Hurricane Nate: SW Gulf of Mexico

[ticka1]

With Nate going inland down near Mexico - will that decrease the affects of the winds on us? Or other words - is Nate too far away to do anymore damage to us?

[wxman57]

With Nate going inland down near Mexico - will that decrease the affects of the winds on us? Or other words - is Nate too far away to do anymore damage to us?

Nate is a quite small storm. Even Brownsville won't even know it passed south of there.

[Ptarmigan]

I don't think Texas is Nate's sights. Ridge is building back on top of us this weekend. Nate is heading for south Mexico. We won't see a drop of moisture here in Texas.

The Cockroach Ridge deprives Texas of rain and making it a large tinderbox.

[sleetstorm]

I do not want to think of what Texas will or could be like this coming Autumn and Winter if the drought and wildfires pesist into those two seasons.

[txsnowmaker]

I don't think Texas is Nate's sights. Ridge is building back on top of us this weekend. Nate is heading for south Mexico. We won't see a drop of moisture here in Texas.

The Cockroach Ridge deprives Texas of rain and making it a large tinderbox.

What will it take to finally drive this ridge out of here for good? Are we doomed forever?!

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
700 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011

...NATE DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 92.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS
DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND A SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
BY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME
INTENSIFICATION...AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TOMORROW.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO...AND OVER SOUTHERN VERACRUZ.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[unome]

10 missing in gulf after evacuating from Nate http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/09/09/oil- ... ico-coast/

Oil workers missing off stormy Mexico coast
Posted on September 9, 2011 at 7:08 am by Associated Press

MEXICO CITY — Mexico’s state oil company said it was searching for for 10 workers from a Texas-based company who were evacuated from a platform in the Gulf of Mexico ahead of Tropical Storm Nate.

Petroleos Mexicanos said in a late-Thursday news release that the workers are employed by Geokinetics Inc., based in Houston. Pemex gave few details about the workers, but said they had disappeared after being evacuated from the Trinity II platform by Geokinetics and that two Pemex vessels were being used to search for them.

Calls before business hours Friday to Pemex and Geokinetics were not answered. Geokinetics specializes in seismic studies for the oil and gas industry.

Tropical Storm Nate was drifting over the southern Gulf Friday with maximum sustained winds of near 65 mph, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami. It was centered about 125 miles west of Campeche. Forecasters said it was expected to become a hurricane later Friday or Saturday and hit Mexico’s Gulf Coast Sunday or Monday.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011

...NATE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FROM
TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO
TO VERACRUZ.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF
MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY
EARLY SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[wxman57]

No rain for us out of Nate, unfortunately. I'd take another Ike and be without power for 2 weeks if we could get some decent rain in Texas. GFS doesn't indicate any rain for the next 2 weeks.

[singlemom]

Will any of the storms around us have any effect on our winds? I'm southwest of the Magnolia\Hockley fires and the way they keep flaring up and growing I'd kinda like to know.....

[Ptarmigan]

Seven of 10 missing oil workers found alive in Gulf
http://fuelfix.com/blog/2011/09/11/7-of ... d-in-gulf/

[srainhoutx]

Nate upgraded to a Hurricane in post report...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152011_Nate.pdf