February 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Dls2010r
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Is the purple sleet?
Kingwood36
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don wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 4:17 pm18Z ICON
That would have to make it all the way to coast..to damn close not to
Kingwood36
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Dls2010r wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 4:19 pm Is the purple sleet?
Yes
Stratton20
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Don if these trends continue is it possible we could be put under some sort of watch?
Kingwood36
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 4:31 pm Don if these trends continue is it possible we could be put under some sort of watch?
I would say it possible..maybe an advisory
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don
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Possible but there will need to be a lot more support first before they do that.We will know a lot more once the system is sampled and we get into the better range of mesoscale models. I wouldn't let my guard down on this one until then,especially for the far northwest counties.
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don
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Look what HGX added to the forecast grids in College Station...
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Kingwood36
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don wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 4:45 pm Look what HGX added to the forecast grids in College Station...
They always get it lol I'm not suprised about that
Stratton20
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Don oh thats interesting! I definitely wont let me guard down, Ice is no fun especially since everywhere on campus most of the walkways are concrete, that wouldnt be a fun time
Kingwood36
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Let's see if the trends continue to use to push east towards the coast
Kingwood36
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These members keep heading south....
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Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:00 pm These members keep heading south....
Yeah and there’s still plenty of time for it to trend even further south. Remember global models tend to underestimate the strength and speed of these Artic airmasses.
Stratton20
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Wow thats definitely a significant shift south, at least to me, only 3.5 days out so I am surprised they have shifted even further south
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sambucol
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Larry Cosgrove posted today this:

Given that the GFS version does very well with these colossal Arctic intrusions, I follow its advice in establishing the southern rim of an ice event along the northern rim of the suburbs of San Antonio and Houston in Texas.
Kingwood36
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sambucol wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:17 pm Larry Cosgrove posted today this:

Given that the GFS version does very well with these colossal Arctic intrusions, I follow its advice in establishing the southern rim of an ice event along the northern rim of the suburbs of San Antonio and Houston in Texas.
I think it could be further south then the burbs
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sambucol
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:22 pm
sambucol wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:17 pm Larry Cosgrove posted today this:

Given that the GFS version does very well with these colossal Arctic intrusions, I follow its advice in establishing the southern rim of an ice event along the northern rim of the suburbs of San Antonio and Houston in Texas.
I think it could be further south then the burbs
I agree.
Cromagnum
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:00 pm These members keep heading south....
They need to stay north. I've got $300 worth of concert tickets for Friday night at the Toyota Center that I would like to attend.
TexasBreeze
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Cromagnum wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:06 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 5:00 pm These members keep heading south....
They need to stay north. I've got $300 worth of concert tickets for Friday night at the Toyota Center that I would like to attend.
Yes especially if it is freezing rain. I like having power on! Sleet is fine and snow too.
Cpv17
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The first couple weeks of February look to have below average temps with above average precipitation. We’ll see if we can cash in.
Stratton20
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CPC already has a slight chance of hazardous temps late next week already, wow!
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