?? The Mesos have been gawdawful. The Ensembles agree long term. More of the same until further notice with lower DPs...the good news is that there will be a 30-40% chance of rain from Tuesday onward. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2024052618/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_42.png https://...

Most of the rain for the next 10-14 days still looks like more north of Hwy 79 or 1*5:

NWS has upped our rain chances to 40% beginning Tuesday night Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 637 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday Night) Issued at 415 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 It`s been a pretty "rinse and repea...

A white cone tornado blew up about 5:20 pm right in front of Reed Timmer in north Texas. Enough to elicit an F-bomb! It was pretty spectacular. TWC naturally was on preprogrammed grok about Canada - not even the Ice Truckers. TWC is practically unwatchable now. There are so many other options these...

Scenes from the middle of the night violent tornadoes in Rogers, Bentonville, AR

https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1794722656069226875

https://x.com/FishtoolHand/status/1794712804588761417

https://x.com/brianemfinger/status/1794727144633028853

One last hail producing cell 20 miles north of CLL is lurking this morning.

Horrible, violent tornadoes took their toll north of Denton and in NW Arkansas.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 10:32 am 7 fatalities have been confirmed from the NTX tornado last night

Long lasting and recycling EF-4 tornado

Multiple tornadoes, including an anti-vortex smashed Rogers and Bentonville, AR 1-2 am.

The night tornadoes are the worst.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1krGBILGxs

A white cone tornado blew up about 5:20 pm right in front of Reed Timmer in north Texas. Enough to elicit an F-bomb! It was pretty spectacular.

TWC naturally was on preprogrammed grok about Canada - not even the Ice Truckers.

Update:

Temp: 96.3°F

DP: 81.7°F (highest I've recorded here so far)

Heat Index: 120.1°F

I guess we're the firehose that will be feeding those tornadic cells in north Texas, OK, KS that are beginning to erupt around the dry line: Temp: 96.1°F DP: 81.1°F Heat Index: 119.3°F https://youtu.be/xeSwrFKFNFw?si=vWyqG0iJyLdhTh8o lol Jason beat me to it as I was linking the SNL hot tub skit.

When you're looking forward to "relief" from MS and LA, you know it's bad. :cry: :lol: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 558 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday Night) Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Hot t...

I'm not sure how that conclusion is drawn. 12z GFS. It will be unsettled - mostly in the same areas.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 10:54 pm The ICON shows a potential heavy rain setup wednesday- friday next week, something to watch going forward

Gotta love that NW flow. Hope it sticks around.

These puppies are progged to last until at least midnight.

A hail maker closing in on Buffalo. Wind and smail hail mostly on tap.

Those cells near Athens are taking a right turn. They could be an issue for east Texas, E of I-45 tonight. But I expect them to weaken. There's a lot of instability, which could increase tomorrow. There momentum is toward more unsettled weather over the next couple of weeks. I think the Ensembles ar...

Very active run of the euro That Mexico ridge needs to go kick rocks. It’s also cooking the SW Gulf and BOC. Maybe it's a matter of time if the NOAA Hurricane forecasts are correct. I couldn't log into the Houston Chronicle site but the headline this morning was NOAA: Hurricane forecast worst ever ...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 2:26 pm Its 95 here with a THW index of 113

92.8°F here with a DP of 79.0° and a heat index of 110.7°F. I'm sure glad I finished mowing yesterday!

Folks in the northern tier may want to keep an eye out in case the heat busts the cap tomorrow afternoon and evening...because it might be difficult to esCAPE. Unbelievable instability. DFW to OKC for sure will have severe storms and possibly tornadoes again. The stovepipe tornado near Altus, OK yes...

No real changes until Memorial Day in CLL, then a *chance* of rain (20-30%) sneaks into the forecast with the ridge to the south and NW flow. Heat index close to 100°, but the southerly breeze continues. DPs have been lowest in the late afternoons. Pulling for more clouds. My daughter use to wonder ...

I’m liking what I’m seeing for June. I’ll say this… it is abundantly more pleasant in Weimar than Magnolia this time of year. Those Germans and Czechs knew where to establish farms and the wind is blowing 15-20 on a warm night and makes it much more tolerable for me to sit outside and not sweat thr...