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invest_al972011.invest
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201107131220
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 97, 2011, DB, O, 2011071312, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL972011
AL, 97, 2011071212, , BEST, 0, 183N, 882W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2011071218, , BEST, 0, 189N, 896W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2011071300, , BEST, 0, 193N, 918W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2011071306, , BEST, 0, 195N, 937W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2011071312, , BEST, 0, 197N, 953W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0,

This will be inland before the days is out, but the NW Caribbean and the BoC look to be favored areas to watch along with the EPAC in the days ahead. We'll need to keep an eye on the monsoonal trough as they can and often do spin up disturbances rather quickly.

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
915 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED FOR THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE.

UPDATED...THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA FROM
MEXICO SHOW THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED.
WHILE THERE IS LIMITED OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE MOVING INLAND LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF COAST OF MEXICO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/CANGIALOSI

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE COAST
VERY NEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO. SINCE THE SYSTEM IS INLAND...IT NOW HAS
A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MEXICO AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN

Once again we are protected by the ridge of high pressure....wonder if this ridge will hold out for 10-12 more weeks.

It would of been interesting if Invest 97L went more northwestward. I think it would developed quickly into Bret.