Joe Bastardi is Fired Up
Posted: Tue Aug 16, 2011 12:06 pm
The Science Guy at Chron.com posted an excerpt of Joe B on his blog
http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2011/08/he ... e-tropics/
Joe's take:
While I am supposed to stay restrained about such things my excitement is similar to the day after Thanksgiving this past year when I explained why there would be so much snow around for Christmas. While I can’t pin details on the donkey yet specifically, if by Sept. 15 five cyclones have hit the United States from tropical origin, 3 or 4 of them hurricanes, and 1 or 2 major, you can’t say the pattern recognition techniques that I set up for this season and now the modeling implications did not say this had merit. So while many will dwell on the ups and downs or run to run, what you are seeing evolving now may be as memorable as the frenzy in ’08. The years of bunching storms such as ’08, or ’99, or ’55 and ’54 even ’64 and ’85 are all in there now.
http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2011/08/he ... e-tropics/
Joe's take:
While I am supposed to stay restrained about such things my excitement is similar to the day after Thanksgiving this past year when I explained why there would be so much snow around for Christmas. While I can’t pin details on the donkey yet specifically, if by Sept. 15 five cyclones have hit the United States from tropical origin, 3 or 4 of them hurricanes, and 1 or 2 major, you can’t say the pattern recognition techniques that I set up for this season and now the modeling implications did not say this had merit. So while many will dwell on the ups and downs or run to run, what you are seeing evolving now may be as memorable as the frenzy in ’08. The years of bunching storms such as ’08, or ’99, or ’55 and ’54 even ’64 and ’85 are all in there now.