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Looking as the visible (static and in motion), it really looks like an eye is trying to develop?????? Perhaps reforming a center south of previous??? Any thoughts???

Edit to add- Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

desiredwxgd wrote:Looking as the visible (static and in motion), it really looks like an eye is trying to develop?????? Perhaps reforming a center south of previous??? Any thoughts???

Edit to add- Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

I agree i was just about to post about that

On the radar im looking at, looks like a center forming just off shore south of lake charles?

What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

txsnowmaker wrote:What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

IF a center was detected offshore via radar, I suspect re tasking in short order wouldn't be that big of a deal for the 53rd. After all, there were tasked missions that were cancelled and Keesler isn't that far away.

srainhoutx wrote:

txsnowmaker wrote:What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

IF a center was detected offshore via radar, I suspect re tasking in short order wouldn't be that big of a deal for the 53rd. After all, there were tasked missions that were cancelled and Keesler isn't that far away.

Srain, thanks very much for your reply and for keeping everyone updated on the latest. In your opinion, based on the latest imagery, is the radar close to actually detecting a new center forming?

Heavier rains passing my location

Steve,

Perhaps it's just my eyes. Maybe a center has reformed south or the system has moved south. Your thoughts?

Lee's Latest Position
7:00 PM CDT Sat Sep 3
Location: 29.5°N 92.4°W
Max sustained: 50 mph
Moving: NNW at 4 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb

Galveston is getting mighty close to TS conditions:

Srain, why don't we fly recon out of Ellington?

Rip76 wrote:Srain, why don't we fly recon out of Ellington?

Keesler (Biloxi, MS) is home base for the 53rd

NWS has bumped up rain chances for metro Houston tonight to 60%...http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-95.3867

However, their forecast of max gusts of 25 mph is off by 11 mph according to their posted data (which shows 36 mph gusts).

desiredwxgd wrote:Steve,

Perhaps it's just my eyes. Maybe a center has reformed south or the system has moved south. Your thoughts?

It looks as if it is hugging the coast or just a touch inland. Remember this mostly marshland along Coastal SW Louisiana.

Light to moderate rain in Humble...

Any rain we get is wonderful news for fire threats with the front coming through. And it looks like the whole area will get some

To add to the observations posted by some in this forum, a KFDM meteorologist is on another forum sharing his thoughts that the system appears to be moving SSW over the last hour or so.

Yes, Porter is getting rain now too. 60% chance. What a glorious turn of events. You know, we all talked about this maybe happening a few days back. The final analysis using the models had backed off on a Texas/loop event in the final stage of Lee approaching LA. At that point most folks had given up. Radar hinted all night long a shift west. Yes, up all night praying for a miracle.

At lake livingston near Onalaska - its been raining since about 5 p.m. - moderate rain. Looks like it might rain all night - makes it rough camping but the whole area up here needs it bad.

So what happened to ts lee - did it move west or did it split off and part got to LA/MS?

winds are picking up pretty good here in Alvin (and have been all evening). The cloud bands rolling in made for a pretty sunset. I also see the westerly jog in the latest satellite and IR views. Srain, any chance our area could see some TS watches/warnings posted? I hope it moves just a little further west to get that rain here!