December 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Stratton20
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Iceresistance wow! Now I personally wouldn’t mind a thunderstorm on christmas, beats warm temps any day😆😁
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Kingwood36
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Anyone getting rain? Radar is green but nothing but 2 or 3 sprinkles here
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Iceresistance
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12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
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Kingwood36
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Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:43 am 12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
To when?
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Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:47 am
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:43 am 12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
To when?
First full week of December
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Kingwood36
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Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:48 am
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:47 am
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:43 am 12z GFS delayed the cold BIG time!
To when?
First full week of December
So 5th through the 11th?
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Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:49 am
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:48 am
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:47 am

To when?
First full week of December
So 5th through the 11th?
Yes, it's much more delayed compared to the 6z Run
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Kingwood36
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So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
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Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend

The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
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Kingwood36
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Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend

The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
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Stratton20
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If it delays the cold that means it’s probably not going to happen, the Euro has dropped the arctic air, as usually another boring few weeks of average temps ahead , yawn🙄🙄😴😴
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Iceresistance
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:57 am
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:52 am So the 6z run was for this coming week right?
The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend

The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
Yes, but it's even smaller, the Teleconnections are giving the models an absolute fit.
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snowman65
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winter is....not...coming. gonna be one of those close but no cigar winters Im afraid.
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Stratton20
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snowman65 na winter will come, just not right now
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Iceresistance
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1060+ MB High over Canada in Mid-December on the 12z GFS model run, combined with a Powerful Storm down the Rockies.

ETA: Oh my goodness
Image

BIG Sleetstorm!
Image

I may never happen, but WOW!
Last edited by Iceresistance on Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Stratton20
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What a run by the GFS, if only it wasnt far out smh, brings wintry precip as far aouth as central texas
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Iceresistance
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End of the 12z GFS is February 2021 all over again!
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Stratton20
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Iceresistance I know, but I bet this is a one time phantom run by the GFS lol
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Cpv17
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Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 11:11 am
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:57 am
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 10:55 am

The 6z had a glancing blow for Next Weekend

The 12z run had it delayed for a further 1-3 Days
Does the 12z show it still as a glancing blow?
Yes, but it's even smaller, the Teleconnections are giving the models an absolute fit.
Yes they are. We really need the EPO to cooperate. Imo, the EPO is our biggest factor that controls our winter. It’s too positive right now.
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Iceresistance
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The EPO is extremely positive & the models have been underestimating how long it's being Positive right now.
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