Winter Long Range Discussion

[Iceresistance]

Stop being a scrooge , everything I post “oh it aint gonna happen” you need some optimism dude their are definitely indications a pattern change is coming, the MJO will eventually go inti phase 8 even if it is moving at a snails pace to do so

Orangeblood on S2K said that it will do so from January to March.

(And also, he really like my funny post on what's going on with the MJO)

[Iceresistance]

I can confirm that the PNA is still more positive than expected right now.

[Stratton20]

I got a weird feeling we are gonna see another winter storm in february Im gonna say oh its too hot this weather sucks and then boom down the road another winter storm comes for us

[Kingwood36]

He's talking about me lol..but optimistic and realistic are different things..It's fact that it is mostly gone the next days run..just pointing out facts lol

[Iceresistance]

I got a weird feeling we are gonna see another winter storm in february Im gonna say oh its too hot this weather sucks and then boom down the road another winter storm comes for us

But I'm worried about this one, we've yet to have a strong Winter Blast this winter.

The main part I'm worried about that this wave will be more powerful than the one this past February . . .

[Cpv17]

He's talking about me lol..but optimistic and realistic are different things..It's fact that it is mostly gone the next days run..just pointing out facts lol

This is true but this pattern probably won’t last all winter. The chance for that is slim. Odds are at some point this pattern will break and we’ll eventually get some artic air down here.

[Stratton20]

Exactly this pattern will break and we will see an arctic blast , i can pretty much almost guarantee it

[Iceresistance]

Exactly this pattern will break and we will see an arctic blast , i can pretty much almost guarantee it

Sure, it can hold on like this for months, but this pattern will eventually become exhausted & a new pattern replaces it.

[Kingwood36]

It's 2021...stranger things have happend..2022 isn't looking any better lol

[Stratton20]

Na calling it, winter storm again in february and in a few weeks we all will be bringing our winter coats and clothes back out again

[Kingwood36]

I'm holding you to it..if it doesn't happen you owe me a steak dinner

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 no promises on that man lmao

[Kingwood36]

Only thing good so far about this winter is we haven't heard about hwy 105 yet..lol

[Cpv17]

Only thing good so far about this winter is we haven't heard about hwy 105 yet..lol

Oh I’m sure it’s coming lol

[Stratton20]

whats the deal with hwy 105, I think im the only one here who knows nothing about that haha

[Cpv17]

whats the deal with hwy 105, I think im the only one here who knows nothing about that haha

You joined a little too late. You missed it.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 I figured lol what happened though just curious?

[Kingwood36]

Last year everytime we had a threat for winter weather..all the TV Mets wouldn mention it but it's only for hwy105 and points north and east of there..kind of became a running joke here..nobody south of hwy 105 would get anything lol kinda funny..you just had to be here for it lol

[Stratton20]

Ah haha getcha, it does seem like nobody gets anything wintry south of hwy 105 every-time we get a winter weather threat here, wonder why that is, kind off odd

[Stratton20]

Here is both the CMC and GFS 00z runs tonight, both models have the same exact scenario , this has my attention