Winter Long Range Discussion

[srainhoutx]

I believe it's time to separate all the long range speculation from the general SE TX discussion. This topic is specifically for Winter Long Range discussion and modeling beyond 7 days. All Long range posts in the December 2021 thread will be moved after today.

[Stratton20]

srainhoutx thank you for making this separate thread

[TexasBreeze]

This will work! We should do separate meteorological season threads like s2k. It works well. DJF MAM JJA SON I believe are the months separations. Maybe keep the month by month threads specific to the Southeast Texas area and immediate surrounding areas like Beaumont. Just my 2 cents input.

[TexasBreeze]

Re-reading the above Srain post it looks like this would already be the plan. Flip floppity 13 plus day models can be posted all day long in the new thread instead!

[Stratton20]

Day 9 on the 00z GFS, this is something positive in the model for once, the GFS is finally showing the possibility of a nice cool down around the 12th, lets hope this shows up in future runs

[Iceresistance]

Now THIS is where we can post the model discussions without clogging up the Texas Forums! Thanks srainhoutx!

[Kingwood36]

Hopefully we won't get yelled at here lol

[Cpv17]

Day 9 on the 00z GFS, this is something positive in the model for once, the GFS is finally showing the possibility of a nice cool down around the 12th, lets hope this shows up in future runs

The Euro has this too!

[Stratton20]

CPV17 even the 06 GFS was a little more aggressive with the cold air! This is a positive trend!

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS trending stronger with the snow in Panhandle Texas & into Oklahoma & Kansas

[DoctorMu]

Panhandle snow mid month on GFS. 2-3 frosts around here. First major blue norther. We'll see.

[Stratton20]

Model trends over the past 24 hours have been very positive! Lets hope this continues

[Iceresistance]

Model trends over the past 24 hours have been very positive! Lets hope this continues

The GEFS is having a weaker signal now

[Kingwood36]

Models are just having one hell of a time trying to figure out what to do

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance of course it is, but im buying it, the operational euro and GFS runs have been consistent the past 36 hours

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December

[Cpv17]

18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December

1078 MB on the 0z GFS. Crazy.

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December

1078 MB on the 0z GFS. Crazy.

Good grief! That's near the record of 1080 MB!

[Kingwood36]

It won't verify...9 times out of 10 they never do

[snowman65]

we could have 60's-80's all winter except for a 3 day last with ice and there will be pople that say we had a harsh winter