November 2019: Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:41 pm

Texaspirate11 wrote:
Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:34 pm
Happy to be home and out of 25 degree weather....way too cold to be happy
I hate anything below 50 degrees unless it’s snowing. Cold weather is just miserable. You can’t even function or have fun when you’re in cold because you’re just so focused on how cold you are and trying to stay warm. It’s hard to focus on anything else so how are you supposed to enjoy that? Just my opinion.

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snowman65
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by snowman65 » Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:54 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:41 pm
Texaspirate11 wrote:
Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:34 pm
Happy to be home and out of 25 degree weather....way too cold to be happy
I hate anything below 50 degrees unless it’s snowing. Cold weather is just miserable. You can’t even function or have fun when you’re in cold because you’re just so focused on how cold you are and trying to stay warm. It’s hard to focus on anything else so how are you supposed to enjoy that? Just my opinion.
If the fish are biting you dont notice as much :D

Cpv17
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Nov 02, 2019 1:05 pm

The GFS is hinting at a 1050+mb high dropping south out of Canada into Montana unleashing brutal cold straight down the plains and into Texas in about 8 to 9 days from now. It has now showed this in the 0z run and the 12z run. Also has a decent amount of precipitation over the next couple weeks.

harp
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by harp » Sat Nov 02, 2019 3:50 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Sat Nov 02, 2019 1:05 pm
The GFS is hinting at a 1050+mb high dropping south out of Canada into Montana unleashing brutal cold straight down the plains and into Texas in about 8 to 9 days from now. It has now showed this in the 0z run and the 12z run. Also has a decent amount of precipitation over the next couple weeks.
I saw that! It's almost too cold for November. We'll see.....

Cpv17
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Nov 02, 2019 6:09 pm

harp wrote:
Sat Nov 02, 2019 3:50 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Sat Nov 02, 2019 1:05 pm
The GFS is hinting at a 1050+mb high dropping south out of Canada into Montana unleashing brutal cold straight down the plains and into Texas in about 8 to 9 days from now. It has now showed this in the 0z run and the 12z run. Also has a decent amount of precipitation over the next couple weeks.
I saw that! It's almost too cold for November. We'll see.....
The Euro doesn’t have it though.

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Texaspirate11
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by Texaspirate11 » Sun Nov 03, 2019 8:59 am

Thursday is our next cold front with storms
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DoctorMu
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:27 pm

Chamber of Commerce weather today. Mostly sunny - near 70°F. Cool at night.

No A/C. No watering. No mowing as the grass is going dormant. I'm happy as the proverbial clam. This is actually my favorite part of the year in Texas...except the sun setting early as Daylight Savings time disappears part!

With El Nino at bey, hope we can avoid days/weeks of drizzle in a row this winter!
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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DoctorMu
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:30 pm

Texaspirate11 wrote:
Sun Nov 03, 2019 8:59 am
Thursday is our next cold front with storms
GFS now has the colder air sliding to the east. Canadian sticking with a light freeze in the Brazos Valley. We'll see.


Enjoying the low dew points and 70°F weather for now.

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snowman65
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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by snowman65 » Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:40 pm

crickets.......

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Re: November 2019: Begins With A Cooler/Progressive Pattern

Post by srainhoutx » Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:42 pm

Monday afternoon weather briefing from Jeff:

Next strong cold front will move across the area on Thursday afternoon and evening.

Ahead of this front winds have returned to the SE and this has resulted in the ever near Gulf moisture making its return to the area today. Mostly cloudy skies and developing fog will be the main weather tonight into early Tuesday as moisture slowly deepens. Moisture should be deep enough on Tuesday for a few scattered showers and again on Wednesday along an incoming weak and diffuse frontal boundary. Moisture pump begins in earnest late Wednesday into Thursday ahead of a strong frontal passage for late week. Shallow, but cold air mass will arrive in TX late Wednesday and surge southward across SE TX by late Thursday. While instability is generally lacking, pooling moisture along the frontal slope and shallow nature of the front will support a good chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon into early Friday morning. Frontal inversion will deepen early Friday helping to end rainfall.

Cold air mass with 1040mb surface high moving down the plains into the weekend will surge into the area late Thursday into Friday. Highs on Friday even with clearing skies will likely only make the low 60’s if that and fall well into the 40’s by Saturday morning…maybe even the upper 30’s again like this past weekend.

Rainfall amounts Thursday afternoon-Friday morning will average .50-.75 of an inch with isolated totals of 1-2 inches.

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