August Weather Discussion
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The rain is a very welcome sight.
Rain and a cool 75 degrees!
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I will be totally astonished if the temperature peaks at 100 or higher today after the clouds bocked most of the sunlight this morning.
Hurray! That is a streak worth breaking!Ed Mahmoud wrote:I think we're going to come up a degree or two short and break the streak.tireman4 wrote:At Hobby, I agree with you. Down near you, I agree with you. Around Bush and Humble, we may have a shot. We are at 94 and going up.
Gettin ready for our run at breaking our all time temp this weekend. I don't think we will quite break it but will come close or tie it. Figure if we are having a summer of records, might as well take a shot at the all time high as well LOL.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
- srainhoutx
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All Time Record Tied...for now
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
330 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2011
.DISCUSSION...
ALL TIME RECORD HIGH OF 109 HAS BEEN TIED AT IAH (PREVIOUSLY SET
ON 9/4/2000) @ 244 PM. TEMP SPIKED THEN WENT BACK DOWN. STILL HAVE
A FEW HOURS TO BREAK THAT. SADLY...DON`T SEE MUCH OF A CHANGE
TOMORROW WITH A REALLY DRY AIRMASS REMAINING IN PLACE. WRF/NAM12
SHOW ABOUT THE SAME READINGS AS TODAY. (GLS MIGHT SEE A SLIGHTLY
EARLIER START W/ SOUTH WINDS THEREFORE LOWER TEMPS). A LIGHT S/SE
FLOW RESUMES AREAWIDE MONDAY ALLOWING TEMPS TO PLUMMET BACK DOWN
TO 100-106.
THERE IS HOPE.
LOW & MID LEVEL RIDGES PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDWEEK. BOTH
GFS/ECMWF SHOW A SLUG OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM
THE CARIBBEAN AND BAY OF CAMPECHE INTO SE TX - ARRIVING WED NIGHT
AND QUITE POSSIBLY PERSISTING WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. BOTH MODELS
SHOW AN INVERTED TROF OR WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVELS SITUATED JUST
TO OUR WEST WHICH IS HISTORICALLY A GOOD SIGN FOR SUMMERTIME RAIN.
EXPECT SCT SHRA/TSRA EACH DAY - POSSIBLY EVEN WIDESPREAD AT TIMES
IF THE ECMWF IS ON TARGET WHICH SHOWS SOME SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE CWA (SEVERAL INCHES). WILL NUDGE POPS UPWARDS DURING
THE 2ND HALF OF THE WEEK AND SUSPECT THEY MIGHT NEED TO CONTINUE
TO BE BUMPED UP AS FCST CONFIDENCE INCREASES
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
330 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2011
.DISCUSSION...
ALL TIME RECORD HIGH OF 109 HAS BEEN TIED AT IAH (PREVIOUSLY SET
ON 9/4/2000) @ 244 PM. TEMP SPIKED THEN WENT BACK DOWN. STILL HAVE
A FEW HOURS TO BREAK THAT. SADLY...DON`T SEE MUCH OF A CHANGE
TOMORROW WITH A REALLY DRY AIRMASS REMAINING IN PLACE. WRF/NAM12
SHOW ABOUT THE SAME READINGS AS TODAY. (GLS MIGHT SEE A SLIGHTLY
EARLIER START W/ SOUTH WINDS THEREFORE LOWER TEMPS). A LIGHT S/SE
FLOW RESUMES AREAWIDE MONDAY ALLOWING TEMPS TO PLUMMET BACK DOWN
TO 100-106.
THERE IS HOPE.
LOW & MID LEVEL RIDGES PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDWEEK. BOTH
GFS/ECMWF SHOW A SLUG OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM
THE CARIBBEAN AND BAY OF CAMPECHE INTO SE TX - ARRIVING WED NIGHT
AND QUITE POSSIBLY PERSISTING WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. BOTH MODELS
SHOW AN INVERTED TROF OR WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVELS SITUATED JUST
TO OUR WEST WHICH IS HISTORICALLY A GOOD SIGN FOR SUMMERTIME RAIN.
EXPECT SCT SHRA/TSRA EACH DAY - POSSIBLY EVEN WIDESPREAD AT TIMES
IF THE ECMWF IS ON TARGET WHICH SHOWS SOME SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE CWA (SEVERAL INCHES). WILL NUDGE POPS UPWARDS DURING
THE 2ND HALF OF THE WEEK AND SUSPECT THEY MIGHT NEED TO CONTINUE
TO BE BUMPED UP AS FCST CONFIDENCE INCREASES
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
I'll try and upload my 5 minute cell phone video of me walking around with the laser thermometer....
I got 130 degrees on the regular concrete (these are "in the sun" readings). 174 degrees on the rear glass of the Yukon, and the highest I got was 184 HOT Degrees on the brown trash can next to the house.
The house brick was 131 deg, the concrete in the shade was 113 and a tree trunk in the shade was 107.1 which is probably what air temp was.
The roof was actually 164 deg which I thought would be the highest reading....
I got 130 degrees on the regular concrete (these are "in the sun" readings). 174 degrees on the rear glass of the Yukon, and the highest I got was 184 HOT Degrees on the brown trash can next to the house.
The house brick was 131 deg, the concrete in the shade was 113 and a tree trunk in the shade was 107.1 which is probably what air temp was.
The roof was actually 164 deg which I thought would be the highest reading....
I recorded a high of 112 degrees today.
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Had 105.9 yesterday. With no high clouds like were present yesterday morning, I think we will break records today again...as for Monday, prob few degrees cooler area-wide, but still in triple digits.
we hit 107 in Cypress
this article has an interesting note from NWS in it http://www.chron.com/news/houston-texas ... 144472.php
"Relief ahead
Despite the brutal heat - and, alas, today should be nearly as warm - relief does appear to be in sight.
The high-pressure systems that have baked Houston all summer appear likely to move east by the middle of the week, say forecasters with the Houston/Galveston office of the National Weather Service.
Daytime high temperatures should finally fall out of the 100s by Tuesday or Wednesday.
Computer models forecasters rely upon show a large area of tropical moisture moving north from the Caribbean and Bay of Campeche later in the week.
Such a feature has a good chance of bringing widespread showers into the greater Houston area toward the end of the week, as well as bringing daytime high temperatures into the lower 90s.
In other words, next weekend could be 15 degrees cooler than this one."
this article has an interesting note from NWS in it http://www.chron.com/news/houston-texas ... 144472.php
"Relief ahead
Despite the brutal heat - and, alas, today should be nearly as warm - relief does appear to be in sight.
The high-pressure systems that have baked Houston all summer appear likely to move east by the middle of the week, say forecasters with the Houston/Galveston office of the National Weather Service.
Daytime high temperatures should finally fall out of the 100s by Tuesday or Wednesday.
Computer models forecasters rely upon show a large area of tropical moisture moving north from the Caribbean and Bay of Campeche later in the week.
Such a feature has a good chance of bringing widespread showers into the greater Houston area toward the end of the week, as well as bringing daytime high temperatures into the lower 90s.
In other words, next weekend could be 15 degrees cooler than this one."
- wxman57
- Global Moderator
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- Location: Southwest Houston (Westbury)
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Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
you just made my day !!! look at HPC's 4 & 5-day QPF folkswxman57 wrote:Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
Hurray! Let's hope the models prove to be true.
NWS Houston forecasts rain starting on Wednesday night. Gets higher on Thursday and Friday.
http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt
Code: Select all
Expires:201108282130;;062011
FPUS54 KHGX 280918
ZFPHGX
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011
TXZ213-282130-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...
.TODAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 107. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 104. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 100. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. CHANCE
OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
$$
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For the first time, all summer long, we have the real deal with a pattern change. Relief is on the way. Confidence is high. If something happens this time to delay said change, then there just is no forecasting this rediculous heat wave.
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