I took a look at the NAM this morning did anyone else look at what it does to Lee???
Edit to add I know the NAM isn't very reliable but the scenario it painted was interesting to say the least.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States
Last edited by djjordan on Sat Sep 03, 2011 1:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
-
biggerbyte
- Posts: 1142
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
- Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
- Contact:
It is coming, folks. Entering Liberty County now.
LOL .... Closest I'll get to Lee is tonight when I'm over in Clear Lake
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
Extreme outer bands JUST at the Harris county line...I think Houston will get some later today! 
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
-
txsnowmaker
- Posts: 632
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:07 pm
- Location: SW Houston (Galleria area)
- Contact:
It would be nice. I just can't help looking at the radar and seeing those small slivers of the outer rain bands disappear as they graze Harris County's eastern boundary. Hoping for the best but continuing to assume the worst.biggerbyte wrote:It is coming, folks. Entering Liberty County now.
By the way, I will be none too upset if we don't hear back from our friend in Monterrey about prospects for a La Nina return.
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Lake Charles radar suggests the board center is making some progress WNW skirting slowly along Coastal Vermillion/Cameron Parishes...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
desiredwxgd
- Posts: 125
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 6:30 pm
- Location: TX/LA/Southern New England
- Contact:
I can only hope that you folks in Houston get in on some of this rain. Here in the Golden Triangle it has been nice with rain today, windy, and temps in the low 70's. Fingers and prayers for you folks west!!!
JMS
SR. ENSC.
SR. ENSC.
-
desiredwxgd
- Posts: 125
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 6:30 pm
- Location: TX/LA/Southern New England
- Contact:
[quote="djjordan"]I took a look at the NAM this morning did anyone else look at what it does to Lee???
Edit to add I know the NAM isn't very reliable but the scenario it painted was interesting to say the least.
Now that would be some set-up......
Edit to add I know the NAM isn't very reliable but the scenario it painted was interesting to say the least.
Now that would be some set-up......
JMS
SR. ENSC.
SR. ENSC.
-
desiredwxgd
- Posts: 125
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 6:30 pm
- Location: TX/LA/Southern New England
- Contact:
Not too bad looking.....
Edit to add-- perfect "comma"...
Edit to add-- perfect "comma"...
- Attachments
-
- avn-l.jpg (32 KiB) Viewed 5753 times
JMS
SR. ENSC.
SR. ENSC.
Nice and breezy today at least, temp in kingwood where I'm at right now is 76, my backyard looks like fall though, can hardly see the grass from all the leaves. They sure could have used a little of the wet stuff. Driving around today, I'd say 1 out of 5 trees are either dead or knocking on deaths door...sad state of affairs
-
maroondreams
- Posts: 14
- Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, Tx (77040)
- Contact:
That blob underneath miss and al looks CRAZY huge. Scary. Looks almost as big as the states in my opinion. But, what do i know.
What I do know is that I would give ANYTHING for any part of Lee to be over here right now.
What I do know is that I would give ANYTHING for any part of Lee to be over here right now.
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
lol...18Z NAM...
hour 18...
hour 24...
hour 18...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
there is a curious clear liquid intermittently falling from the sky here
LOL Ed .... you and your calibrated eyeballs crack me up
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Your lucky ..... clouds are increasing here in Sugarland ..... we have small tree limbs falling because they are dead and the wind is averaging 20 - 25 MPH with occasional gusts to 35. Hoping that Lee doesn't stop nudging this way .... we need some water.djmike wrote:Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
-
desiredwxgd
- Posts: 125
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 6:30 pm
- Location: TX/LA/Southern New England
- Contact:
It is a great soaker. My yard here in Orange can't get enough.djmike wrote:Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!
JMS
SR. ENSC.
SR. ENSC.
Wow...heavy band coming through now in Beaumont! That had a gust atleast close to 35-40! I know it's not, BUT it sure seems Lee is moving more west than N/NE! Houston...Im trying to send some your way! You'd sure would enjoy this! Really does look like a TS "beginning" here in SETX!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011
...SOGGY LEE LUMBERING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 92.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND OIL PLATFORM OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE
29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. LEE IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THEN MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. AN OFFSHORE OIL RIG SOUTH OF SABINE PASS RECENTLY
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH...81 KM/H AND A GUST TO 60
MPH...90 KM/H AT AN ELEVATION OF 230 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE.
REPORTS FROM OFFSHORE OIL RIGS AND LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY
COASTAL OBSERVING SITES INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND POSSIBLY
INTO MONDAY.
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011
...SOGGY LEE LUMBERING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 92.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND OIL PLATFORM OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE
29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. LEE IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THEN MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. AN OFFSHORE OIL RIG SOUTH OF SABINE PASS RECENTLY
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH...81 KM/H AND A GUST TO 60
MPH...90 KM/H AT AN ELEVATION OF 230 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE.
REPORTS FROM OFFSHORE OIL RIGS AND LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY
COASTAL OBSERVING SITES INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND POSSIBLY
INTO MONDAY.
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity