February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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wxman57
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weather101 wrote:Yea noticed that...new graphic...accuweather Joe Bastardi, video 1pm said another big shot of cold air around same time frame to make its way to Texas, next week...said he was pummped about another snow in and around the Houston area...showed model with general 1 inch to 3 inch in most areas with more in isolated areas, but looks like it going to happen.
Yes, next Tue-Wed may be an even bigger (stronger) cold air outbreak, but a dry one that covers all the southern U.S. Euro has the 1050+ high dropping straight south to the lower Valley next week and the 850mb freezing line almost down to the Yucatan and NE to Miami.
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weather101 wrote:Yea noticed that...new graphic...accuweather Joe Bastardi, video 1pm said another big shot of cold air around same time frame to make its way to Texas, next week...said he was pummped about another snow in and around the Houston area...showed model with general 1 inch to 3 inch in most areas with more in isolated areas, but looks like it going to happen.
Lets get through and enjoy this one first ;)
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wxman57
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djmike wrote:Question....I'm hearing a lot about snow north of IH-10 and south of IH-10. What if we are in the Beaumont area? IH-10 is a LOT further north than IH-10 in HOU.....Is it our IH-10 or HOU I-10? ....I know, stupid question... :roll:
I'd say you have a very good shot at snow in Beaumont. Projected soundings certainly indicate any falling precip would be sleet/snow.
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djmike wrote:Question....I'm hearing a lot about snow north of IH-10 and south of IH-10. What if we are in the Beaumont area? IH-10 is a LOT further north than IH-10 in HOU.....Is it our IH-10 or HOU I-10? ....I know, stupid question... :roll:
Looking at the models it seems reasonable that the entire area should see a pretty good shot of frozen precip
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AccuWeather pro site updated ~30 min ago: now calling for 50/50 chance Thur/Fri - 1"-3"

Confidence increased along with total's .... :D
"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning." - The late/great George Carlin
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snowman65
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This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
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Mr. T
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My only worry is if the drier GFS is right. Tho, we'd still see snow anyway
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cristina99
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I agree with CC - PROTECT THOSE PETS!! Bring them inside if they are usually outside. My beloved cat is an indoor cat and she is already settling in for her long winter's nap. It's going to be exciting. I just noticed that the temp on the top of the forum page says 41. But before it was 39. Are the temps going to drop for sure?
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WIND CHILL WARNING FOR BROWNSVILLE!!!


Wind Chill Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1218 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND CHILL VALUES TO PLUMMET IN WAKE OF ARCTIC COLD SNAP...

.AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL SPREAD OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH
NORTH WINDS TO DRIVE WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN INTO THE TEENS FOR
SEVERAL HOURS TONIGHT AND ALSO MOST LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

TXZ248>257-020400-
/O.NEW.KBRO.WC.W.0001.110202T0600Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.WC.A.0001.110203T0400Z-110203T1800Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
1218 PM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST WEDNESDAY. A WIND CHILL WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND
CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DECREASE INTO THE TEENS FOR MOST IF NOT
ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR A FEW HOURS FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AT DAWN. WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS NORTHERN AND
INLAND AREAS MAY REMAIN BELOW 20 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS LONGER...
FROM BEFORE MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID WEDNESDAY MORNING. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN ARCTIC AIR MASS
RETAINS ITS ICY GRIP ON DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL TO OR BELOW 20 FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS. PERSONS
NOT ACCLIMATED TO THESE EXTREME VALUES MAY EXPERIENCE FROSTBITE
IF NOT PROTECTED...AND COULD DIE.

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS DANGEROUS WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES...
GENERALLY 20 OR BELOW...ARE POSSIBLE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS IN THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY COLD WEATHER.
PROTECTIVE CLOTHING SUCH AS SWEATERS AND JACKETS IS RECOMMENDED.
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snowman65 wrote:This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
LOL..lit up like a drunk at Specs. hahahahahahaha
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snowman65
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Candy Cane wrote:
snowman65 wrote:This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
LOL..lit up like a drunk at Specs. hahahahahahaha

Hey...I resemble that remark!!.... :lol: :lol:
TexasMetBlake
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snowman65 wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:
snowman65 wrote:This board is lit up like the New Years ball at Times Square!!!
LOL..lit up like a drunk at Specs. hahahahahahaha

Hey...I resemble that remark!!.... :lol: :lol:
Oh, you prefer Thrifty Liquor? BWAHAHAHAHAHA
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Mr. T
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Candy Cane wrote:WIND CHILL WARNING FOR BROWNSVILLE!!!
Explain to me again why our advisory criteria is for below zero?
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Austin likely to issue Wind Chill Advisory:

NO BIG CHANGES TO THE FORECAST...MAINLY JUST RE-TRENDING OF
TEMPERATURE...DEW POINT...AND SKY COVER FOR THE REST OF TODAY.
THE WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED PAST 6 PM AND
POSSIBLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...AND WE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AS WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT.
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tireman4
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No CC that is "likker"....LOL not liquor.....
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tireman4
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I am gone for one hour to run my 5 mile lunch run and man oh man.....
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Candy Cane wrote:OFF TOPIC KINDA: ***PLEASE PROTECT THE ANIMALS****

Folks, it is no mistake that there are a lot of ignorant people in this world. Animals get cold. Their fur only goes so far. With temps now forecast to hit the teens for many of us (especially on the north side) it is CRUEL to leave your animals outside. I'm begging you, please, PLEASE, bring your animals in. If you don't like them in your house, put them in the garage with warm blankets to sleep on. Just do SOMETHING to get them out of the elements. I worry about the animals. I love them. If you are in a position to do so, pick the strays up walking the streets and offer them a place for the night. That is what we do. I worry about the dogs and cats that people let wonder. It is mean, cruel and selfish not to bring them in. Please don't forget about our furry friends. They love us and hopefully you love them.


Thank you Candy Cane for that reminder. I worry about them too. Please everyone with outside pets, bring them in your laundry room or garage with blankets for just a few nights! Please don't be cruel!!
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To give you an idea of the trajectory of the cold air, it is the same temp in Green Bay, WI as it is in Dallas this hour. Both are at 20.
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I love cold weather. Its better then sitting in your house in summer sweating. :lol:
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cristina99
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I want to get back to talking about this snow. When will we know just how much and where? The Woodlands wants to see some snow.
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