Winter Long Range Discussion

[Stratton20]

Im just gonna call this years winter early spring, its going to be a bust, I just dont see any cold snaps this season, oh well tine to move to sprint

[Cpv17]

This is what happens when you have colder water and lower heights in the NE Pacific south of Alaska. It’s called a +EPO and it’s absolutely killing our winter. Need to start chipping away on this so we can have a backloaded winter.

[Stratton20]

im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative

[Iceresistance]

im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative

Take a look at this! O_O

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance far out but thats definitely something that ive heard about today, fingers crossed that the EPO goes negative around christmas

[Kingwood36]

Well the next 12 days look depressing..tank tops and shorts

[snowman65]

im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative

Take a look at this! O_O

nahh...not buying it this year

[Stratton20]

snowman65 it literally is only december.......

[Cpv17]

snowman65 it literally is only december.......

Yeah. If the MJO can get out of phase 6 into 7 that will start helping the EPO and we could have a backloaded winter. Late December around Christmas towards New Years could be interesting.

[Iceresistance]

snowman65 it literally is only december.......

Yeah. If the MJO can get out of phase 6 into 7 that will start helping the EPO and we could have a backloaded winter. Late December around Christmas towards New Years could be interesting.

If I recall correctly, was Winter 2020-2021 mostly backloaded as well?

[Kingwood36]

Well the cool down was nice while it lasted all of one day

[Cpv17]

snowman65 it literally is only december.......

Yeah. If the MJO can get out of phase 6 into 7 that will start helping the EPO and we could have a backloaded winter. Late December around Christmas towards New Years could be interesting.

If I recall correctly, was Winter 2020-2021 mostly backloaded as well?

I think November was cold, December was warm, January was kinda warm too, then February was very cold. At least that’s how I remember it.

[Kingwood36]

Anyone else having problems accessing the site for safety reasons?

[JDsGN]

Anyone else having problems accessing the site for safety reasons?

Yes I just got a warning i had to accept a security risk to access. Once i accepted its been normal.

[Kingwood36]

Anyone else having problems accessing the site for safety reasons?

Yes I just got a warning i had to accept a security risk to access. Once i accepted its been normal.

I did also but it's still showing a warning every time I refresh the oage...might be the site itself..

[tireman4]

I DMd Steve. I think the certificate is out of date.

[Stratton20]

12z GFS for the week of christmas is now suggesting a disruption of the polar vortex allowing for some arctic air to spill southward, the trough is beginning to develop around the 24th

[Kingwood36]

Anyone still having problems accessing the site?

[Stratton20]

We are starting to see signs of a major pattern change in days 11-12 on the 12z GFS, lets see if this trend continues

[Kingwood36]

Didn't the 12z show a rain snow mix here in south east texas? I know it's 200 plus hrs out but it could be catching on to something