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Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:29 pm
by Baseballdude2915
While this is not looking good, we should not give up hope.

Tim Heller just brought up a good point regarding a bust, if the radar isn't lighting up between 6-10pm, then the numbers will need to be severely adjusted. I would only think flurries then. So radar watching is what we need to do.

Remember, Jeff is sticking to his guns and several members here strongly believe in at least an 1'' or slightly higher.
Seeing Wxman57 switch course concerns me, but these situations are tricky, even for him.

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:29 pm
by rnmm
Well even though it is not going to snow, my kids and I are still going to enjoy our day off tomorrow with movies, popcorn, hot chocolate, and soup oh and of course a NAP!! :lol:

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:30 pm
by snowman65
300 pages worth of disappointment...unbelievable. :(

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:30 pm
by ticka1
Candy Cane wrote:***UPDATE***

It is not going to snow. Please go about your daily business as usual tomorrow. Thanks. (serious sarcasm). Isn't that what you all wanted to hear?
Yeah right and now we will see a blizzard tonight. :D

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:31 pm
by michmich
Candy Cane wrote:***UPDATE***

It is not going to snow. Please go about your daily business as usual tomorrow. Thanks. (serious sarcasm). Isn't that what you all wanted to hear?
No!!! LOL.

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:31 pm
by snowman65
rnmm wrote:Well even though it is not going to snow, my kids and I are still going to enjoy our day off tomorrow with movies, popcorn, hot chocolate, and soup oh and of course a NAP!! :lol:
yes....same here...i see an all night movie marathon..netflix style!!!

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:32 pm
by weatherag
There are no soundings between Corpus Christi and Lake Charles, only model estimates of soundings. That's what makes it so difficult here. All the models appear to have a different idea what's happening aloft CURRENTLY, so how can they predict what will happen very well?
I've never understood why HGX doesn't have an upper air station. Would make things so much more easier. At any rate, if we don't see radar lighting up by 10 or so, then my optimism meter will go way down.

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:32 pm
by tireman4
Stargate SG1, Bones and Soup here!!!!

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:33 pm
by snowman65
CC.. you vewy funny...you numba 1

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:34 pm
by TexasMetBlake
My source at HGX says verbatim:

First, my question: "Dude, where's the moisture? Have you seen the WV? I'm a bit worried."

My friend: "It will saturate up by midnight. The WV doesn't mean anything for an isentropic lift event because it's all generated in the low levels. We went 1-3 inches the whole time because there is nothing to support big totals. We did lower them to 1-2 inches but still think the whole area will see snow."

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:35 pm
by tireman4
Well, the HGX NWS is sticking to their guns....that is a positive...

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:35 pm
by snowman65
Candy Cane wrote:My source at HGX says verbatim:

First, my question: "Dude, where's the moisture? Have you seen the WV? I'm a bit worried."

My friend: "It will saturate up by midnight. The WV doesn't mean anything for an isentropic lift event because it's all generated in the low levels. We went 1-3 inches the whole time because there is nothing to support big totals. We did lower them to 1-2 inches but still think the whole area will see snow."

see.I knew it all along....yall quit worrying so much...thanks CC.. ;)

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:36 pm
by tireman4
Candy Cane wrote:My source at HGX says verbatim:

First, my question: "Dude, where's the moisture? Have you seen the WV? I'm a bit worried."

My friend: "It will saturate up by midnight. The WV doesn't mean anything for an isentropic lift event because it's all generated in the low levels. We went 1-3 inches the whole time because there is nothing to support big totals. We did lower them to 1-2 inches but still think the whole area will see snow."
Well there ya go . I am convinced. Let us get back to having fun on a Thursday. Woo Hoo

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:37 pm
by clute28
PLAIN AND SIMPLE ..if u want snow u gotta go north LOL

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:39 pm
by biggerbyte
I would like to thank Wxman57 for helping me keep it real these past few days. Through some hype, a whole lot of hoping and wishing for a miracle, we come to this point at the beginning of the end of this event. We might see some very light precip. for inland areas, but I don't see how it can be much with the lack of enough moisture, low pressure, or not. That is like firing a gun with no bullets.

So, to wrap it up. Some along the coast, and over towards LA had some excitement. We got to see some cold daytime highs. The lows were challenging for some, but many did not reach the forecasted teens.
So, all in all, it was fun and exciting to watch. The potential, at times, was there for us to have a major winter event. We don't get even the potential for such an event very often.

I hope at least some of you listened to the cautions and warnings about potential huge disappointments. Everyone can be disappointed, but expecting anything might lesson the grieving time. Time to move on, folks. We can continue to hope that something happens to change how things look this evening. I know you newbies want this soooo bad. So do most of the rest of us. I do think my snowman is going to have to wait...



BB

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:42 pm
by WeatherGAGA
There is all these computers and machines and educated weather people. Half say it will snow half say it wont. :shock:

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:44 pm
by Baseballdude2915
2004 remember that?
History tends to repeat it self.
Watch the radar blossom tonight between 8-10pm

or

Another bone chilling bust.
Maybe a passing flurry.
No significant accumulations.

So hard to pick a side.

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:44 pm
by snowman65
WeatherGAGA wrote:There is all these computers and machines and educated weather people. Half say it will snow half say it wont. :shock:
so go with the one in between them...:)

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:44 pm
by texasrattler
rnmm wrote:Well even though it is not going to snow, my kids and I are still going to enjoy our day off tomorrow with movies, popcorn, hot chocolate, and soup oh and of course a NAP!! :lol:
I would consider being adopted, although my wife might object!

Unfortunately, my day will be a normal one: maintaining swimming pools dressed as an Eskimo. :(

Re: February Weather. Snow/Sleet/Ice/Winter Storm Warning

Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:45 pm
by weatherag
I think most people are in agreement that it will snow. Tricky part is exactly how much moisture will be available. Lift will certainly be there. As wxman pointed out would have been nice to see the surface trough form closer to the coast. We shall see. I'm still hopeful that my grass will be covered in the morning. :D