March 2026

[DoctorMu]

Super steep QPF gradient in the Ensembles and most of the models around Hwy 1*5 continues.

[DoctorMu]

Gird yer loins - WPC forecast:

[Cpv17]

The latest WPC 7 day QPF forecast now looks significantly better for us. It’s now showing 1-3” over SETX.

[Stratton20]

Ill believe it when i see it lol, lucy is getting the football out

[Cpv17]

The WPC continues to increase totals across the area. Now showing 1.5 to 4” for the next 7 days.

Also, the SPC has placed all of the area in a slight risk for severe weather on Saturday.

[don]

Sorry Stratton, but I don’t think y’all are going to escape getting wet this weekend in Southeast Texas lol.

I’m closely watching next Tuesday up here. There could be a severe weather outbreak that day. As the cutoff low ejects. It looks like the expected El Niño pattern is starting as we transition to neutral and then full El Niño in the Summer.

[Stratton20]

Hopefully we can get a good dry spring break after this weekend, ill take whatever rains we can get, but i really hope its not something that lasts all of spring break

[Cpv17]

Hopefully we can get a good dry spring break after this weekend, ill take whatever rains we can get, but i really hope its not something that lasts all of spring break

Nah, there will be another good chance of rain and severe thunderstorms with the front next week. Then a few days of nice weather towards the end of next week.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[Stratton20]

Looks like guidance is showing a really strong el nino event later in the summer and going into winter , you dont want to see a strong el nino, that isnt good

[Cromagnum]

Junebugs are already swarming. Testament to how crappy our non-winter was.

[DoctorMu]

Rotating cells, hook echos, and tornadoes in OK.

Severe season is starting. Severe storms are expected to move into NW Texas and NTX. I-44 looks like the dividing line for now.

Probably only light rain for us through the weekend...especially S of Hwy 105.

[Stratton20]

Cromagnum man i hate june bugs, nothing worse when one lands on you, im bringing out the flamethrower if i see those guys crawling on the ground lol

[tireman4]

This weekend

[JDsGN]

I hope this isn't a bust. The discrepancy between the models has me feeling bust is a big possibility.

[Cpv17]

I hope this isn't a bust. The discrepancy between the models has me feeling bust is a big possibility.

To be honest, I’m not really feeling too confident myself, especially areas S of I-10.

[Stratton20]

short range models tommorow- sunday afternoon are very unimpressive, most folks pick up half an inch or less, with heavy rain right at the coast

[DoctorMu]

Sorry Stratton, but I don’t think y’all are going to escape getting wet this weekend in Southeast Texas lol.

I’m closely watching next Tuesday up here. There could be a severe weather outbreak that day. As the cutoff low ejects. It looks like the expected El Niño pattern is starting as we transition to neutral and then full El Niño in the Summer.

I don't think CLL sees much until Wednesday and the FROPA.

[DoctorMu]

short range models tommorow- sunday afternoon are very unimpressive, most folks pick up half an inch or less, with heavy rain right at the coast

NAM, HRRR, other Mesos look pretty busty for the weekend. Midweek is our action.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_47.png

Even then, there continues the large gradient south of Hwy 1*5.

[davidiowx]

The Union City, Michigan tornado footage is unbelievably sad. It’s incredible to see that with a frozen lake right there. Wonder if that could have enhanced it in anyway.