very sad

[Stratton20]

I think this is a perfect picture of most of us getting no rain at all, what a troll!

[mcheer23]

All this and I might not even get a drop… it hasn’t rained here in 38 days.

[djmike]

0.76” for today at my home in Beaumont. Some areas around town south Beaumont got about 3”+ and towards Galveston/Port Arthur/Sabine Pass are the winners for today at 3.44” in 24hrs. This mornings rain shield just could not push inland. But again, TOMORROW is the “Main Event” and always has been for all the inches of rain thats been forecasted. Many that got duped today will see possibly inches tomorrow. Sorry for those that didn’t see much or any at all today, but tomorrow is another high possibility it will include more of Setx. As someone mentioned on here a few pages back, high possibility remains AFTER the blob is north of us. Will still be tapped into the gulf pulling/training northward storms. Locally Friday is 80% and Saturday is 70% for the the Triangle. Keeping fingers crossed much more will be included tomorrow.

[davidiowx]

Our last hope is likely tonight into tomorrow morning. If it can get some convection down there then we may get lucky. I can't imagine the NWS issued a flood watch through tomorrow for no reason at all. Then again, I have seen it happen before so just have to wait and see.

[sswinney]

I don’t post often but I’m always lurking. I just want to tell a lot of people to chill for a second. Most tropical systems when they move inland elongate and spread their rain shield out. You might end up with some rain before this ends. Where I’ve been today it has rained nearly all day and that’s from the south side, to the med center, to the NE side, and now in the Deer Park area and it’s still raining.

[snowman65]

Hope we get our fair share in the GT but no more than that!

[don]

Don't look at the HRRR LOL... its trying to push a majority of the rain onto SW Louisiana now.

[djmike]

Not all of it

6CBAF1B7-8EC2-46BB-953F-CBD7DE5D3DA4.jpeg

[don]

That's the 12z run from this morning though.The last few runs don't look as nice qpf wise.

[Scott747]

Recon just finished their mission and needless to say they didn't find much. Believe or not the axis/low is still generally ese/e of Corpus and drifting N/NW

Remain cautiously optimistic that into the evening and overnight hours that rain will shift into areas of SE Texas as it nears the coast and land friction allows a little tightening of the system to draw convection a little closer to whatever core there is, and not so far to the NE.

[suprdav2]

Travis Herzog just posted that majority of Harris county will only see 20-30% chance of rain tomorrow.

Time to drag out sprinkler.

[djmike]

Travis just posted this. Im confused. I. His graphic he has the L by Corpus marked as the OLD low pressure system and the one by Galveston as tbe NEW low pressure system. I thought what was by Galveston was just a low vorticity spun off of the main Low pressure by Corpus. He makes it sound like the L pressure has moved towards Galveston and is now the main one. Im confused. Per NHC our sysem is still east of corpus.

[redneckweather]

0.00"

[Cromagnum]

0.00"

Every day since sometime in early May.

[Cromagnum]

Under a flash flood watch in Brazoria County and the forecast is for 0-0.5" of rain for nearly our whole area. What a damned joke.

[davidiowx]

The storms that started to fire near the “old” LLC disappeared as fast as they popped off

[Texashawk]

I think it’s so damn dry in South Texas we’re seeing the ‘Don Effect’: it’s literally obliterating any attempted development as it tries to wrap near land.