January 2022

[Stratton20]

CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though

[txsnowmaker]

CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though

Any time you get a short-term model, any model, showing snow in Houston it’s an eye-opener. Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.

[Stratton20]

txsnowman interesting! Definitely didnt know that, I usually dont focus too much on the meso scale models

[sambucol]

00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out

What’s the date for snow on that run? Thanks

[Stratton20]

sambucol monday january 3rd! So definitely really close

[don]

HGX now calling for lows in the 20s for many locations.

[Kingwood36]

Euro coming along with next week's front

[Stratton20]

What a joke another above normal map from NOAA

[Cpv17]

What a joke another above normal map from NOAA

I really don’t put much stock into those forecast anymore.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing

[DoctorMu]

CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing

True, the GEPS and GEFS ensembles are selling some reinforcing cold on Thursday.

GFS has bought in on 18z.

Euro wants to place their bet as well.

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu loving this trend for a reinforcing shot of arctic air, nothing better than sitting outside with a nice fire going and thise cold temps!

[Kingwood36]

Front is hauling *** lol

[Cpv17]

Front is hauling *** lol

These fronts are very heavy. A heck of a lot of momentum is barreling down south so that explains why these types of fronts usually come in earlier than forecasted.

[djmike]

What time is the frontal passage expected today?

[Cpv17]

What time is the frontal passage expected today?

If I had to make a guess, I’d say it should be passing through Beaumont anytime between 11pm-2am.

[djmike]

Thank you CPv. I dont know why I thought it was a lot sooner in the day. Happy New Year!!

[DoctorMu]

Front is hauling *** lol

These fronts are very heavy. A heck of a lot of momentum is barreling down south so that explains why these types of fronts usually come in earlier than forecasted.

53°F drop in CLL expected. lol

[DoctorMu]

^I may take that back because of instability across northern LA, MS, AL, TN. Tornado watch just posted in Alabama. Active tornado warning in TN. Could be a long day for that mid-South again along the front.

[Cpv17]

It may end up being a little colder tomorrow than currently forecasted. Also, wouldn’t be surprised to see a lot of wind chill readings in the teens.