January: Calmer Pattern To End The Month

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jasons2k
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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by jasons2k » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:18 pm

Just went to lunch and I was reminded of the old wisdom of Harold Taft, and that was 'always remember to look out the window, or better yet, step outside, before issuing a forecast'.

Clouds are thickening-up outside and they already have that 'virga' look to them. It does not take much moisture in such cold air do make something happen.

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by Mr. T » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:29 pm

Can't believe how unphased things have become on the models compared to just 12 hours ago...

As things stand now, it still looks like an advisory criteria event. But, man oh man.

But I still look at yesterday's 18z gfs and try to hold back the tears. Try...

Give me back mah snow, man

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by sau27 » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:30 pm

Clouds look to be breaking up/thinning out a bit here in the Galleria area with patches of blue.

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by TXStormjg » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:36 pm

Sun is shining here in Hockley!
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Paul
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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by Paul » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:39 pm

jasons wrote:Just went to lunch and I was reminded of the old wisdom of Harold Taft, and that was 'always remember to look out the window, or better yet, step outside, before issuing a forecast'.

Clouds are thickening-up outside and they already have that 'virga' look to them. It does not take much moisture in such cold air do make something happen.
Taft? wasnt he a president or something? :D

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by Wood6818 » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:40 pm

jasons wrote:Just went to lunch and I was reminded of the old wisdom of Harold Taft, and that was 'always remember to look out the window, or better yet, step outside, before issuing a forecast'.

Clouds are thickening-up outside and they already have that 'virga' look to them. It does not take much moisture in such cold air do make something happen.

Jason,

I get that same feeling too, The sky looks very similar to when I was living in Nashville,TN and before we had snow storms the sky had that look to it...but this is Houston.

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by Mr. T » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:45 pm

I suspect hgx will probably change these watches to an advisory. There is nothing showing a "warning" criteria event now...

This all started last night during the 0z NAM when it started to slow the upper low down. 'Twas a bad sign if you like snow

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by Kingwood31 » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:48 pm

Mr. T wrote:I suspect hgx will probably change these watches to an advisory. There is nothing showing a "warning" criteria event now...

This all started last night during the 0z NAM when it started to slow the upper low down. 'Twas a bad sign if you like snow
And that's how the cookie crumbles..

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by KHOU BLake » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:52 pm

MSY (NOLA) issues Winter Storm Warning. HGX should be making a decision soon, too.

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Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Winter Storm Watch Issued

Post by srainhoutx » Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:54 pm

The WPC Winter Weather Probabilities Graphics are updating. The chance of freezing precip now extends to 18Z Wednesday across portions of SE Texas including Brazoria and Galveston Counties with spotty potential into Metro Houston.
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