Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

[TexasBreeze]

Wouldn't it be funny if the gfdl track took place. Lol

[Rip76]

I guess I wasn't crazy after all this morning.

Heck, any model could be right at the moment.

[desiredwxgd]

Dr. Rick Knabb was just discussing the NAM. Who knows, maybe there is/will be something to it.

Edit to add- I meant Norcross

[wxman666]

There has definitely been a westward jog. Brian Norcross was just discussing that. They don't sound quite as confident as they did earlier. Interesting to note the models start disagreeing again this close to/after landfall. I'm liking the "WTF" model runs better.

[desiredwxgd]

lol...18Z GFDL...

We joke, but models all week have to a certain point brought the system back out off coast then back on shore.

If the graphic displays again it is because I forgot how to remove when doing a quote.

[perk]

lol...18Z GFDL...

Man i sure would like to see that verify.

[srainhoutx]

Lake Charles radar sure seems to suggest a westward motion...

[djjordan]

lol...18Z GFDL...

Man i sure would like to see that verify.

Doesn't quite seem like the plausible idea for Lee but it is funny how it seems like some of these models are slowly starting to change their tune as to what becomes of Lee. Gonna be an interesting night of radar and model watching. Gotta go to work now .... will check in overnight to see what's new. Off to Seabrook for me.

[Rip76]

Srain, seems to have been NW to W all day.

[BoonDog]

Lake Charles radar sure seems to suggest a westward motion...

Looking at the radar, we should get in on some good rains

[desiredwxgd]

Looking as the visible (static and in motion), it really looks like an eye is trying to develop?????? Perhaps reforming a center south of previous??? Any thoughts???

Edit to add- Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[BoonDog]

Looking as the visible (static and in motion), it really looks like an eye is trying to develop?????? Perhaps reforming a center south of previous??? Any thoughts???

Edit to add- Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

I agree i was just about to post about that

[BoonDog]

On the radar im looking at, looks like a center forming just off shore south of lake charles?

[txsnowmaker]

What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

[srainhoutx]

What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

IF a center was detected offshore via radar, I suspect re tasking in short order wouldn't be that big of a deal for the 53rd. After all, there were tasked missions that were cancelled and Keesler isn't that far away.

[txsnowmaker]

What would it take for a Recon mission to be scheduled to investigate a possible new center trying to form south and west of the main system? (or would that not be necessary given the proximity to the coast/data already available?)

IF a center was detected offshore via radar, I suspect re tasking in short order wouldn't be that big of a deal for the 53rd. After all, there were tasked missions that were cancelled and Keesler isn't that far away.

Srain, thanks very much for your reply and for keeping everyone updated on the latest. In your opinion, based on the latest imagery, is the radar close to actually detecting a new center forming?

[BoonDog]

Heavier rains passing my location

[desiredwxgd]

Steve,

Perhaps it's just my eyes. Maybe a center has reformed south or the system has moved south. Your thoughts?

[Ptarmigan]

Lee's Latest Position
7:00 PM CDT Sat Sep 3
Location: 29.5°N 92.4°W
Max sustained: 50 mph
Moving: NNW at 4 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb

[srainhoutx]

Galveston is getting mighty close to TS conditions:

Code: Select all

Wind  from the NNW (330 degrees) at 35 MPH (30 KT) gusting to 44 MPH (38 KT)  
Visibility  10 mile(s)  
Sky conditions  overcast  
Precipitation last hour  0.07 inches  
Temperature  81.0 F (27.2 C)  
Dew Point  69.1 F (20.6 C)  
Relative Humidity  67%  
Pressure (altimeter)  29.56 in. Hg (1001 hPa)