Winter Long Range Discussion

[Stratton20]

Very interesting.... Old Man Winter is coming, big time

[mcheer23]

[sambucol]

Is this looking likely to happen? I've read a couple of places about the Polar Vortex nose diving south into Texas around 2/14. Oddly, that was the same time last year we had the Icemaggedon here.

[Stratton20]

The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10

[sambucol]

It looks like ERCOT might ought to ramp up more power production for whats coming next!

[Cpv17]

If you’ve read what I’ve been posting the past few days this is what I was referring to.

[walsean1]

The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10

That is dangerous cold weather oddly enough around the same time as 2021

[Stratton20]

walsean1 well actually not really, the front thats showing up on this run of the GFS would be strong but not as strong as the one we just got

[Cpv17]

The GEFS has an incredibly strong signal for cold in about two weeks. The strongest signal for cold I’ve seen all winter in that range.

[sambucol]

The 12z GFS does suggest the potential for another strong front around the 13th or so, cant go int any details but just something to watch, 12z Euro also showing a strong front on day 10

That is dangerous cold weather oddly enough around the same time as 2021

Would this possibly be of the same caliber as 2021?

[Stratton20]

Sambucol no, but it is 240 hours out so its just kind of speculation at this point, but as CPV17 noted their is a very strong signal (GEFS) in the 10-14 day timeframe of potential some very cold weather like today across the central US, time will tell

[Iceresistance]

Sambucol no, but it is 240 hours out so its just kind of speculation at this point, but as CPV17 noted their is a very strong signal (GEFS) in the 10-14 day timeframe of potential some very cold weather like today across the central US, time will tell

The timing of February 2021 is a yes, but right now, it appears it's not the strength of the cold wave for now, I've seen this signal this far out become way stronger as it gets closer, Even though that the pattern is suggesting another big one, we're at the peak of one of them in this pattern, soon, it's going to prepare itself for another wave & then round #2 will come, but only time will tell if that's the case.

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance ill take more cold for sure, just not last february cold, id prefer to keep power on in my apartment

[sambucol]

It’s always a good thing to have heads up. I’ll just stay prepared for this next one that’s coming. I’d rather know about it in advance than be caught off guard!

[davidiowx]

Spring looks like it’s on the way if the MJO forecasts verify

[vci_guy2003]

What happened to the perfect setup for another winter storm in 10 days?

[Stratton20]

Its more than 10 days out, winter is not over, I think we will have one more winter weather threat before its over

[Ptarmigan]

Anything can happen within 10 days.

[Stratton20]

Lol 12z Euro is on something strong

[Stratton20]

18z GFS late next week, could be seeing another strong shot or arctic air, something to watch for sure