April 2022

[Cpv17]

11z HRRR showed .5 to over an inch of rain over some of the area....12z HRRR shows nothing.

I noticed that. I thought that was really strange..

[jasons2k]

My weather app has much higher rain chances than the NWS. One will be right and one will be wrong…

[mcheer23]

The cap might win this one

[Stratton20]

The CAP should be weak enough to allow some thunderstorms to get going, the NWS has increased rain chances to 50% here in CS later tonight

[mcheer23]

There's a borderline severe thunderstorm near Laredo that the HRRR is not picking up...this was the storm that HRRR had moving into Houston on the 11z run

[Cromagnum]

Feels like classic tornado alley outbreak day.

[Stratton20]

Im right on the border of the enhanced risk zone, could be close, i expecting the cap will break this evening at least for our northern areas

[Iceresistance]

The CINH (Cap) is weakening rather rapidly over Oklahoma, fell from -200 to -75 (Generally) in the past 2 hours in some spots.

[Stratton20]

The CAP is beginning to break across SE texas as seen on radar to our SE, I expect some noisy thunderstorms later tonight

[Cpv17]

Those storms out near Brownwood look dangerous!

[Cpv17]

The second half of April is looking wet on both the GFS and Euro. Hopefully it doesn’t go away as we get closer.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 I know, especially the GFS at hours 300+, hope it holds, that would be a welcome sight for the whole state, probably just a teaser run though

[Cpv17]

CPV17 I know, especially the GFS at hours 300+, hope it holds, that would be a welcome sight for the whole state, probably just a teaser run though

I’ve noticed that the higher totals have started to slightly shift a bit more west on the GEFS over the past few runs so that gives me a bit more confidence about what the GFS is showing.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 I wouldnt mind that really, west texas couod really use that

[Cpv17]

Salado, TX is about to get slammed!

[Iceresistance]

PDS Tornado Warning for Salado, TX

Extremely strong Rotation with a Tornado on the Ground

[Iceresistance]

The other storms are disrupting it, the Supercell looks Muddy now.

[djmike]

Sooooooo are we done with the storms for SETX for today/tonight? I was expecting a little more action? Or is something supposed to transpire overnight?

[Cromagnum]

We got like 5 minutes of rain earlier. Hope more us coming.

[Stratton20]

It appears the CAP held over SE Texas today, I dont see much in the way of any storms making it here, maybe tommorow as the cold fronts swings through